Project Capri Flashcards

1
Q

How does the size of the underwrite now compare to what was last approved.

A

510M vs 251M

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2
Q

What are the facilities

A

800M partially amortising 5 year term facility and a $100M capex facility

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3
Q

Why is an eCRS 11 supported

A

Rating of Perform system

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4
Q

What is the Glencore ROE

A

21.8%

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5
Q

Which banks have received credit approval?

A

ANZ, SMBC and DBS

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6
Q

Where does Coal & Allied rank ?

A

2nd

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7
Q

How much of MT does C&A own?

A

80%

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8
Q

How much does C&A own of Warkworth?

A

55.6%

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9
Q

How much of PWCS does C&A own

A

38.4%

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10
Q

Who owns the remaining interests in HVO and Warkworth?

A

Mitsubishi

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11
Q

Who owns the remaining interest in Mt Thorley

A

POSCO

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12
Q

Who owns the remaining interest in Mt Thorley

A

POSCO

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13
Q

What is the proposed eCRS?

A

11G

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14
Q

what FX rate has been assumed

A

0.75

Note: if coal prices fall it would be expected that so to would the FX rate?

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15
Q

What is the average annual production from thermal and SSCC?

A

13Mt Thermal Coal

4Mt SSCC

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16
Q

What is the forecast price for Thermal Coal

A

FY17 56
FY18 58
FY19 58
FY20 62

17
Q

What is the forecast price for SSCC?

A

FY17 68
FY18 69
FY19 71
FY20 72

18
Q

What % of production is Thermal Coal?

A

~75%

19
Q

What are the components of debt reduction over the facility term?

A

$199M (Cash Share)
$200M (scheduled amort)
Dont forget the contingent liquidity of $200M

20
Q

Describe the debt profile over time?

A

Starts at 800 and falls by 400M from amort (200m) and cash share (200M) but increases by 100M due to capex resulting in 500M at maturity.

21
Q

What about the threat of renewables?

A
  • Traditional markets of Japan, Korea and Taiwan dont have the land mass for large scale renewables
  • Limitation of penetration due to network constraints
  • Best wind/solar sites are developed first
22
Q

Which banks are included in the MLA group?

A

NAB, ANZ, DBS, HSBC, Mizuho, SMBC and Standard Chartered

23
Q

Why is hunter coal so special?

A

High Energy, Low Ash, Low Sulphur

24
Q

What about the threat of renewables?

A
  • Traditional markets of Japan, Korea and Taiwan dont have the land mass for large scale renewables
  • Limitation of penetration due to network constraints
  • Best wind/solar sites are developed first
25
Q

What is the revenue contribution for Japan, Korea, Taiwan, Thailand?

A

Japan (48%) ; Korea (15%); Taiwan (15%); Thailand (13%)

Note: ~90% from JKTT and a further 7.5% from Malysia

26
Q

What are the repetitional risks of engaging in this financing?

A

Mitigated by :

* Brownfield nature of mines (HVO comenced in 1949 and MTW in 1981

27
Q

What are the reserve lives of HVO and MTW?

A

30 years (HVO) and 20yrs for MTW

28
Q

Any conservative parts of financial model?

A

Operating Costs and Wash Yields are below Rio Tinto forecasts and supported by Independent tech dd?

29
Q

Mitigants to market price risk?

A
  • Low Breakeven prices (what portion of the cost curve would be loss making?)
  • NAB forecasts are below both Woodmac and Consensus ($65-$70)