Probability General Ideas Flashcards
Important ideas related to general probability rules.
Definition of independent events?
Two events, A and B, are independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other occurring.
P(A and B) of independent events?
P(AandB) = P(A) × P(B)
Events A and B are independent if . . .
P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B)
P(A | B) = P(A)
P(B | A) = P(B)
Definition of dependent events?
Two events, A and B, are dependent if the occurrence of one event affects the probability of the other. Commonly, P(B∣A) represents the probability of B given that A has occurred.
P(A and B) of dependent events?
P(A and B) = P(B ∣ A) × P(A)
Definition of mutually exclusive events?
Two events, A and B, are mutually exclusive (or disjoint) if they cannot both occur at the same time.
P(A and B) of mutually exclusive events?
P(AandB) = 0
P(AorB) of mutually exclusive events?
P(AorB) = P(A) + P(B)
Definition of non-mutually exclusive events?
Two events, A and B, are non-mutually exclusive if they can both occur at the same time.
P(AorB) of non-mutually exclusive events?
P(AorB) = P(A) + P(B) − P(AandB)
Definition of conditional probability?
The probability of one event occurring given that another event has already occurred.
P(B given that A)?
P(B∣A) = P(AandB) / P(A)
What is Baye’s Theorem for P(B∣A)?
P(B∣A) = P(A∣B )× P(B) / P(A)
P(A given that B)?
P(A∣B) = P(AandB) / P(B)
When working conditionally it is sometimes easier to calculate P(A and B) as . . .
P(A|B) ⋅ P(B) OR P(B|A) ⋅ P(A)