Poker Math that Matters Flashcards

0
Q

Into what two sections can we break accurate assumptions?

A

Opponents range of hands, and how they will play that range.

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1
Q

What are the two keys to good poker?

A

Accurate assumptions

Making the best decisions

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2
Q

Which of the two keys to good poker is developed through playing experience?

A

Accurate assumptions

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3
Q

On which of the two keys to good poker should beginners spend a lot of time?

A

Making the best decisions.

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4
Q

How can we use mathematics in poker?

A

Mathematics shows us which decision is the best play.

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5
Q

What are the 4 different ways we can look at results?

A

Real bucks, Sklansky bucks, G-bucks, reciprocal bucks

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6
Q

What are results based on real bucks?

A

What we won or lost on a given hand.

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7
Q

What are results based on Sklansky bucks?

A

Individual bets in hand vs. hand matchups.

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8
Q

What are results based on G-bucks?

A

Our expectation value vs. our opponents range.

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9
Q

What are results based on reciprocal bucks?

A

Our strategy vs. our opponents strategy.

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10
Q

What % must we win after villian bets 3x pot.

A

43%

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11
Q

What % must we win after villian bets 2x pot?

A

40%

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12
Q

What % must we win after villian bets Pot?

A

33%

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13
Q

What % must we win after villian bets 3/4 pot?

A

%30

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14
Q

What % must we win after villian bets 2/3 pot?

A

28%

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15
Q

What % must we win after villian bets 1/2 pot?

A

25%

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16
Q

What % must we win after villian bets 1/3 pot?

A

20%

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17
Q

What % must we win after villian bets 1/4 pot?

A

16%

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18
Q

What odds are offered on a 3x pot bet?

A

1.33 : 1

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19
Q

What odds are offered on a 2x pot bet?

A

1.5 : 1

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20
Q

What odds are offered on a Pot bet?

A

2:1

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21
Q

What odds are offered on a 3/4 pot bet?

A

2.33 : 1

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22
Q

What odds are offered on a 2/3 pot bet?

A

2.5 : 1

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23
Q

What odds are offered on a 1/2 pot bet?

A

3:1

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24
Q

What odds are offered on a 1/3 pot bet?

A

4:1

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25
Q

What odds are offered on a 1/4 pot bet?

A

5:1

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26
Q

How much must we win if villain bets and we call with 35% equity?

A

2x the bet

27
Q

How much must we win if villain bets and we call with 25% equity?

A

3x the bet

28
Q

How much must we win if villain bets and we call with 20% equity?

A

4x the bet

29
Q

How much must we win if villain bets and we call with 15% equity?

A

6x the bet

30
Q

How much must we win if villain bets and we call with 10% equity?

A

9x the bet

31
Q

How many combos of suited hands are left after 0 cards from the suit have been exposed?

A

78 suited combos left

32
Q

How many combos of suited hands are left after 1 card from the suit has been exposed?

A

66 suited combos left

33
Q

How many combos of suited hands are left after 2 cards from the suit have been exposed?

A

55 suited combos left

34
Q

How many combos of suited hands are left after 3 cards from the suit have been exposed?

A

45 suited combos left

35
Q

How many combos of suited hands are left after 4 cards from the suit have been exposed?

A

36 suited combos left

36
Q

How many combos of suited hands are left after 5 cards from the suit have been exposed?

A

28 suited combos left

37
Q

How many combos of suited hands are left after 6 cards from the suit have been exposed?

A

21 suited combos left

38
Q

Bluffing is used to what?

A

Exploit opponents and helps us to get value from our strong hands when playing against good observant opponents.

39
Q

When risking x to win .5x we must be good how often?

A

67%

40
Q

When risking x to win .8x we must be good how often?

A

55%

41
Q

When risking x to win x we must be good how often?

A

50%

42
Q

When risking x to win 1.5x we must be good how often?

A

40%

43
Q

When risking x to win 2x we must be good how often?

A

33%

44
Q

When risking x to win 3x we must be good how often?

A

25%

45
Q

When considering bluffing with a pot size raise or 2x pot bet, how often must we be good?

A

67%

46
Q

When considering bluffing with a 1/2 pot size raise, how often must we be good?

A

55%

47
Q

When considering bluffing with a pot bet, how often must we be good?

A

50%

48
Q

When considering bluffing with a 2/3pot bet, how often must we be good?

A

40%

49
Q

When considering bluffing with a 1/2pot bet, how often must we be good?

A

33%

50
Q

When considering bluffing with a 1/3 pot bet, how often must we be good?

A

25%

51
Q

What’s the first step in determining your equity against a range?

A

1) Determine your equity against each hand in the range.

52
Q

What’s the second step in determining your equity against a range?

A

2) Multiply your range equity by the # of combinations for that hand.

53
Q

What’s the third step in determining your equity against a range?

A

3) Add together the results from step 1 and 2 for each hand in the range.

54
Q

What’s the fourth step in determining your equity against a range?

A

4) Divide the results from step three by the total combinations in the hand range.

55
Q

How do we figure our Reward:Risk ratio?

A

1) Total pot size times our equity.
2) Subtract the result from step one, from our bet.
3) Examine the risk:reward ratio.

56
Q

What are three key variables when analyzing whether or not a semi-bluff shove is a good move?

A

1) SPR
2) How often villain folds.
3) Showdown equity

57
Q

How to chunk whole stack with an SPR of 13?

A

Pot, pot, pot.

58
Q

How to chunk whole stack with an SPR of 9?

A

Pot, 3/4pot, 3/4pot.

59
Q

How to chunk whole stack with an SPR of 7?

A

3/4pot, 3/4 pot, 3/4 pot.

60
Q

How to chunk whole stack with an SPR of 5.5?

A

Pot, 1/2pot, 1/2 pot.

61
Q

How to chunk whole stack with an SPR of 3.5?

A

1/2 pot,1/2 pot,1/2 pot.

62
Q

What are the two requirements for us to be concerned about counter-exploitation?

A

1) Our opponents must observe the exploitable behavior.

2) Our opponent must properly adjust based on his observations.

63
Q

What is the danger of slow-playing?

A

Slow-playing reduces exponential growth of the pot over multiple streets.

64
Q

How do we create a smaller SPR?

A

We create a smaller SPR by raising larger pre-flop.

65
Q

What factors make it difficult to create an SPR we desire?

A

Can’t determine how many callers.
Different stacks may be left to act.
Even with one caller, effective stack sizes may be different.

66
Q

How often will you flop a set when calling PF with a pocket pair?

A

12%