Probability General Ideas Flashcards

Important ideas related to general probability rules.

1
Q

Definition of independent events?

A

Two events, A and B, are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other occurring.

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2
Q

P(A and B) of independent events?

A

P(AandB) = P(A) × P(B)

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3
Q

Events A and B are independent if . . .

A

P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B)
P(A | B) = P(A)
P(B | A) = P(B)

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4
Q

Definition of dependent events?

A

Two events, A and B, are dependent if the occurrence of one event affects the probability of the other. Commonly, P(B∣A) represents the probability of B given that A has occurred.

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5
Q

P(A and B) of dependent events?

A

P(A and B) = P(B ∣ A) × P(A)

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6
Q

Definition of mutually exclusive events?

A

Two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive (or disjoint) if they cannot both occur at the same time.

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7
Q

P(A and B) of mutually exclusive events?

A

P(AandB) = 0

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8
Q

P(AorB) of mutually exclusive events?

A

P(AorB) = P(A) + P(B)

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9
Q

Definition of non-mutually exclusive events?

A

Two events, A and B, are non-mutually exclusive if they can both occur at the same time.

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10
Q

P(AorB) of non-mutually exclusive events?

A

P(AorB) = P(A) + P(B) − P(AandB)

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11
Q

Definition of conditional probability?

A

The probability of one event occurring given that another event has already occurred.

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12
Q

P(B given that A)?

A

P(B∣A) = P(AandB) / P(A)

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13
Q

What is Baye’s Theorem for P(B∣A)?

A

P(B∣A) = P(A∣B )× P(B) / P(A)

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14
Q

P(A given that B)?

A

P(A∣B) = P(AandB) / P(B)

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15
Q

When working conditionally it is sometimes easier to calculate P(A and B) as . . .

A

P(A|B) ⋅ P(B) OR P(B|A) ⋅ P(A)

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16
Q

Can events be independent and mutually exclusive?

A

NO unless one of the events has a zero probability (i.e., one of the events cannot occur). This is because mutually exclusive events can never occur together, whereas independent events can.

17
Q

When asked for P(A or B) of independent events?

A

P(AorB) = P(A) + P(B) − P(AandB)
Because independent events are NOT mutually exclusive

18
Q

Addition Rule for . . .
Mutually Exclusive Events:
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:

A

Mutually Exclusive Events:
P(AorB) = P(A) + P(B)

Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:
P(AorB) = P(A) + P(B) − P(AandB)

19
Q

Multiplication Rule for . . .
Independent Events:
Dependent Events:

A

Independent Events:
P(AandB) = P(A) × P(B)

Dependent Events:
P(AandB) = P(A) × P(B∣A)