Probability theory and random variables Flashcards
sample space
of a random experiment= set S of all possible outcomes
elementary outcome
• Each single outcome (how many results)
event
set of one or more elementary outcome for a random experiment
o E.g. when you take every dot higher than 4 on a dice you get 3 (4 5 6)
Disjoint
when two or more events have no EO s in common (if P(A and B) and P(A|B) are 0)
Probability model
probabilities are assigned to events
probability
of an event A in a random experiment P(A)
Relative frequency
how often does a special event occurs if you keep doing the experiment for a large (not limited number)
Unconditional probability P(F)
the probability that the random drawn student is female
Conditional probability (F|D)
probability of the randomly drawn student being female, given that the student is Dutch (the given one is always the total you divide by
Complement rule
G^c = event “the randomly drawn student is not german” 1-P(A)
Rule of addition
What is the probability of randomly drawn student is dutch or Belgian
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
rule of multiplication
Probability of randomly drawn student being dutch and female P (D and F)
P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B | A) = P(B) × P(A | B)
Statistical independent
P(A|B) = P(B)
Probability distribution
relative freq. of each of the possible values of X if you were to repeat random experiment an infinite number of times
P(A)
number of A divided by the total