PCM Flashcards
The study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency in populations and the application of this study to control health problems.
epidemiology
A range of values on either side of the odds ratio or point estimate
CI confidence interval
Used to determine if the observed differences between groups (such as ill and not ill) are significant or due to chance
p-value
What is a statistically significant p-value?
a p-value of less than or equal to 0.05 is statistically significant. The result is not likely attributable to chance.
What is the possible range of a p-value?
p-values range from 0-1
What is a statistically significant CI? (Or, what is a CI that is not statistically significant)
A CI that includes 1 is not statistically significant
What is a 95% CI telling you?
We are 95% confident that the true value lies in this range.
This measures new cases developing over a period of time
incidence
This measures existing cases at a particular point in time or over a previous period of time
prevalence
(# of new problems during a given period of time)/(total population at risk)
incidence
(# of patients with the problem at a designated time)/(total population at that time)
prevalence
This is used to compare risk in two different groups of people, for example risk of heart disease in smokers and nonsmokers.
relative risk
risk of disease in exposed/risk of disease in unexposed
This is the risk of a group developing a disease over a period of time
absolute risk
risk of disease in exposed - risk of disease in unexposed
incidence rate 1/incidence rate 2
rate ratio
used to determine the probability of a certain event, e.g. crude birth rate
ad/bc
[same thing as (a/b)/(c/d)]
odds ratio
odds of developing the disease in exposed is X times the odds of developing the disease in unexposed
If a pregnancy test is 99% _______ and the test result is negative, you can be nearly certain they are not pregnant.
(sensitive, specific)
sensitive
If an HIV test is 99% _______ and the test result is positive, you can be nearly certain they actually have HIV.
(sensitive, specific)
specific
A very sensitive test rules ___ disease when the result is ________.
(in, out/positive, negative)
A very sensitive test rules out disease when the result is negative.
A very specific test rules ___ disease when the result is _______.
(in, out/positive, negative)
A very specific test rules in disease when the result is positive.
If you get a positive test result, the probability that the person really does have the disease
positive predictive value
What is the difference between effectiveness and efficacy?
An EFFECTIVE treatment provides positive results in a usual or routine clinical care condition that may not be controlled for research purposes.
An EFFICACIOUS treatment provides positive results in a controlled experimental research trial.
What is the ‘number to treat’?
the NNT is the average number of patients who need to be treated in order to prevent one additional bad outcome
What are the characteristics of an ideal screening test?
100% specific, 100% sensitive
- reasonable cost, safe to administer
- disease has a widely available treatment with a potential for cure that increases with early detection
- can detect high proportion of disease in its preclinical state
- disease is a public health problem (common condition, significant morbidity & mortality)
- will lead to improved health outcomes
- test is widely available
What is the difference between screening and diagnostic tests?
Screening: primary or secondary prevention when patients are asymptomatic but at risk
Diagnostic: test is done when patient is suspected of having a disease and test will confirm
What is the procedure for parallel screening tests?
Two screening tests are performed at the same time and the results are combined
What is the procedure for serial screening tests?
Second test is performed only if the first test was positive