Probabilità, Outs e Odds

Question 1

Dominanza

Coppia vs Dominata

es. AA vs AQ

Answer 1

circa 87%

AA vs AQ: 91 - 9
JJ vs J9s: 83 - 15

Question 2

Overcards vs Undercards

es. AK vs QTs

Answer 2

circa 62%

KJ vs 97: 63,5 - 36,5
AK vs QTs: 60 - 40

Question 3

Coppia vs Undercards

es. KK vs QT

Answer 3

circa 80%

KK vs QT: 85,4 - 14,2
TT vs 67s: 78 - 21

Question 4

Incastro

Alta/Media vs Seconda/Bassa

es. KJ vs QT

Answer 4

circa 61%

KJ vs QT: 62 - 38
J8 vs T7s: 60 - 40

Question 5

Coppia vs Over/Under

es. KK vs AT

Answer 5

circa 70%

KK vs AT: 71 - 28
TT vs Q8s: 68 - 32

Question 6

Incastro

Alta/Bassa vs medie

es. KT vs QJ

Answer 6

circa 55%

(Coin flip)

KT vs QJ: 59 - 41
A9 vs QTs: 53 - 47

Question 7

Dominanza

Dominante vs Dominata

es. KT vs K8

Answer 7

circa 67%

KT vs K8: 67 - 33
98 vs 94: 67,7 - 32,3

Question 8

Coppia vs Overcards

es. 99 vs QT

Answer 8

circa 53%

(Coin flip)

99 vs QT: 55,5 - 44,5
22 vs AK: 50,2 - 49,5

Question 9

Outs & Odds

Flush draw

Answer 9

9 Outs

Odds post-flop: 38/9 - 4,2/1

Odds post-turn: 37/9 - 4,1/1

Question 10

Outs & Odds

Flush draw + Bilateral Straight draw

Answer 10

15 Outs

Odds post-flop: 32/15 - 2,1/1

Odds post-turn: 31/15 - 2/1

Question 11

Outs & Odds

Open-ended Straight draw

Answer 11

8 Outs

Odds post-flop: 39/8 - 4,8/1

Odds post-turn: 38/8 - 4,7/1

Question 12

Outs & Odds

Gutshot draw

(Inside Straight draw)

Answer 12

4 Outs

Odds post-flop: 43/4 - 10,7/1

Odds post-turn: 42/4 - 10,5/1

Question 13

Outs & Odds

Full house + Poker draw

(Pocket pair - Set post-flop)

Answer 13

7 Outs (post-flop)

Odds post-flop: 40/7 - 5,7/1

10 Outs (post-turn)

Odds post-turn: 36/10 - 3,6/1

Question 14

Outs & Odds

Full house + Poker draw

(no Pocket pair - Set post-flop)

Answer 14

4 Outs (post-flop)

Odds post-flop: 43/4 - 10,7/1

7 Outs (post-turn)

Odds post-turn: 39/7 - 5,5/1

Question 15

Probabilità di chiudere un draw al turn E/O al river

(Formula completa)

Answer 15

p(outs) =

1 - [(47 - outs)/47 x (46-outs)/46]

Question 16

Probabilità di chiudere un draw al turn E/O al river

(Formula rapida)

Answer 16

p(outs) al turn:

outs x 2 ( +1 se >8 outs)

p(outs) al turn E/O al river:

outs x 4 ( -1 se >8 outs)

Question 17

Rapporto Pot odds - odds

Answer 17

Pot odds > odds = Call

Pot odds < odds = Fold

Question 18

Odds con 4 outs

Answer 18

flop:

43/4 - 10,7/1

turn:

42/4 - 10,5/1

Question 19

Odds con 5 outs

Answer 19

flop:

42/5 - 8,4/1

turn:

41/5 - 8,2/1

Question 20

Odds con 6 outs

Answer 20

flop:

41/6 - 6,8/1

turn:

40/6 - 6,6/1

Question 21

Odds con 7 outs

Answer 21

flop:

40/7 - 5,7/1

turn:

39/7 - 5,5/1

Question 22

Odds con 8 outs

Answer 22

flop:

39/8 - 4,8/1

turn:

38/8 - 4,7/1

Question 23

Odds con 9 outs

Answer 23

flop:

38/9 - 4,2/1

turn:

37/9 - 4,1/1

Question 24

Odds con 10 outs

Answer 24

flop:

37/10 - 3,7/1

turn:

36/10 - 3,6/1

Question 25

Odds con 11 outs

Answer 25

flop:

36/11 - 3,2/1

turn:

35/11 - 3,1/1

Question 26

Odds con 12 outs

Answer 26

flop:

35/12 - 2,9/1

turn:

34/12 - 2,8/1

Question 27

Odds con 13 outs

Answer 27

flop:

34/13 - 2,6/1

turn:

33/13 - 2,5/1

Question 28

Odds con 14 outs

Answer 28

flop:

33/14 - 2,3/1

turn:

32/14 - 2,2/1

Question 29

Odds con 15 outs

Answer 29

flop:

32/15 - 2,1/1

turn:

31/15 - 2/1

Question 30

Odds con 16 outs

Answer 30

flop:

31/16 - 1,9/1

turn:

30/16 - 1,8/1