Part 1 Flashcards
Observation –> … –> … –> …
question, hypothesis, prediction
Observation: Gammarus occurs almost entirely under stones (rather than open streams)
Question: … … Gammarus spend most of its time under stones?
why does
Hypothesis - an … proposed to account for observed facts - there is often more than one hypothesis generated
e.g.
Gammarus occurs under stones because:
- need to shelter from current
- their food gets trapped and accumulates under stones
- they are subject to predation by visually hunting fish and need to remain out of sight
explanation
Predictions - what you would … … … if the hypothesis was true - should be testable and ideally unique to hypothesis it is based on
e.g. shelter hypothesis - a greater proportion of gammarus should be found in the open in streams with slow flow (or slower flowing areas of a stream)
predation hypothesis - gammarus should aggregate under stones more in streams where fish are present than where they are not
expect to see
Hypotheses are … or not …, but rarely …
rejected, rejected, proved
- just bc one hypothesis is supported doesn’t mean there isn’t another underlying explanation - can’t think of all possible hypotheses - with the right evidence we can be sure that hypotheses cannot be true
Cycle of proposing hypotheses and then seeking evidence potentially capable of falsifying them is the scientific process often termed …
falsificationism
A variable is…
any characteristic that can be measured or experimentally controlled on different items or objects
- numeric or non-numeric (e.g. colour)
A set of related variables is known as a … …
data set
Numeric variables can be categorised as belonging to … or … scales
interval, ratio
Categorical variables can be characterised as … or …
nominal, ordinal
Nominal variables…
arise when observations are recorded as categories that have no natural ordering relative to one another, e.g. marital status, sex, colour morph
Ordinal variables…
occur when observations can be assigned some meaningful order, but where the exact ‘distance’ between items is not fixed, or even known, e.g. degree of aggressiveness sorted into the categories: initiates attack (3), aggressive display (2), ignores (1), retreats (0).
Rank orderings are also a type of ordinal data (e.g. place in a race - 1st 2nd 3rd etc.)
- can say something about relationship between categories: larger score = more aggressive response, greater score = slower runner. But cannot say aggressiveness score of 2 is twice as aggressive as a score of 1
Interval scale variables take values on a … numerical scale, but where the scale starts at an … point. e.g. … on a … scale but not on a … scale
consistent, arbitrary, temperature, celsius, Kelvin
- can say difference between 60 and 70 degrees C is the same as that between -20 and -10, but cannot say 60 degrees C is double the temperature of 30 degrees C
Ratio scale variables have a true … and a known consistent mathematical relationship between any points on the measurement scale, e.g. … scale for temperature
zero, kelvin
- on Kelvin scale 60K is double the temperature of 30K
Can meaningfully … or … with interval scales, but cannot meaningfully …, as you can with ratio scales
add, subtract, multiply
In general … variables are the best suited to statistical analysis
ratio
Accuracy is…
how close a measurement is to the true value
Precision is…
how repeatable a measure is, irrespective of whether it is close to the true value
The number of … … we use suggests something about the precision of the result. A value of 12.4 actually measured with the same precision as 12.735 should properly be written …
significant figures, 12.400
Usually the worst form of error is …, a … lack of accuracy
bias, systematic (the data are not just inaccurate but all tend to deviate from the true measurements in the same direction)
E.g.s of bias:
- …-… sampling
- … of biological material
- … by the process of investigation (e.g. adrenaline increased by process of sampling adrenaline in blood)
- … bias
non-random (selective sampling techniques), conditioning, interference, investigator
What does a population mean in statistics?
Any group of items that share certain attributes or properties
The goal of statistics is to learn something about … by … data collected from them
populations, analysing
Statistical populations are defined by the …
investigator
What is a population parameter?
A numeric quantity that describes a particular aspect of the variables in the populations (describes a feature of the distribution of variables in the population) - e.g. population mean, variance, correlation
The sample chosen must be as … as possible of the whole population
representative
A point estimate is useless on its own, as estimates are always derived from a … … of the wider population. They must be accompanied by a value of ….
limited sample, uncertainty
The chance variation that arises in different estimates using different random samples is known as … …
sampling error (or sampling variation)
The sampling distribution is the the distribution we expect a particular estimate to follow
yes
sample size is often denoted as “…”
n
Sampling error is … as sample size is …
reduced, increased
The standard error of an estimate is the … … of its … …
standard deviation, sampling distribution
R doesn’t like …
percentages (use decimals e.g. 0.4 to represent 40%)