Probability Theory And Probability Distributions Flashcards

1
Q

Review what do histograms show vs bar charts

A

For categorical values , bar charts show what proportion of the sample have a certain value
For quantitative variables , histograms show what proportion of sample have a certain value

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2
Q

Probability distribution

A

Applies theory of probability to describe behavior of the random variable

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3
Q

Random variables and types

A

Variable whose value is an outcome of a random phenomenon.
Continuous random variable can take on any value within specified interval ie weight
Discrete random variable can only assume finite or countable number of outcomes ie marital status ( single, married , divorced )

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4
Q

Probability

A

Of a random value is the proportion of times that occurs in the population

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5
Q

What does discrete random variable specify

A

It specifies all possible outcomes of the random variable along with probability that each will occur ie flipping a coin

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6
Q

For continuous random variables

A

Allows us to determine the probabilities associated with specified ranges of values

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7
Q

Things to note

A

A probability distribution can be thought of as a bar chart or histogram of the entire population

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8
Q

Rules of probability

A
  1. Probability must be between 0 & 1
  2. Sum of probabilities for all possible mutually exclusive events must equal 1
  3. P(not E)= 1-P(E)
  4. Additive rule of probability P( A or B)= P(A) + P(B)
  5. Multiplicative rule for independent events P(A & B) = P(A) *P(B)
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9
Q

Discrete probability distribution X

A

Lists all possible values of X and their probabilities

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10
Q

Continuous probability distribution of X

A

Summarize all possible values of X and their probabilities using probability density curve
Only use density curve if it provides good fit to our data
Can have variable shapes

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11
Q

Properties of probability density curves

A

Vertical scale - probability 0-1
Area under curve is equal to 1 ( because the area represents the sum of probabilities for all possible values of the variable
For continuous random variable , we do not talk about probability of an individual value rather the probability that the value lies within intervals

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12
Q

Normal distribution

A

Model for continuous data, need population mean and population sd to define a unique normal distribution

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13
Q

Properties of normal distribution

A

Takes values between positive infinity and negative infinity
Area under curve equals 1
Symmetric around mean . mean=median=mode
Examples; blood pressure , age , Hb

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14
Q

What does X~ N(mean, variance squared mean)

A

X is normally distributed with mean and variance squared

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15
Q

How does sd and mean affect shape of the graph

A

For sd causes the height to change
For means causes the graph shift to left or right

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16
Q

Standard normal distribution

A

Normal distribution with population mean mu =0 and standard deviation, sigma =1

17
Q

How is standardizing of data done?

A

For each X value we calculate new Z value known as Z score

18
Q

Formula for Z Score, what is Z score

A

Measures number of sd that data point X is from mean mu

19
Q

Binomial distribution

A

Probability distribution for binomia experiment used with discrete data . Referred to probability of getting n successes in a specific number of trials

20
Q

Bernoulli trial

A

Experiment where there are only 2 possible outcomes , the probability of success 0, is constant from trial to trial , so trials are independent

21
Q

What is the probability of getting 2 heads after tossing coin 5 times

A

10

22
Q

Assumptions for binomial distribution

A

Number of observation is fixies
There are only 2 outcomes
Each observation is independent
Probability of success p is constant from trial to trial