PH and EBM Flashcards
PICO
patient/ population
Intervention/ treatment
Comparison/ alternative treatment
Other relevant clinical info
types of observational study
advantages and disadvantages
observational:
- ecological
- cross sectional
- case-control
- cohort study
advantages:
- ethics (can’t force a group to smoke)
- can use very large groups
disadvantages:
- biases
- confounding (links an exposure with an outcome)
- reverse causality
cohort study
DONT HAVE ANY DISEASE AT START - see who develops disease with risk factors
- exposure to defined factors measured at baseline
- any new incidence of disease
- high and low exposure individuals compared
- calculate RISK RATIO
- prospective or retrospective
advantages:
- reduce reverse causality
- reduces selection bias
- allows testing of multiple outcome
- better confounder control
disadvantages:
- retrospective: recall and interviewer bias, reverse causality
- prospective: LONG, LOSS TO FOLLOW UP bias
- inefficient for rare diseases
cross-sectional study
SNAPSHOT OF PREVALENCE
- shows prevalence of disease in population at snap shot moment,
- good for measuring true burden of disease
- measure risk factors,
- can’t measure incidence, susceptible to reverse causality
case-control study
WHAT IS CAUSE OF THE OUTCOME
- recruit available cases and a comparable control group
- sample determined by outcome
- RETROSPECTIVELY assess exposure to potential risk factors - compare case and control
- if exposure more common in cases, risk factor associated with increased disease
- presented as ODDS RATIO
advantages:
- only study comparing groups defined by outcome
- good for RARE CONDITIONS
- can test for multiple exposures
disadvantages:
- reverse causality
- selection bias: when selecting control group, choose suitable population, not one which would have higher/lower associations to exposure
- measurement bias:
recall bias- cases more likely to recall exposure as they understand disease
interviewer bias - can cause cases to recall more exposure
systematic review
- all relevant evidence on a given clinical question
- minimise biases and random errors
- highest quality of evidence
- much cheaper and quicker than RCTs
disadvantages:
- only as good as the studies they’re done on
- reporting biases:
- -> publication bias - statistically significant are more likely published
- -> time lag - big studies published quicker
- -> language - English get published quicker
- -> multiple publication - big studies may be published in multiple places
p value
the probability of the observed results occurring just by chance, if the null hypothesis was true
very low p-value indicates strong evidence against the null hypothesis (differs in outcome to control)
risk ratio vs odds ratio
risk ratio: out of total number of people in the study
odds ratio: out of unaffected patients
sensitivity vs specificity
sensitivity:
true positive rate - probability of a positive test in people with disease (proportion of all those with the condition)
specificity:
true negative rate - prob of negative test result in people without disease
primary prevention definition
prevent the onset of disease
secondary prevention
early identification and treatment of disease
tertiary prevention
rehabilitate people with established disease
prevention paradox
large number of small risk cases may get disease, but population interventions may provide little to individuals
R number
effective reproduction rate - number coming from one case
R0
basic reproduction number R0 =
probability of effective contact x number of contacts x duration of infectiousness
better for planning for infectious diseases
(in a wholly susceptible population- scenario with no immunity)
cost effectiveness
cost per clinical effect
cost utility
cost per QALY
SMR ratio calculation
SMR =
example q:
condition present:
test +ve: 60
test -ve: 57
total: 117
condition absent:
test +ve: 1
test -ve: 400
total: 401
total +ve: 61
total -ve: 457
total people:
518
calculate sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value
sensitivity: 60/117
specificity: 400/401
positive predictive value: 60/61
negative predictive value: 400/457
positive predictive value
probability of having disease if you test positive
negative predictive value
probability of not having disease if you test negative
inverse equity hypothesis
new health interventions are initially adopted by wealthy/ educated, initially increasing inequalities as poorest/ less educated lag behind on uptake of the new health intervention
example: traffic light labelling of foods sold pre-packaged
which mechanism is bias reduced by with using big groups (e.g. school) instead of individuals
contamination
what aspect of trial quality is always feasible when comparing treatments in an RCT
allocation concealment
not: blinding (on either side), follow up
best available evidence in order
- systematic review
- RCTs
- cohort studies
- case-controlled studies
- background info
ecological study
WHAT IS THE EXPOSURE CAUSING
- average exposure plotted against rate of outcome
- association btwn them
- environmental or social exposures at population levels
- disadvantages: ecological fallacy
difficult to control confounding
dependent on previously collected data
what is ecological fallacy?
disadvantage of ecological studies: the assumption that average characteristics apply to individual
e.g. smokers get cancer
RCTs
- interventional study
- two arms one group exposed
- participants consent
advantages:
- evidence of causality
- best confounder control
- allocation concealment reduces selection bias
- blinding reduces measurement bias
disadvantage:
- sample size needs to be large enough
- selection bias
- performance bias
- detection bias
- attrition bias (unequal loss of participants)