Part 2 Flashcards

1
Q

What two things should a successful shipowner focus on?

A
  • The change in world economy and world political conditions
  • The changes in the shipping market
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2
Q

What is the starting point in the Shipping Market Supply/Demand Model?

A

Balance of supply and demand

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3
Q

How are freight rates affected in the Shipping Market Supply/Demand Model?

A

Imbalance between supply and demand

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4
Q

What can a change in frieght rates prompt?

A
  • Ordering of new ships, scrapping of old ones
  • change in the performance of the fleet
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5
Q

What does a change in freight rates determine in terms of supply?

A

How supply responds to changes in demand

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6
Q

What generates most of the demand for sea transport?

A

World Economy

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7
Q

List all:

Five Factors affecting the demand
for sea transport

A
  1. World Economy
  2. Seaborne Commodity
  3. Average Haul
  4. Transport Costs
  5. Political Events
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8
Q

List all:

Five Factors affecting the Supply
for sea transport

A
  1. World Fleet
  2. Fleet Productivity
  3. Ship Building Productivity
  4. Scrapping and losses
  5. Freight Rate
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9
Q

What are the three aspects of the world economy that may change the demand for sea transport?

A

Business cycle, trade elasticity, trade development cycle

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10
Q

What is an important cause of short term volatility in seaborne commodity trades?

A

Seasonality of some trades

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11
Q

Which agricultural commodities are subject to seasonal variations caused by harvests?

A

Grain, sugar, citrus fruits

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12
Q

When do grain exports from the US Gulf reach a trough and build up?

A

Summer, September

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13
Q

During which seasons is more oil shipped in the oil business?

A

Autumn, early winter

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14
Q

In terms of average haul, What does the demand for sea transport depend upon?

A

Distance of cargo shipment

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15
Q

How Shippers deal with transport of seasonal agricultural commodities?

A

Shippers of these commodities rely heavily on the spot charter market to meet their tonnage requirements

As a result, fluctuations in the grain market have more influence on the charter market than some much larger trades such as iron ore where tonnage requirements are largely met through long-term contracts.

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16
Q

Seaborne commodity trades:

What are four types of change to look out for

A

1- changes in the demand for that particular commodity (or theproduct into which it is manufactured);
2- changes in the source from which supplies of the
commodity are obtained;
3- changes due to a relocation of processing plant which
changes the trade pattern; and
4- finally changes in the shipper’s transport policy

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17
Q

What does the demand for sea transport depend upon?

A

Distance of cargo shipment

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18
Q

What is the distance effect referred to as in this context?

A

‘Average haul’ of the trade

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19
Q

How is sea transport demand measured?

How is Average Haul derived?

A

tonnage of cargo shipped, multiplied by the average distance over which it is transported.

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20
Q

What are examples of events that dramatically illustrate the effect on ship demand of changing the average haul?

A

Closure of Suez Canal, Closure of Dortyol pipeline

21
Q

Why has the average haul changed in most trades over the last few decades?

A

Due to demand and source of supplies changes

22
Q

Political disturbances

The term, ‘political event’ is used here to refer to

A

as a localized war, a revolution, the political
nationalization of foreign assets or even strikes

23
Q

What do many developments in sea trade depend on?

A

Economics of shipping operation

24
Q

Why will raw materials be transported from distant sources?

A

If cost can be reduced or major benefit obtained

25
Q

How has the industry seen a reduction in transport costs over the last century?

A

Improved efficiency, bigger ships, more effective organization

26
Q

Why is the supply of shipping services slow in responding to changes in demand?

A

Takes years to build and ships have long physical life

27
Q

What determines the rate of fleet growth in the long run?

The fleet refers to a group of ships or vehicles.

A

Scrapping and deliveries

28
Q

What is the Physical Life of a ship?

A

ships have a physical life of 15-30 years

So responding to a fall in demand is a lengthy business, particularly when there is a large surplus to be removed

29
Q

What is a key feature of the shipping market model?

A

mechanism by which supply adjusts when ship demand does not turn out as expected

30
Q

What is the average Economic life of a ship?

A

about 25 years

a small proportion of the fleet is scrapped each year, so the rate of adjustment to changes in the market is measured in years not months

31
Q

What is fleet productivity in the shipping industry?

The fleet refers to a group of ships or vehicles

A

Efficiency of ship operation

32
Q

How is fleet productivity Expressed?

The fleet refers to a group of ships or vehicles.

A

in ton miles per dwt per annum.

33
Q

How is fleet productivity calculated?

The fleet refers to a group of ships or vehicles.

A

Total ton miles divided by deadweight fleet

34
Q

What Plays an active part in the fleet
adjustment process?

The fleet refers to a group of ships or vehicles.

A

The shipbuilding industry

35
Q

What is shipbuilding considered?

A

Longcycle business

Due to delay between ordering and delivering a ship is between 1 and 4 years

36
Q

What is the delay between ordering and delivering a ship?

A

1-4 years

37
Q

What impacts the market prospects of specific ship types?

A

Peaks and troughs in deliveries

38
Q

What does Fleet Productivity Measure?

The fleet refers to a group of ships or vehicles.

A

Fleet productivity measures the efficiency with which ships (or vehicles) are operated. It considers factors like speed and waiting time. Even with a fixed fleet size, optimal utilization adds flexibility.

39
Q

Scrapping and losses:

What does the rate of growth of the merchant fleet depend on?

A

Balance between deliveries of new ships and deletions

40
Q

What factors affect the scrapping of ships?

A

Age, technical obsolescence, scrap prices, current earning and market expectation.

41
Q

What is the ultimate regulator that the market uses to motivate decision-makers to adjust capacity in the short term?

A

Freight rates

42
Q

What does supply respond to in the short run?

A

Prices

When prices change, ships can adjust their operation speed and move to and from layup (temporary storage or inactive status).

43
Q

What do freight rates contribute to in the longer term?

A

Investment decisions which result in scrapping and ordering of ships

44
Q

What is a point at which the supply curve interact with demand curve determining the agreed freight rate between charterer and shipowner at a certain point

A

Equilibrium Price

45
Q

How many time periods are there to consider?

A

three

Momentary Equilibrium
Short run Equilibrium
Long run Equilibrium

46
Q

Short-run or Long-run:

When shipowners have time to take delivery of new ships and shippers have time to rearrange their supply sources?

A

Long run Equilibrium

47
Q

Short-run or Long-run:

when there is time to adjust supply by short-term measures such as layup, reactivation, combined carriers switching markets or operating ships at a faster speed?

A

Short-run Equilibrium

48
Q

What is Momentary Equilibrium?

A

When the deal must be done immediately; describe the day to day position as prompt ships in particular loading area compete for available cargoes.