Papers Flashcards
Lucas (1987) evaluation
We should care much more about growth than business cycles
Criticisms of HP filter
Nelson and Kang (1981) - spurious cycles
James D Hamilton - regress on past 4 values instead
Alternative is Baxter-King filter (1999)
King and Rebelo (1999)
Business cycle statistics
Kaldor (1957)
long-term growth facts
Hall (1978)
Utility well approximated by quadratic
consumption changes should be unpredictable (by income but is by stock market prices)
Ways to generate AK framework
Harrod (1939) Domar (1946)
Frankel (1962) - knowledge externalises
Arrow (1962) - learning by doing
Lucas (1988) - human capital
Uses of AK
King and Rebelo (1991) - fiscal policy on growth
Jones, Manuelli and Stachetti (1999) - macro volatility on growth
Acemogu and Ventura (2003) - terms of trade on growth
Jones and Manuelli (2005) - Handbook survey
King, Plosser and Rebelo (1988)
characterise set of utility functions which admit a balanced growth path
Greenwood, Hercowitz and Huffman (1988)
Labour choice affects utility from consumption
But no wealth effect
Not consistent with BGP
Barro and King (1984)
Cons and labour both only procyclical if wage is procyclical
Brock- Mirman Economy
log utility, 100% depreciation
Campbell calibration
estimate parameters from the data and vary a couple
not beyesian
Blanchard-Kahn approach
Matrix solving non indeterminant system of equations
Who showed aggregate-wage cyclicality underestimates individual wage cyclicality
Barsky, Solon and Parker
Implicit contracts where observed per-period wages are not allocative
Barro idea
Hall 2006 recent empirical application
Hansen indivisible Labour Model
lottery labour market
Shapiro-Stiglitz model
efficiency/ no-shirking wages
Deamon-Mortensen-Pissarides model
Search and matching
Pissarides (2000)
Who embed search in RBC to see GE business cycle implications
Merz (1995)
Andolfatto (1995)
Abel (1990)
Habits model
Smets and Wouters (2007)
external habits
also investment adjustment costs
Christiano, Eichenbaum and Evans (2005)
Internal habits
also investment adjustment costs
Deep habits defined at product level
Ravn, Schmitt-Grohe and Uribe (2006)
Tobin’s q
relationshib btwn mkt value of installed capital and replacement costs of capital
Holt, Modigliani, Muth and Simon (1960)
Production smoothing
Blinder (1986)
production smoothing model doesn’t fit facts
True Solow residuals which are much smaller (capacity utilisation and labour hoarding)
Basu Fernald and Kimball (2001)
same relationship found by Gali using VAR
Christiano et al (2004)
get tfp up hours up
Fisher (2005)
investment-specific technology shocks
Epstein and Zin (1989)
recursive utility infinite horizon
Gourio (2012)
Disaster model with EZ, time-varying prob
Gilchrist and Zakrajsek (2012)
Default risk spread is best predictor of recession
(Kiyotaki and Moore, 1997)
endogenous borrowing limits/ collateral constraints
(Eggertsson and Krugman, 2012)
borrowing constraints
Lucas critique year
1976
Friedman and Schwartz
short run monetary policy non-neutrality
Lucas (1982):
CIA
Nakamura and Steinssen 2008
7-11 month price duration excluding sales
Fuhrer and Moore (QJE, 1995)
Inflation autocorrelated
Gali Gertler
rule of thumb firms