Premium Flashcards
Goal of ratemaking
Balance the fundamental insurance equation:
Premium = Losses + LAE + UW expenses + UW Profit
Adjustment to historical premium
- Bring the historical premium to the rate level currently in effect
- Develop premium to ultimate levels if the premium is still changing
- Project the historical premium to the premium level expected in the future
2 premium aggregation methods
Calendar year
Policy Year
“15th of the month” rule
Treat all policies as if they were written at the mid-point of the period.
Is “15th of the month” rule reasonable?
Good approximation if policies are written uniformly during each time period.
adjusting the premium “to current rate level”
aka. putting the premium “on-level”, adjustment made to historical premium for rate changes that occurred during or after the historical experience period or the projected premium will be understated or overstated
premium trend
actual or expected distributional changes
Extension of exposures method
Rerating every policy to restate the historical premium to the amount that would be charged under the current rates
Parallelogram method
aka. geometric method, undertaken on a group of policies and less accurate than extension of exposures
assumption of parallelogram method
Premium is written evenly throughout the time period
Steps for the parallelogram method: 1
Determine the timing and amount of the rate changes during and after the experience period and group the policies into rate level groups according to the timing of each rate change
Steps for the parallelogram method: 2
Calculate the portion of the year’s earned premium corresponding to each rate level group
Steps for the parallelogram method: 3
Calculate the cumulative rate level index for each rate level group
Steps for the parallelogram method: 4
Calculate the weighted average cumulative rate level index for each year
Steps for the parallelogram method: 5
Calculate the on-level factor as the ratio of the current cumulative rate level index for each year