Principles of Economics - Macro Flashcards
What is the accounting identity?
Injections equal leakages or that AE = Y
Examples of injections and leakages
Government expenditure and taxation taken by government
Investment and savings
Imports and exports
How do accountants and economists differ?
Whilst accounts put failed investment into an inventory to keep AE = Y, economists want a behavioural statement on why this occurs and how equilibrium returns after changes are made
How does MPC and MPS change based on income level?
Lower income leads to a higher MPC and lower MPS but for macroeconomics, an average is taken
How does the propensity to import change as Y increases?
Imports increase as Y increases
What is the largest possible value for the multiplier and what is realistic?
5, but 1.5-2 is more realistic
As c, t and imports increase, how does the flatness of the AE line change?
As c increases, the line becomes steeper, whilst if t and imports increase, the line becomes flatter
Who found the Keynesian cross?
Paul Samuelson
Why is closed economy analysis acceptable for the EU and US?
Imports and exports make such a small sector of output so as to be reliably ignored
How is investment as affected by income found?
I = aY^e (t+1) where future demand will affect investment
Why is Io used as a formula for investment?
Keynes’ interest in the importance of the uncertainty of future demand, e, makes it impossible to endogenize
How is investment decided compared to interest rates?
Where the rate of return of investment is higher than the interest rate, an investment is made, therefore
I = Io - bi
How are interest rate changes shown on an AE - Y graph?
In the change in the y-intercept, where di = 0, with higher interest rates having lower intercept lines
What cases are there of linked interest rates?
Interest rate of central bank (CB) must be lower than lending rate of commercial bank which will be higher than the rate of return of bonds
What are the three motives for hoarding cash?
Transaction motive (cash as medium of exchange), precautionary motive (keeping options open) and speculative motive (dependent on interest rates)
What is the equation for the transaction and precautionary motive?
Ld = kY which often covers both motives, as they both increase as income does
What is the equation for the Ld in full?
Ld = kY - hi = M
What is an expansionary open market operation?
Where the CB buys bonds, injecting money into the supply from the monetary base
What is the opposite of an expansionary open market operation?
A contractory open market operation where CB bonds are sold to commercial banks, with the funds from these absorbed back into the monetary base and out of the monetary flow
How do open market operations change the interest rates?
Expansionary ones, where money supply is increased, will cause a decrease in interest rates as the bonds bought buy the CB will become more expensive with the same maturity in place, decreasing the rate of return; this follows the equation M = kY - hi
What affect does an expansionary open market operation have on the LM curve?
As interest rates drop, in order to keep M = kY - hi, output must decrease so LM curve shift left. In cases of higher interest rates when the monetary flow is decreased, there is an expansion in output so the graph shifts right
What have the previous shifts been predicated on?
M being exogenous and with the CB in control directly
What are the three parts to the money supply?
Mo - banknotes and coins circulating in the economy
M1 - monetary base + Mo + deposits
M2 - wider measures
Why would a bank not lend all that it receives in income?
In voluntary or involuntary reserves
Which two ways do firms raise money?
Through bank loans and issuing bonds
What is the secondary monetary policy LM curve?
M = Mo + a( i + io) - a flatter curve
How do shocks to the IS curve change the economy in fixed and variable interest rates?
In flexible interest rates, shifts in the IM curves will create a new crossing point at a different interest rate. In fixed exchange rates, where the IS curve shifts, the LM curve will also shift due to central bank intervention so the interest rate remains at the same level
What is the variation in output?
The difference between Ya and Yb which are the different outputs due to shocks in the economy shifting IS and LM curves
What is lm on an interest-output graph?
The interest rate when it is fixed by a central bank, a horizontal line on the graph
How do shocks to the LM curve change the economy in fixed and flexible interest rates?
A new output level is created in flexible rates with a different interest rate. In fixed rate situations, where the LM curve has shifted backwards (left), expansionary market operations can be taken to return it to it’s original position, and visa versa, making it a superior policy in this case
What is shown on an i - Ld graph?
Money demand as downward sloping, crossing the vertical money supply at the equilibrium interest rate io. Left of the supply line is excess supply, whilst right of it is excess demand
What is price level equal to?
Nominal income / real income
What is added on to the bottom of the IS multiplier due to monetary policy?
bk/h which is monetary retroaction - higher interest rates due to increase in Y is shown here
What shape is the money demand curve on an i - Ld graph?
A downward concave curve, as at high interest rates almost all money will be not cash, whilst at very low interest rates there will be no difference between cash or bonds so lots of cash holdings
What is the liquidity trap?
As the LM curve is a concave upward sloping curve on the i - Y graph, when the interest rate is low and Y is low, any changes to monetary policy will not affect output where the zero lower bound for interest rates is reached - fiscal stimulus required
What is the reverse of the liquidity trap?
Where interest rates and output is high, a change in fiscal stimulus will only make small changes to the overall output, so interest rate changes are required
What are the three methods for foreign exchange?
Use of current account, use of capital account, and central bank selling currency using official reserves (ignored as not always available)
How does the use of current accounts work for foreign exchange?
Current account is balanced, where the price of imports into domestic market equals exports from domestic market, so foreign currency can be accepted for exports, then used to pay for imports
How does the use of capital accounts work for foreign exchange?
Differences in current account are balanced by change in capital account, where foreigners are offered domestic bonds in return foreign currency
What are the formulas for exports and imports and current account?
EX = (x1)(Y*) + (x2)(R) IM = (m1)(Y) - (m2)(R) CA = EX - IM
What does a higher R value equate to?
Higher competitiveness, such as when foreign prices increase or domestic prices decrease
What is the result of a depreciation in currency?
Cheaper for foreigners to buy goods, increase in imports, where interest rates are fixed there is a worsening in the current account as domestic output increases, increasing imports
How do higher values of R and Y* impact on the current account on the i-Y graph?
Higher values lead to higher Y values, with the line as vertical as interest rates do not change the current account
What is CIP?
Covered interest parity, where the exchange rate for maturing bonds payments is specified
What is UIP?
Uncovered interest parity, so the value of maturing bonds must be countenanced with future exchange rates
UIP = i* + (Future exchange rate E^e - E)/E
How does the relationship between i and i* change the capital account?
i > i* leads to capital inflow
i < i* leads to capital outflow
What does the CP (capital account) line show on an i - Y graph?
The CP line is a horizontal line, and when the domestic interest rate is above this line, depreciation in the domestic currency is expected and there is a balance of payments surplus, and visa versa
What is the FE curve?
The aggregate of the CA and CP curve, so an i=Y line. When capital mobility is perfect, the FE line is rotated clockwise until it is horizontal and equalling i*
Why does the FE curve become flat in cases of perfect capital mobility?
Having further wealth no longer offers better interest rates, so the CP curve becomes steeper leading to a flat FE curve - only i* is important
Capital flows > current account flows when perfect capital mobility exists
How does R change is the ultra-short-run?
Only foreign price, P*, changes
How does the IS curve shift as R changes?
Higher R leads to leftward shift on graph, and visa versa
How are interest rates fixed by the central bank?
Using official reserve currency to avoid changes in the capital account that could alter interest rates - when reserves run out, an official devaluation of the currency occurs
How does an expansion in the money supply affect the LM curve in flexible rates?
LM shifts rightwards, creating a lower interest rate and a resultant capital outflow as foreign bonds are purchased instead of domestic ones
How does an expansion in the money supply affect the IS curve in flexible rates?
Capital outflow (and a larger desire to buy in foreign currency therefore) leads to a currency depreciation, increasing competitiveness, R, so that the IS curve shifts rightwards until LM and IS cross on the FE curve on a higher Y value than before
What conditions allow for increases in output after changes to money supply in flexible exchange rates?
Marshall-Lerner conditions, so that (x2)(R) > (m2)(R), or the benefit from extra exports due to an increase in competitiveness is not outweighed by the increase in imports
How does an expansion in the money supply affect the IS and LM curve in fixed exchange rates?
LM curve shifts rightward, leading to the central bank withdrawing money from the supply to avoid the lower interest rate, so the LM curve shifts back to where it was originally
What is the impossible trinity?
No perfect capital mobility, fixed exchange rate and independent monetary policy
How does an increase in government expenditure in flexible rates affect the IS and LM curve?
Shift of IS curve rightwards by the size of the multiplier leads to increased interest rate (upward pressure) leading to a currency appreciation, and the negative resultant effect on net exports leads to the IS shifting back to original position
How does the composition of Y change after government expenditure in flexible rates?
Government expenditure crowds out net exports as a part of Y, without any real change to Y
How does an increase in government expenditure in fixed rates affect the IS and LM curve?
The rise in interest rates leads to excess demand for domestic currency (appreciation) which are printed by the central bank in order to lower the interest rate. This expansionary market policy shifts the LM curve rightwards
When should one use fiscal and monetary policy?
Fiscal for fixed rates, monetary for flexible rates
What are the three equations for the LM IS graph and what are the unknowns?
IS : Y = c(1-t)Y + Io - bi + G + (x1)(Y) + (x2)(R) - (m1)(Y) + (m1)(R)
LM : M = kY - hi
FE : i = i
Unknowns are i and Y, and R and M can be found from this
How does one find the equilibrium point for the LM IS graph in flexible rates?
LM and FE curves are important
M = kY - hi leads to Y = M/k + (h/k)i*
Y can therefore be found, as can R from the IS curve
How does one find the equilibrium point for the LM IS graph in flexible rates?
IS and FE curves are important as monetary policy LM is fixed
IS equation is changed with -bi changing to -bi*
Y and i*, as well as M
When prices can vary in the long term, how does an increase in government expenditure affect the LM IS graph in fixed rates?
Shift of IS rightwards, followed by LM moving rightwards as before. However due to the increases in domestic prices, R decreases so both curve return to their original positions
How does price affect output?
As price increases, output decreases in a linear fashion
How does the money supply affect the P-Y graph?
In fixed rates, increases in money supply shifts the line outwards, and visa versa. In flexible rates, fiscal policy changes are the only way to shift the line in a similar way
What are the assumptions of the neoclassical labour market equilibrium model?
Positive but diminishing returns to factors, constant returns to scale in Inada conditions
When y=f(N), what is profit and how is it maximised?
Pf(N) - WN or TR - TC
Take derivative dN, so Pf’n - W
What is the difference between real and nominal wage?
Real wage = W/P = f’n
Nominal wage = W = Pf’n
What is f’n equal to?
Marginal product of labour, increase in profit for every man hour increased, which dictates the demand for labour
What factors do households supply labour around?
Utility = u(c, L) and budget constraint (P^e)c = WN which will be shortened to Pe and time constraint
N + L = 12
c = consumption of goods, L = leisure, e = expected price level and WN = labour income
Why is e important in terms of wages?
It represents the time lag between earning and spending
How is the time constraint built into the consumption equation?
w/Pe x (12-L)
What is LF in terms of wages?
Maximum possible hours of work in a workforce
How is leisure seen in terms of wages?
An opportunity cost, which if wages are high enough, can be overcome so that in fact all unemployment is voluntary
How do bargaining structures change unemployment figures?
A move from atomistic bargaining (or perfectly competitive labour supply) to a union wage bargaining schedule leads to higher unemployment, as wages are increased with supply therefore shifting rightwards (up) and demand shifting leftwards (down)
What is the formula for labour demand when there is wage bargaining and what does this induce?
(1 + dP/dY x Y/P(Y)) x f’n
The difference between this line and f’n is the level of involuntary employment
What influences the ability of unions to bargain?
Employment rate - if low, then lots of replacement labour so hard to bargain for wages
How will output change after bargaining?
Output will decrease. This is shown in dP/dY x Y/P(Y) which must be negative, showing how wages will be higher as well
What is the effect of an increase in prices in the labour market?
Loss of purchasing power leads unions to increase their bargaining level, as well as increases in prices leading to an increase in demand for labour
What is the difference between the LRAS and SRAS in terms of wages in the P-Y graph?
As unions in the short run may not be able to correctly predict future prices increases, then SRAS is not vertical. Change in P may be more than change in Pe