Probability Flashcards
Is a numerical statement about the likelihood that an event will occur.
Probability
Objective Probability
P(event) = Number of occurrences of the event/ Total number of outcomes
When logic and past history are not appropriate, probability values. The accuracy of it depends on the experience and judgement of the person making the estimates.
Subjective Probability
are events that cannot happen at the same time.
Mutually exclusive events
are events that cover all possible outcomes of an experiment.
Collectively exhaustive events
This is often called the union of two events. When these two events are mutually
exclusive
P (event A or event B) = P(A) + P(B)
P (spade or club) = P(spade) + P(club)
Law of Addition for events That Are Not Mutually Exclusive
P(event A or event B) = P(event A) + P(event B) – P(event A and event B both occurring)
P(five or diamond) = P(five) + (P(diamond) – P(five and diamond)
The occurrence of one event has no effect on the probability of occurrence of the second event.
Statistically Independent Events
Is the probability that of an event occurring.
Marginal Probability
Is the probability of an event occurring given that another event has taken place.
Conditional Probability
Is the product of marginal probabilities.
Joint Probability