Practice Test 6 Flashcards
A contingency order is one that contains an indication of price, time or both.
a. True
b. False
a. True
Contingency orders will indicate a price level, as in a stop order. They may also indicate a timing aspect, such as an “at the opening” order. They may also indicate both price and time issues, such as a “limit or market on close” order.
Put-call parity is determined by comparing the premiums of options with different expiration months.
a. True
b. False
b. False
Put-call parity compares the premiums of puts to calls as a means of uncovering arbitrage opportunity. If put and call futures contracts have the same expiration period and may only be exercised on the last trading day of the contract (European style exercise), they should have the same time value if both options are in-the-money by the same amount. For example: if our strike prices were 55 for a put, and 50 for a call when the market is 52.50, both options are in the money by 2.50 points. If the premium for the call is 4, we would assume a premium of 4 for the put, since both options should have the same time value. If the put premium is less than 4, an arbitrage opportunity exists since the premium is undervalued relative to the call.
Options are useful to futures speculators because options premiums change point-for-point with the value of the underlying futures contract.
a. True
b. False
b. False
The answer is false. Option premiums do not necessarily move point for point according to movements in the underlying futures contract. The measurement of the option premium movement is its delta. A delta of .80 would indicate an 80% movement in premium against the futures. Delta changes as options on futures become further in or out-of-the money.
An investor believes the S&P 500 December contract is overvalued at 945.00 and therefore sells 15 contracts. The market rises to 950. The investor is still convinced his analysis is correct and sells an additional 20 contracts at that price. When the contract drops to 947.70, the investor closes out all 35 contracts. Assume the multiplier is $250 and roundturn commissions are $30 per contact. What is the investor’s gain or loss?
a. $10,575 loss
b. $10,900 gain
c. $325 gain
d. $1,875 gain
c. $325 gain
This question involves two separate speculation calculations:
Short @ 945.00
Buy @ 947.70
Loss (2.70)
Multiplier x 250
Loss (675)
Commissions (30)
Net loss/contract (705)
Contracts x 15
Total loss (10,575)
Short @ 950.00
Buy @ 947.70
Gain 2.30
Multiplier x 250
Gain 575
Commissions (30)
Net gain/contract 545
Contracts x 20
Total gain 10,900
Net gain = $325
In which of the following situations would the basis strengthen (Assume a normal market.)
a. Cash price is stable and futures prices rise
b. Cash rises, futures rise less
c. Cash falls, futures fall less
d. Futures prices are stable and the cash price falls
b. Cash rises, futures rise less
In a strengthening basis, the cash commodity will increase in comparison to the futures contract. If the commodity rose by .5, while the futures rose by .3, the basis has strengthened. Similarly, if the cash commodity fell by .3, while the futures fell by .5, the basis has also strengthened.
A customer assumes a short position at 14.50 and the contract falls to 11.20. The investor wants to protect the profits. You would recommend placing a buy stop at:
a. 13.80
b. 12.80
c. 11.00
d. 10.20
b. 12.80
To protect the profit, the customer will buy futures to cover the short position. They would place a stop order to protect their profit in the event that the market began to rise above its present value (11.20). Two choices are given which are above the current market price. Choice (b) (12.80) represents a more effective means to protect the profit. Choice (a) (13.80), although by no means incorrect, is not the best answer to the question, since an additional point of profit will have been eroded by the time this order is activated.
A mortgage banker has an $11.75 million portfolio of mortgages that will be sold later in the secondary market. How many ($100,000) T-note contacts would be used to hedge the portfolio and what would be the circumstances?
a. 118 contracts to protect against rising interest rates
b. 12 contracts to protect against rising interest rates
c. 118 contracts to protect against falling interest rates
d. 12 contracts to protect against falling interest rates
a. 118 contracts to protect against rising interest rates
To determine the number of contracts needed to hedge the portfolio, the value of the portfolio is divided by the value of one T-note futures contract. $11,750,000 divided by $100,000 equals 117.5 contracts. In most cases the hedger should round down to avoid having a partial speculative position. Rounding down to 117 contracts is not one of the given choices. Rounding down below 117.5 to 12 contracts (the next lowest choice) is not an effective hedge for the size of the portfolio. The only viable alternative is to round up to 118 contracts. The mortgage banker is concerned that interest rates will rise causing his portfolio to fall in value.
An economic slowdown is continuing. An investor should buy T-bond futures.
a. True
b. False
a. True
BLANKANSWEREXPLANATION
A portfolio manager owns $750,000 of blue chip stocks. The manager is concerned about a downturn in the market and decides to hedge with the Major Market Index by selling 8 contracts at 440.75. (Assume the MMI multiplier is $500.) When the MMI is at 413.25, the manager closes out the futures position and liquidates the stock portfolio. The portfolio is sold for $637,500. What is the result of the hedge?
a. The futures position offsets the entire loss on the portfolio and produces an additional $2,500 profit.
b. The futures position offsets all except $2,500 of the loss on the portfolio.
c. The manager lost $110,000 on the stock portfolio and also lost $112,500 on the futures position.
d. The $110,000 gain on the stock portfolio was reduced by a $2,500 loss on the futures position.
b. The futures position offsets all except $2,500 of the loss on the portfolio.
The portfolio loss is based on a value of $750,000, later sold for $637,500. This results in a loss of $112,000. The hedge using the MMI results in the following:
Short @ 440.75
Buy @ 413.25
Gain 27.50
Multiplier x 500
Gain/contract 13,750
Contracts x 8
Gain 110,000
The gain of $110,000 on the futures contracts offsets all but $2,500 of the loss sustained in the portfolio.
A short hedger is one who:
a. Buys futures contracts against a long cash position
b. Buys futures contracts against a short cash position
c. Sells futures contracts against a long cash position
d. Sells futures contacts against a short cash position
c. Sells futures contracts against a long cash position
A short hedger would sell futures contracts to hedge their long cash position.
A sell stop order means execute the order immediately or not at all.
a. True
b. False
b. False
A stop order is triggered once the value specified in the stop is reached. It then becomes a market order to be executed as soon as possible.
A trader buys 4 T-bills a 92.05. When the contract is at 93.04, the trader sells 3 contracts. Later, when the contract is at 93.14, the trader closes the remaining position. The result is a:
a. $5,200 profit
b. $9,900 loss
c. $10,150 profit
d. $10,900 profit
c. $10,150 profit
This is really two speculation questions:
A trader is long @ 92.05
They sell @ 93.04
Profit = [.99 or 99 basis points (each basis point has a value of $25.00) 99 x $25 = $2,475 profit for each of three contracts
$7,425 = total profit for the first three contracts]
In the remaining contract:
A trader is long @ 92.05
They sell @ 93.14
Profit = 1.09 or 109 basis points x $25 = $2,725
The total profit is the sum of the two profits: $7,425 + $2,725 = $10,150
When the value of the underlying commodity is stable, as the time to expiration decreases, the value of a futures option increases.
a. True
b. False
b. False
In a stable market, time value erodes as the option contract approaches expiration.
Price for corn futures are as follows.
Dec 270
Mar 266
May 261 1/4
July 252
What would most likely cause this situation?
a. A reduction in demand for corn
b. Tight supplies of corn
c. Volatile trading in the pits
d. Favorable weather forecasts
b. Tight supplies of corn
This is an example of an inverted market or backwardation. When near month contract prices are higher than the deferred month contract prices, this is usually due to a shortage of the underlying commodity.
Equity in a customer’s account drops below maintenance level. Which of the following is true?
a. The client must deposit cash to bring the equity up to the original margin requirement.
b. The client must deposit cash to bring the equity up to the maintenance level.
c. The broker must demand additional cash only if the client takes a new position.
d. The broker must immediately close the position.
a. The client must deposit cash to bring the equity up to the original margin requirement.
In the futures market, a maintenance call (variation call) requires the client to deposit an amount sufficient to bring equity to the original margin requirement level.
The manager of a large equity portfolio is considering writing a covered call. When the market value of the S&P 500 is 899, there are 898 puts and calls both available with a premium of $4. If the S&P 500 is below 898 at expiration, the manager would:
a. Gain $4 from selling a call
b. Lose $4 on the portfolio
c. Gain $4 from selling a put
d. Lose $4 from buying a call
**a. Gain $4 from selling a call** The writer (seller) of a call option receives the option premium. In this case, the call option would expire unexercised, since the market price is below the strike price of the call.
An arbitrageur believes the December S&P 500 contract has a theoretical value of 809. The actual current price of the contract is 808.40 and the initial margin requirement is $15,000 per contract. The arbitrageur buys 10 contracts. The multiplier is $250. The December contract goes to 809 and she closes out her position. What is the gain in dollars and as a percentage of the margin?
a. $150 profit and .01
b. $150 profit and .10
c. $1,500 profit and .01
d. $1,500 profit and .10
c. $1,500 profit and .01
The arbitrageur goes long the futures @ 808.40
The contracts are sold @ 809
The profit = .60 points
Each point has a value given as $250
The profit per contract: .60 x $250 = $150. Multiplied by the ten contracts results in a total profit of $1,500. The initial margin requirement is $15,000 per contract. The arbitrageur bought 10 contracts.
Since the profit was $150 per contract, the total profit is $150 x 10 = $1,500. The percentage profit is determined by taking the profit per contract ($150) and dividing it by the margin requirement per contract ($15,000). This equates to a .01 profit or 1%. The total profit of $1,500 can also be divided by the total margin requirement of $150,000. This results in the same 1% profit.
There is an active OTC market in futures contracts similar to the OTC market in equities.
a. True
b. False
b. False
The answer is false. Trading in futures occurs on the organized exchanges. There is no active over the counter market for futures.
Rising prices with decreasing volume is a technically strong market.
a. True
b. False
b. False
The two examples of a technically strong market are: rising prices and increasing volume, or declining prices and declining volume. The example given is that of a technically weak market. Declining prices and increasing volume represent the other example of a technically weak market.
What is the reason for the leverage found in futures contracts?
a. The volatility of futures prices
b. The small margin compared to the size of the futures contract
c. The size of the minimum price change (tick)
d. The size of the contract
b. The small margin compared to the size of the futures contract
The required margin for a futures contract is a relatively small percentage of the underlying value in the contract. This provides the leverage. For example: if the required margin is 10% for a contract, a client would have 10 times leverage. If the required margin is 5%, the client would have 20 times leverage.
A farmer estimates his corn crop to be 6,500 bushels. He hedges by selling one futures contract at 3.31. He later sells his cash crop at 3.18 and closes out the futures position at 3.20. What is the net amount the farmer received from his crop?
a. $16,450
b. $20,670
c. $21,220
d. $21,385
c. $21,220
The answer to this question requires knowledge of the futures contract size. In the case of corn, the contract size is 5,000 bushels.
The profit on the futures position is:
Short @ 3.31
Buy @ 3.20
Profit .11
Contract size x 5,000
Profit $550
Proceeds in the sale of the corn are:
Sale @ 3.18
Crop size x 6,500 bushels
Proceeds $20,670
The total proceeds are $21,220.
A short futures position and a short call is equivalent to a short put.
a. True
b. False
b. False
A short futures position and a short call are each bearish positions. Each will be profitable in a declining market either as individual positions, or if used together. A short position in a put is a bullish strategy. The writer of the put will profit by retaining the option premium. This will occur if the futures price rises above the option strike price, causing the option contract to expire worthless.
A U.S. importer pays for cars in Japanese yen. The importer is afraid that the dollar will weaken. He should sell yen futures.
a. True
b. False
b. False
The answer is false. An importer who pays for its shipments in a foreign currency would need to hedge against an increase in the cost for that foreign currency. As a user of the foreign currency, the importer is short the basis. To hedge they should take a long foreign currency futures position, or its equivalent. Buying a call option allows the holder the right to take a long position in a futures contract. This would be an effective hedge. If the importer sells the call option, they are obligated (if exercised) to take a short futures position. This is not an effective hedge.
A long futures position is inherently less risky than a short futures position.
a. True
b. False
a. True
The maximum loss in a long contract, while substantial, is limited to a futures contract value becoming worthless. The losses attributable to a short futures position are unlimited. There is no maximum value that a futures contract could reach.