Probability theory Flashcards
What is a sample space?
The set in which every element of a stochastic experiment is represented by exactly one element.
What is an “Event”
a subset “E” of the sample space, representing a collection of favourable outcomes corresponding to that event
What is an elementary event
When the set E only consists of one outcome
What is a compound event?
When the set E consists of more than one outcome
What is relative frequency
Consider a stochastic experiment with sample space 𝑆. The experiment is
repeated 𝑛 times, and on each trial an event of interest 𝐸 ⊆ 𝑆 occurs or doesn’t occur. The
relative frequency of the event, denoted 𝑟𝑓 (𝐸) is the number of times the event 𝐸 occurs 𝑛
divided by the number of repetitions (or trials), 𝑛.
What is the probability of an event E
P(E) = lim n-> infinity r * Fn(E)
What are the probability axioms
1 ) P(empty set) = 0
2) P(complement E) = 1 - P(E)
3) IEP theorem
4) 3 set IEP
For any event E that is a subset of S, the probability of E is
abs(E)/k, where k is the number of outcome
What’s the Probability of
P(E|F) + P(E^C|F)
= 1
what is the multiplication theorem
P(E AND F) = P(E|F)P(F)
What is the law of total probability?
P(A) = sum(P(A|Ei)P(Ei)
What is bayes theorem
P(E|F) = P(F|E)P(E) (1/P(F))