Possible macroeconomic objectives and conflicts Flashcards
What are the main macroeconomic objectives?
- Sustainable and balanced economic growth (% change in real GDP)
- Environmental protection: growth needs to be sustainable
-
Price stability: control of cost and price inflation (eg via an inflation
target) - High employment rate, low unemployment, reduced inactivity in the
labour market - Sustainable overseas trade balance in goods and services/Balance of Payments current account in equilibrium
- More equitable final distribution of income and wealth - greater income
equality
What are examples of trade offs between macroeconomic objectives?
- Faster growth can fuel demand-pull inflation and widen a deficit on the current account; income inequality may rise if the growth is not inclusive
- Low unemployment can increase real wages and cause cost-push inflation
- Polices to reduce inflation can slow growth and cause unemployment
- Reducing government borrowing and the national debt can slow growth and cause living standards to stagnate
What is the Phillips Curve and what does it look like?
The Phillips Curve is an economic model that shows the possible inverse nonlinear relationship between the unemployment rate and the rate of inflation
Explain the Phillips Curve at A
At A: when unemployment is high, inflationary pressures in an economy tend to be weak; there is lots of spare capacity (negative
output gap) in the economy, so reducing unemployment does not put much upward pressure on wages and prices
Explain the Phillips Curve at B
At B: as unemployment falls further, then wage pressures and price
pressures may start to accelerate – the gradient of the curve steepens
If unemployment falls even lower, the risk of a significant increase in
inflation goes up - the output gap is likely to be positive and factor
markets are experiencing shortages
What is stagflation?
when both unemployment and inflation are high (a
stagnant economy with inflation)
Explain challenges to the Phillips curve
The short run Phillips curve could shift out if expectations of inflation increase, or inwards if expectations of inflation decrease
Some monetarist economists do not believe the inflation-unemployment trade-off exists in the long run (the long-run PC Is vertical), meanwhile Keynes though it was possible to have differing levels of unemployment at the same inflation rate