principle of AA Flashcards
MVO
Mean-variance optimization:
+ common approach to asset allocation
+ assume: investors are risk averse
+ identifies the portfolio allocations that maximize return for every level of risk
Um = E(Rm) − 0.005 × λ × Var
λ = the investor’s risk aversion coefficent
constrant of MVO
+ budget constraint or unity constraint: asset weights must add up to 100%
+ nonnegativity constraint: all weight must be positive between 0% to 100%
Constraints of MVO
(1) GIGO
(2) concentrate in some subset of asset class
(3) focus of mean/variance of return
(4) source of risk is not diversified
(5) single pediod, not take account taxes, cost
(6) not connect to liability, consumtion series
corner portfolios
all the set of portfolio in frontier line
6 Criticism of MVO
(1) The output (asset allocation) are highly sensitive to small changes in the input
(2) The asset allocations tend to be highly concentrated in a subset of available asset classes
REMEDI:
+ Reverse optimization
+ Black – Litterman Model
+ Resampled MVO
(3) Many investors are concerned about more than mean and variance of returns
(4) Although the asset allocations may appear diversified across assets, the source of risk may not be diversified
Remedy: USE FACTORS
(5) Most portfolios exist to pay for a liability or consumption series and MVO allocations are not directly connected to what influences that value of the liability or consumption series
Remedy: liability relative or goal-based asset allocation
(6) MVO is a single period framewok and it does not take into account trading/rebalancing cost and taxes
Remedy: simulation
ACTR
Absolute contributioin to risk (measures how much the asset class contributes to σp)
• ACTR = wi * MCTR = wi * βi * σp
Quasi
payments that are expected to be made but are not liabilities such as endowment
Characteristics of liabilities can effect asset allocation
(1) Fixed vs. contigent flows
(2) Legal vs quasi-liabilities
(3) Duration and convexity of liability cash flows
(4) Value of liabilities as compared with the size of the sponsoring organization
(5) Factors driving future liabilities cash flows such as inflations, economic conditions, interest rates, premiums
(6) Timing consideration such as longevity risk
(7) Regulations affecting liability cash flow such as rate`
variant 2-portfolio approaches
(1) Liability
(2) Surplus
longevity risk
live longer than forecast
+ annuity
+ pension
method for liability relative approach
(1) surplus optimization
(2) Hedging/Return seeking portfolio
(3) Integrated asset – liability approach
liability return
measures the time value of money for the liabilities plus any expected changes in the discount rate and future cash flows over the planning horizon
2 portfolios in Hedging/Return seeking portfolio
(1) hedging portfolio
(2) return seeking portfolio
the portion hedge in Hedging/Return seeking portfolio approach
+ fully hedge
+ partial hedge
Limitations of hedge/return seeking portfolio approach
(1) Could not creat a fully hedge portfolio if funding ratio < 1
(2) True hedging portfolio may not be available and if the portfolio is not perfectly hedged there will be basis risk
Dynamic in hedge/return seeking portfolio approach
means increase the allocation to hedging portfolio as funding ratio increases
more critical the goals, the ……… prob of success required
higher
The higher prob archieve goal = …….. discount rates
lower