Population ecology Flashcards
Population
A group of individuals of the same species occupying a specified geographic area over a specified period of time.
The area may be ecologically relevant (an island) or irrelevant (a political district), and the boundaries may be porous, with individuals immigrating to and emigrating from the population.
Population ecology
The study of the dynamics of species’ populations, and their interactions with the environment and one another
What are some central population ecology questions?
Basic science:
How do populations change over time?
What mechanisms drive population change?
Applied problems:
What is the risk of a species going extinct within 100 yr?
What is the most cost-effective way to eliminate an invasive species?
To answer these questions, we need a combination of field/lab data and mathematical models.
Simple population growth model
See also page 6
Suppose that at time t=0, we have two individuals. And suppose that the population doubles in one timestep. We can express this as a difference equation (or recurrence relation):
Nt+1 = 2Nt
where Nt is the population size at time t. And we have the initial condition N0=1.
We can also generalise the model to arbitrary growth rates and initial population sizes:
Nt+1 = (1+r)Nt
which has the following solution:
Nt = (1+r)^tN0
Here r is the population growth rate (r=0 means constant population size; r<0 means declining population size; r>0 means increasing population size) and N0 is the initial population size.
If exponential growth is calculated in continuous time, the solution becomes:
N = N0e^(rt)
Limiting factors to population growth
Lack of food (food is finite)
Lack of space (space is finite)
Disease (spreads more easily in dense populations)
Predation (predators can feed more efficiently on dense populations)
-> Populations cannot grow forewer (carrying capacity and logistic growth)
Population structure
Distribution of ages or sizes within a population, and how each group contributes to population growth
Spatial structure
How individuals are distributed across space, which may affect interactions and carrying capacity of the environment
Stochasticity
Random events that may kill individuals or members of the population, leading to unexpected declines
Concept of age and stage-based population models
Page 10
Basic steps in population modeling
Write one population dynamics equation for each age/stage class, specifying fecundity and transition rates
Analyse using tools of matrix algebra, combining equations for all classes
Determine long-run growth rate (λ): λ>1 means the population is growing;
λ<1 means the population is declining
Calculate stable age/stage structure: the long-term distribution of age or stage classes at which the population will settle if current demographic trends continue
Calculate elasticities: an elasticity is the proportional change in the growth rate (λ) given a proportional change in a demographic parameter (e.g., mortality, fecundity)
Stage structure: Killer whales
See page 19
in general see slides for case studies
see slides or lecture recording