Probability Flashcards

1
Q

The set of all possible outcomes is what?

A

The sample space Ω

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2
Q

Possible results of an experiment are called what?

A

Outcomes

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3
Q

What is an event?

A

A subset of the sample space

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4
Q

What does probability express?

A

How likely an event is

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5
Q

Three basic properties of probabilities

A

0 =< P(A) =< 1 for all events A
P(Ω) = 1
If events A and B have no outcomes in common, the probability of either is P(A) + P(B)

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6
Q

What is the complement of A in sample set theory?

A

Not A

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7
Q

What is the intersection of A and B in sample set theory?

A

Both A and B

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8
Q

What is the union of A and B in sample set theory?

A

Either A or B

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9
Q

What does it mean for two events to be mutually exclusive?

A

A intersect B = 0

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10
Q

What does P(A’) equal?

A

P(A’) = 1 - P(A)

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11
Q

What does P(A union B) equal?

A

P(A union B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A intersect B)

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12
Q

How would the conditional probability of A given that B be denoted?

A

P(A|B)

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13
Q

What does P(A|B) equal?

A

P(A intersect B)/P(B)

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14
Q

Multiplication rule

A

P(A intersect B) = P(A|B)P(B) = P(B|A)P(A)

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15
Q

When are two events A and B independent?

A

P(A intersect B) = P(A)P(B)

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16
Q

Bayes’ theorem

A

P(A|B) = P(B|A)P(A)/P(B)

17
Q

What is the difference between permutations and combinations?

A

Permutations are order-specific

Combinations are groups where the ordering doesn’t matter

18
Q

What does nPr equal?

A

nPr = n!/(n-r)!

19
Q

What does nCr equal?

A

n!/((n-r)!r!)

20
Q

What is the mean of a discrete random variable?

A

⟨X⟩ = Sum of (x(j) P(X=x(j))) between N and j=1

21
Q

What is the variance of a discrete random variable?

A

var(X) = ⟨(X - ⟨X⟩)^2⟩ = Sum of ((x(j) - ⟨X⟩)^2 P(X=x(j)))

22
Q

For the binomial distribution B(n, p), what is P(X=r) equal to?

A

P(X=r) = nCr p^r (1-p)^(n-r)

23
Q

What is the mean of B(n, p) equal to?

A

mean of B(n, p) = np

24
Q

What is the variance of B(n, p) equal to?

A

var(B(n, p)) = np(1-p)

25
Q

What is P(X=r) equal to in Poisson distribution?

A

P(X=r) = e^(-λ) (λ^r)/r!

26
Q

What are the mean and variance of the Poisson distribution equal to?

A

λ = var(X) = ⟨X⟩

27
Q

What is the main feature of a continuous variable X?

A

X has a probability density function f(x) defined such that the probability of finding X between x - dx/2 and x + dx/2

28
Q

For a continuous variable, X, what is P(a =< X =< b)?

A

Integrand of f(x) dx between b and a

29
Q

Define the cumulative distribution function F(a)?

A

F(a) = P(X=<a></a>

30
Q

Mean and variance for a discrete variable but P(X=x(j))->f(x) dx and Sum between N and j=1 ->integrand between +/- infinity

A
⟨X⟩ = integrand of x f(x) dx between +/- infinity
var(X) = integrand of (x-⟨X⟩)^2 f(x) dx between +/- infinity
31
Q

Considering a continuous random variable X uniformly distributed between 0 and 1, what are the values of the mean and variance?

A
⟨X⟩ = 1/2
var(X) = 1/12
32
Q

What is f(x) for Normal distribution?

A

f(x) = 1/sqrt(2πσ^2) e^(-((x-μ)^2)/(2σ^2))

33
Q

What is the mean value and the variance value for Normal distribution?

A
⟨X⟩ = μ
var(X) = σ^2
34
Q

What is cumulative distribution of Normal distribution equal to?

A

F(a) = 1/2 [1 + erf((a-μ)/sqrt(2σ^2))