Probability Flashcards

1
Q

Probability

A

of ways an event can happen / # of possible outcomes

How likely or unlikely an event is to happen
closer to 0=unlikely
closer to 1=likely
#sucess :# of total outcomes ( Success + Failures)

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2
Q

Conditional probabilities

A

Probabilty of A occuring if B has already happened
P(A If B)

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3
Q

Marginal probability

A

Probability of a single event P(Heart attack)

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4
Q

union

A

one event happens or another event happens
p( A or B)

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5
Q

intersection

A

both happen at the same time
P(A and B)

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6
Q

complements

A

event does not happen
P(not A )

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7
Q

disjointed events

A

events that cannot both happen
-Ex: Heart attack and no heart attack

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8
Q

complement

A

P ( not A )
1- P(A)

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9
Q

additive rule

A

P( A or B) = P(A) +P(B) - P(A and B)

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10
Q

multiplicative rule

A

P (A And B)= P (A if B) X P (B) =
P ( B if A) * P(A)
A and B are independent: P (A and B)= P(A) * P(B)

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11
Q

conditional probabilities

A

Probanility of A occuring if B occured
P ( A if B)= P(A and B)/ P (B)

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12
Q

independence

A

When one event happening does not affect another
P(A∩B)=P(A)×P(B)

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13
Q

odds ( Calculating)

A

success : # failure

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14
Q

Odds interpret

A

Odds of 3:1 mean that for every 3 favorable outcomes, there is 1 unfavorable outcome.

So, a favorable outcome is 3 times more likely than an unfavorable one.

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15
Q

odds association

A

OR =1 implies no association
odds of the event occurring in one group are the same as the odds of the event occurring in the other group

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