Paper 2: Prime minister and the executive Flashcards

1
Q

What is the royal prerogative?

A

This refers to a set of traditional powers and privileges held by the monarch in the United Kingdom. These powers are exercised by the monarch or, more commonly, by government ministers on their behalf. Examples include the power to appoint ministers, issue passports, and grant pardons. While many royal prerogatives are now exercised by elected officials, they remain a significant part of constitutional law.

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2
Q

What is patronage and how does this give the PM power?

A

Patronage refers to the power an individual may enjoy to make important appointments to public offices. Having this ability grants power because it means that those who aspire to high office tend to be loyal to the person who has the power to appoint them.

Once appointed, that loyalty remains, not least because disloyalty may end in dismissal. The prime minister enjoys patronage over hundreds of appointments, including government ministers, peers and the heads of various state bodies.

It means that the majority of MPs and peers in the prime minister’s party tend to be loyal to them. This gives the prime minister great power they exert considerable influence over their party, their MPs and Parliament.

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3
Q

What are the formal powers of the Prime Minister?

A

• The prime minister has complete power to appoint or dismiss all government ministers, whether in the Cabinet or outside the Cabinet. They also have a say in other public appointments, including the most senior civil servants.

• The prime minister has power to negotiate foreign treaties, including trade arrangements with other states or international organisations.

• While the monarch remains legal and constitutional commander-in-chief of the armed forces, the prime minister advises the monarch and effectively determines the course of action to be followed by the military.

• The prime minister conducts foreign policy and determines relationships with foreign powers. In this sense they represent the country internationally.

• The prime minister heads the Cabinet system, chooses its members, sets its agenda and determines what Cabinet committees should exist and who should sit on them.

• It is generally true that the prime minister sets the general tone of economic policy. Usually this is done alongside the chancellor of the exchequer, who is normally a very close colleague.

The prime minister has a number of formal and informal powers. Most of the formal powers derive from the royal prerogative, while the informal ones tend to derive from the other sources of prime ministerial authority. It is worth noting that while all prime ministers are granted the same powers, circumstances can affect how able they are to exercise these powers.

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4
Q

how prerogative powers have changed in recent years, and include examples of the exercise of prerogative power in recent years? (David Cameron)

A

Until the twenty-first century, it was generally accepted that the prime minister had the sole power to commit UK armed forces to action. While the prime minister might consult with their Cabinet and invite a parliamentary debate, it was acknowledged that the final decision belonged to the PM.

All this appeared to change abruptly in 2013. It was revealed that the Syrian government was using chemical weapons against civilian populations in the civil war there (Assad). In response, Prime Minister David Cameron stated his desire to intervene, using UK air power. On this occasion, however, he sought the approval of Parliament. He did not need this approval constitutionally, but he felt it was politically important to seek it. To Cameron’s surprise, the House of Commons voted against such action. He respected the decision and cancelled any proposed intervention. It appeared that centuries of the prerogative power to command the armed forces had been set aside. Parliament seemed to be taking over military policy.

Two years later, in December 2015, Cameron again asked Parliament for approval for air strikes in Syria, this time against self-styled Islamic State (ISIS). Parliament gave its approval and the strikes began. However, the fact that Cameron felt the need to consult MPs demonstrated the vulnerability of his position.

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5
Q

What is a recent challenge to prerogative power in the Supreme Court.

A

Royal prerogative is deployed by the UK government when making/unmaking treaties, but the Supreme Court held in 2017 in R (Miller) v Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union that the government could not use the prerogative to serve notice of termination of the UK’s membership of the EU (under Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union). Instead legislative authority via an Act of Parliament was required by the Government.

-Likewise, in 2019: On 28th August Boris Johnson had ordered Parliament to be prorogued; on 24th September, the Supreme Court declared this unlawful. The Supreme Court ruled that the PM could not prorogue (suspend) Parliament.

-So, both cases demonstrated Parliament’s sovereignty and power over the PM

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6
Q

What is the meaning of ‘cabinet government’?

A
  • A cabinet government is a situation where the main decision-making of government takes place in the cabinet.
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7
Q

What are Cabinet committees?

A
  • DIFFERENT THAN SELECT COMMITTEES

-Cabinet committees are groups of ministers that can take collective decisions that are binding across government. They are partly designed to reduce the burden on the full cabinet by allowing smaller groups of ministers to take decisions on specific policy areas.

-The PM can create new committees as they see fit, or abolish old ones, they can also decide who sits on cabinet committees.

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8
Q

What is Collective Ministerial Responsibility?

A

1 Ministers are collectively responsible for all government policies.

2 All ministers must publicly support all government policies, even if privately they disagree with them.

3 If a minister wishes to dissent publicly from a government policy, they are expected to resign as a minister first (and return to the backbenches).

4 If a minister dissents without resigning, he or she can expect to be dismissed by the prime minister.

5 As Cabinet meetings are secret, any dissent within government is concealed.

• PMs can suspend it (though this is rare) – e.g. during the 2016 Brexit referendum, Cabinet ministers were free to campaign for either side.

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9
Q
A
  • Makes the government look united, creating a stronger view for the public of their lawmakers.
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10
Q

What are the disadvantages and risks of CMR for individual ministers?

A

-Leads to a lack of power of the ministers, as they may need to put aside their own interest in fear of the pressure of resignation and the pressure of upholding cabinet collective responsibility.

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11
Q

Why is CMR important?

A

The principle of collective responsibility within government is a great support to prime ministerial power and this is perhaps its main significance. A prime minister’s authority is greatly enhanced by the fact that they will not experience open dissent from within the government.

It is also important that the government presents a united front to the outside world, including Parliament that the government knows it can rely upon the votes of all ministers in any close division in the Commons. This is known as the payroll vote and, in theory as the prime minister can rely on about 120 votes in the House of Commons before any vote, or division, is taken.

It can also be said that collective responsibility reduces the possibility of open dissent. Critics say that it gags ministers and prevents them from expressing of open dissent.

Supporters of the principle, on the other hand, say that the secrecy of the system means that ministers can express their views honestly within Cabinet, knowing that their disagreement is unlikely to be publicised.

That said, when an issue becomes serious enough, it can rapidly become public. For example, in 2022, 24 ministers, including six Cabinet ministers, resigned because they felt they could no longer support then prime minister Boris Johnson, contributing to his resignation.

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12
Q

What is an example of an exception to CMR? (coalition)

A

• The first occurred during the coalition in 2010-15. Clearly it would have been impossible for ministers from two quite different parties Liberal Democrats - Conservative and to agree on every policy. Nobody would have believed them had they made such a claim.

A special arrangement was therefore made. The coalition arrived at a Coalition Agreement, which included all the policies the two party leaderships decided should be common to both sets of ministers.

Collective responsibility applied to the Coalition Agreement, but some areas of policy were not included. For example, the renewal of the Trident nuclear submarine missile system was excluded. Coalition ministers were allowed to disagree publicly on this issue. The same exception was applied to the question of intervention in the Syrian civil war.

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13
Q

What is an example of exceptions for CMR? (EU ref)

A

The second suspension of collective responsibility became necessary when it was decided to hold a referendum on UK membership of the EU in June 2016.

During the campaign, Conservative ministers were free to express views counter to the official government position that the UK should remain in the EU.

Several Cabinet ministers, including former justice secretary Michael Gove, and former leader of the House of Commons Chris Grayling, openly campaigned against the official government line. A similar arrangement had been made the last time there was a referendum on UK membership of the European Economic Community (EEC) in 1975.

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14
Q

What is an example of exceptions to CMR (May)?

A

The third reason, though not an official suspension, was seen between 2017 and 2019, when Theresa May failed to exert collective responsibility as various Cabinet ministers became openly critical of her Brexit deal.

This was more out of necessity than any real policy, as May was trying to find a consensus between two deeply divided sides and forcing any of the key Cabinet ministers to resign, despite their open hostility to her deal, may have led to a loss of support and an even earlier end to her premiership.

Although more than 50 ministers in total would resign in this period, it is noticeable how publicly key Cabinet ministers criticised official policy without being forced to resign. This suggests that the doctrine depends more on the strength and authority of the prime minister than on any hard and fast rule.

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15
Q

Why is CMR a negative aspect of the UK political system?

A
  • It puts too much power into the hands of the prime minister.

• It means that ministers cannot be openly honest about their views on policies. This may stifle debate within government.

• Resignations under the doctrine are dramatic events that may seriously undermine government.

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16
Q

Why is CMR a positive aspect of the UK political system?

A

• It creates a government that is united, strong and decisive,

• The public, Parliament and the media are presented with a clear, single version of government policy.

• Though ministers cannot dissent publicly, the confidentiality of the Cabinet means that ministers can engage in frank discussions in private.

The key to evaluation for this debate is the importance it holds for the political system as a whole, meaning you must decide whether having a publicly unified government is a greater positive for the UK political system than the opportunity for open and public debate among the senior members of government.

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17
Q

What was the mass ministerial resignation under Johnson? (July 2022)

A
  • In early July 2022, 62 of the UK’s 179 government ministers, parliamentary private secretaries and other junior ministers resigned en masse.
  • Partygate had hugely damaged Johnson’s reputation, but it was the Chris Pincher scandal that was the final straw.

On Jul 5th , both Rishi Sunak and Sajid Javid, respectively Chancellor of the Exchequer and Secretary of State for health and social care, resigned almost simultaneously.

18
Q

How did Suella Braverman breach CMR?

A

-Braverman’s exit may be over another technical breach of the ministerial code: for publishing an article without taking in No.10’s edits (and probably not warning them that she was up for publishing and then being damned).

-This goes against CMR as no 10 gave edits, and braverman ignored them.

-It may be over the content of that article, deliberately aimed at raising the temperature ahead of a difficult weekend, undermining a key constitutional convention about the operational independence of the police (more harsh on white protestors than pro-Palestine protestors) putting the government in direct confrontation with the UK’s most senior police officer.

19
Q

What is IMR?

A

ministers are collectively responsible for government policies. However, each minister is also individually responsible for matters that affect the department separately. Ministers are also individually responsible for their own performance as a minister and their conduct as an individual. The doctrine individual ministerial responsibility used to be a significant feature of governing the UK, but in some ways in recent years it has declined in importance.

1 Ministers must be prepared to be accountable to Parliament for the policies an decisions made by their department. This means answering questions in the House, facing interrogation by select committees and justifying their actions i debate.

2 If a minister makes a serious error of judgement, concerning either personal o political matters, they should be required to resign.

3 If a serious error is made by the minister’s department, whether or not the minister was involved in the cause of the error, the minister is honor-bound to resign.

4 If the conduct of a minister falls below the standards required of someone in public office, particularly if they break the ministerial code of conduct, they should leave office and may face dismissal by the prime minister. As demonstrated by Boris Johnson in 2022, this code is also expected to apply to the prime minister. but this is more difficult to enforce.

20
Q

What is the Ministerial Code?

A

• The Ministerial Code sets out the standards of conduct expected of ministers and how they discharge their duties.

For example: It states that “holders of public office should be truthful” and that: “It is of paramount importance that ministers give accurate and truthful information to parliament, correcting any inadvertent error at the earliest opportunity. Ministers who knowingly mislead Parliament will be expected to offer their resignation to the Prime Minister.”

• Since 2006, UK government ministerial code breaches have been investigated through an independent adviser on ministerial interests or by the cabinet secretary, but there is no requirement to follow any particular process. It is not legally binding - it is ultimately up to the Prime Minister to decide how to interpret and enforce it. Typically it is amended with each new PM.

• By convention, it’s expected that breaking the code leads to dismissal.

21
Q

How does the Priti Patel case study show IMR being enforced?

A

In November 2017 reports emerged that the then international development secretary, Priti Patel, had arranged and attended meetings in August 2017 with Israeli politicians, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, without approval or authorisation from the Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO).

This was a breach of the ministerial code of conduct as any meeting between an official representative of the UK executive and a foreign government has to be authorised by the FCO in order to ensure consistency and full knowledge of the diplomatic situation.

After an initial apology to Prime Minister May, Patel was allowed to stay in post, but when details of two other similar meetings between her and Israeli officials in September 2017 emerged, she was recalled from a meeting in Uganda and, after a 45-minute meeting with the prime minister, offered her resignation.

22
Q

How does the Amber Rudd case study show IMR being enforced?

A

Between 1948 and 1973, people born as ‘subjects of the British Empire’ were given British citizenship and the right to live and work in the UK, leading to half a million people travelling to and settling in the UK as part of the Windrush generation. While restrictions were imposed after 1973, all those who had settled in the UK before then were granted full British citizenship, as were their children.

However, in 2017 a scandal emerged that showed that in a bid to impose tougher immigration targets and tackle illegal immigration, the Home Office had been responsible for many of the Windrush generation being treated as illegal immigrants, with benefits and services being cancelled, some being detained, others losing their jobs and being denied re-entry into the UK, and at least 83 being wrongly deported, partly as a result of a wider target to deport 10 per cent of illegal immigrants.

When challenged about this by the Home Affairs select committee in March 2018, the then home secretary, Amber Rudd, stated that she was not aware of any such targets existing. However, a letter soon emerged proving that she was fully aware of the 10 per cent target. In her resignation letter, Rudd stated that she had unintentionally misled Parliament and was resigning for that reason.

23
Q

How does the Sajid Javid Case study show IMR being enforced?

A

The relationship between the prime minister (working from 10 Downing Street) and the chancellor (working from 11 Downing Street) is perhaps the most important political relationship in the UK. Although the chancellor is appointed by the prime minister, their position in charge of the Treasury means they have a rival power base and can, at times, be seen to exercise almost as much power and control over government policy because they are the one who determines the spending and taxation that impact on all other departments.

In many instances, the chancellor has been almost autonomous in their power. This was most clearly shown during the Brown and Blair years of government, and led to problems and rivalries that would eventually undermine Blair’s leadership.

A similar dynamic was beginning to emerge in 2020 between Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his chancellor, Sajid Javid, with Javid regularly clashing with Johnson’s special adviser, Dominic Cummings. In February 2020, Johnson, acting on the recommendation of Cummings, told Javid to replace all his advisers with people chosen by Johnson and Cummings, or to leave his post. Javid chose to resign, stating in his resignation letter that he ‘was unable to accept those conditions and I do not believe any self-respecting minister would accept those conditions.’

24
Q

How has the principle of IMR eroded in recent years?

A

The first principle. that ministers must offer themselves to be accountable to parliament, certainly operates successfully and is a key principle of UK government.

The second and third principles, however, have largely fallen into disuse. There is no specific way in which Parliament can remove an individual minister. Parliament and its select committees can criticise a minister and call for their resignation, but whether or not they go is entirely in the hands of the prime minister.

There was a time when ministers resigned as a matter of principle when a serious mistake was made, but those days have largely passed, excepting Amber Rudd (see the case study above). In her resignation letter, Rudd said she took ‘full responsibility’ for the fact she was not aware of ‘information provided to [her] office which makes mention of targets’. This was a rare event indeed. Before and since, many ministers have experienced widespread criticism and have apologised for errors made, but have neither resigned nor been dismissed.

This erosion of the principle does not, however, extend to the fourth type of responsibility, that which concerns personal conduct. Here, when ministers have fallen short of public standards, they have been quick to resign or been required to resign by the prime minister.

25
How does the Gavin Williamson case study show the erosion of IMR?
In the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and the closure of schools in March 2019, A Level and GCSE examinations were cancelled. Then secretary of state for education, Gavin Williamson, tasked his civil servants working in the Department of Education and the government's exam regulator Ofqual with devising a system to award grades to candidates based on the concept of 'centre-assessed grades'. This was intended to be a robust and fair system to make awarded grades comparable with previous years. As the education secretary, final approval of any system and the process rested with Williamson as part of the code of individual ministerial responsibility, not with the civil servants who developed the system. However, lower grades than expected were awarded, thousands of students missed out on university places and the fiasco was met with public outcry. Williamson blamed the algorithm devised by Ofqual for being overly restrictive, and he replaced the system by awarding grades based on original teacher-based estimates. Under the ministerial code, it would have been expected that, as education secretary, Williamson would take responsibility for the controversy and resign from his position. However, supported by the prime minister, he refused to resign, and in fact it was the head of Ofqual who resigned while Williamson continued in post.
26
How does the Suella Braverman case study show the erosion of IMR?
In October 2022, reports emerged that the home secretary, Suella Braverman, had sent an email from her personal email account (rather than the more secure official government account) to an MP which contained a draft document on immigration rules. The information was considered highly sensitive as it could have had an impact on economic growth forecasts. This was a clear breach of the ministerial code of conduct, and Braverman was forced to resign after just 43 days in office. However, her resignation letter, in which she acknowledged a 'technical breach' of the rules, also contained an attack on Prime Minister Liz Truss and focused more on criticism of the prime minister than on her own actions. Six days later, Braverman was reappointed as home secretary by the new prime minister, Rishi Sunak, after she publicly backed his bid to replace Truss. Although Braverman did resign over her mistake, the fact that she was reinstated in the same job less than a week later seems to suggest that the consequences of breaking ministerial rules have become very short-lived. In May 2023, Braverman was also alleged to have breached the ministerial code when she was said to have requested civil servants to arrange a one-to-one speed awareness course over a 50mph speeding fine she had received. Despite the accusations, Braverman remained in post.
27
How does the Priti Patel (bullying) case study show the erosion of IMR?
In March 2020, Sir Philip Rutnam, the most senior civil servant working in the Home Office, resigned in protest over what he claimed was bullying by the then home secretary Priti Patel, claiming that she had created a culture of fear. In a statement issued to the BBC, Rutnam claimed that Priti Patel had been advised early on not to shout and swear at staff and that she must treat members of the civil service with respect. Her behaviour appeared to be a clear breach of the ministerial code of conduct, which sets out expected standards of behaviour for all ministers while in office, including 'consideration and respect' for civil servants and other colleagues. Prime Minister Boris Johnson asked Sir Alex Allan, the prime minister's independent adviser on the ministerial code (a civil service position), to investigate the allegations made against Patel. In his report, issued in November 2020, Allan found that Patel had 'not consistently met the high standards required by the ministerial code of treating her civil servants with consideration and respect'. He cited examples of swearing and shouting at staff and stated that 'her approach on occasions has amounted to behaviour that can be described as bullying in terms of the impact felt by individuals'. Although this appeared to be a clear case of a breach of individual ministerial responsibility, which would traditionally have seen a minister resign or be removed, Patel issued an apology but claimed she was not aware of the impact of her behaviour and that she had not been supported by the staff at the time. The prime minister supported her, stating that he did not believe she was a bully, there were mitigating circumstances and he did not believe she should resign. In protest at the decision, Allan resigned, claiming he could no longer work as the prime minister's independent adviser on the code.
28
What are the different ways one can do a cabinet ‘reshuffle’?
1 To pack the Cabinet with the prime minister's own allies. This ensures unity and bolsters the prime minister's power, but the Cabinet may lack critical voices who can improve decision-making. After 1982 this was the tactic adopted by Margaret Thatcher (1979–90), an especially dominant prime minister with great singularity of purpose. Tony Blair (1997-2007) adopted a similar approach. 2 To pick a balanced Cabinet that reflects the different policy tendencies in the ruling party. When Theresa May became prime minister in 2016 she chose such a Cabinet, which included some of her former adversaries such as Boris Johnson, David Davis, Andrea Leadsom and Liam Fox. It was especially important for her to include members who were both in favour of and against leaving the EU. She did, however, keep some key allies close to her, including Chancellor Philip Hammond and Home Secretary Amber Rudd. John Major (1990-97) was forced into choosing a similarly varied Cabinet. 3 To pick a Cabinet of the best possible people. Such a Cabinet has not been seen since the 1960s and 1970s when Harold Wilson (1964-70, 1974-76) and James Callaghan (1976-79) assembled a group of all the talents'
29
What are some examples of the prime ministerial domination of cabinet?
-Margaret Thatcher (1979-90) dominated the Cabinet through the force of her will and by ruthlessly removing or marginalising her opponents. -Tony Blair (1997-2007) marginalised Cabinet. He adopted a style known as 'sofa politics' whereby he would develop ideas with a few advisers and senior ministers, outside the Cabinet in informal discussion few adviser present the Cabinet with a fait accompli (already decided before Cabinet meetings). This went further than Wilson, ministers would have policy imposed on their departments and the prime minister himself would take the dominant public role on key issues
30
How did Cabinet differ under the coalition government?
Cabinet places were apportioned to the two parties in the ratio 22:5, Conservatives to Liberal Democrats. The Liberal Democrats were given five specific ministerial positions (including Nick Clegg as deputy prime minister). Non-Cabinet posts were apportioned on a similar basis. • David Cameron would control appointments or dismissals to the Conservative posts and Nick Clegg controlled the Liberal Democrat posts. • Collective responsibility applied to all policies included in the Coalition Agreement. On other policies, ministers from the two parties were permitted to disagree publicly. Cameron still marginalised most of the Cabinet, working with an 'inner cabinet". This consisted of himself, Chancellor George Osborne, Liberal Democrat leader Nick Clegg, and Danny Alexander, Osborne's Liberal Democrat deputy. They were collectively known as 'the Quad'. Cabinet is too big to serve the prime minister constantly, so such inner groups of senior ministers are common. Under the coalition the cabinet becomes more important, in order to keep the government, which had different politician views from different parties, unified.
31
Why was cabinet more important during the coalition than any other?
Ironically, the coalition proved to be something of a brief 'golden age for the Cabinet. Suddenly, after years of becoming less and less significant, being increasingly marginalised within government and ignored by prime ministers, the Cabinet was important again. This was largely because the Cabinet now had roles it had never had before: • Disputes within the coalition were inevitable. The Cabinet was one of the key places where these could be resolved. Presentation of policy became difficult, so the Cabinet had to develop ways in which agreements between the parties could be explained. • If there was a dispute as to whether a policy had in fact been agreed between the coalition partners (and would therefore be subject to collective responsibility), Cabinet would be called on to clarify the issue.
32
How is having a large commons majority add to the strength of a PM?
A prime minister with a large majority in the House of Commons can afford to dismiss rebels and MPs who disagree with their view, partly because they can afford to lose a number of their own MPs in a vote and still win, and partly because the unlikeliness of a rebellion working (as in, defeating the prime minister's proposed legislation) is so remote that most MPs do not bother rebelling or dissenting. Prime ministers with little or no majority in the House of Commons are more likely to come under pressure from rebellious MPs and have to work much harder at securing the passage of legislation. Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair suffered only four defeats in House of Commons votes in their respective 11 and 10 years as prime minister, in contrast to the 34 defeats of Jim Callaghan's minority government from 1976 to 1979 and Theresa May's 33 defeats (and withdrawal of other key votes to avoid defeat) in her 3 years of leadership. With a large majority, prime ministers can find themselves relatively free from parliamentary constraints and can appear to act presidentially.
33
How is having a cohesive party add to the strength of a PM?
Having a unified party standing behind them, whether inside or outside of Parliament, can give a prime minister the necessary support to take tough and bold decisions and, even with a slim majority in Parliament, they could achieve great success. On the other hand, if the party is divided over key issues, it becomes much more difficult to manage, making the prime minister appear weak and ineffective while also allowing potential rivals to emerge as the head of rival factions. From 1983 to 1990 the Conservative Party was largely unified behind Margaret Thatcher, as was the Labour Party behind Tony Blair for his first two terms, giving both greater authority. Their successors, however, suffered from greater divisions within their parties, the Conservatives under John Major being deeply divided about the EU and the 'Blairite' and 'Brownite' wings of the Labour Party becoming more divisive under Gordon Brown. Similarly, the deep divisions over Brexit made it almost impossible for Theresa May to unify her party behind her Brexit deal, while Liz Truss was forced to resign over party opposition to her new policies and Rishi Sunak has been limited by divisions among his MPs.
34
How does securing an electoral mandate add to the strength of a PM?
A prime minister who can claim a clear mandate from the British public through a general election will be in a much stronger position when it comes to developing policy and passing legislation. MPs in the Commons are less likely to rebel against manifesto commitments that have secured a mandate, while the Salisbury Convention means the Lords will not oppose anything in a 'winning' manifesto. A prime minister who has failed to secure an electoral mandate is more likely to face opposition from the Lords and some of their own MPs, while the media are perhaps more likely to portray a prime minister who has not secured a mandate as weak. Consequently, despite having a large majority during the coalition, David Cameron faced problems from the Lords and both sets of MPs as neither the Conservative nor Liberal Democrat manifestos in 2010 had actually secured a mandate. It is also worth contrasting the lack of support Theresa May had (having failed to win a mandate in 2017) compared with Boris Johnson (who did secure a clear mandate in 2019) and the lack of support for both Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak, who did not have an electoral mandate.
35
How does being a first-term gov add to the strength of a PM
Being a first-term government can give a new prime minister something of a 'honeymoon' period. Any problems they face can be attributed to the previous party in government and they have no 'history' for which to apologise. If a prime minister or their party continues in office for multiple terms, then decisions and mistakes made start to undermine their authority. In this way, Tony Blair was at the height of his authority during his first term from 1997 to 2001, but by his third term, unpopular policies, particularly the decision to invade Iraq in 2003, had reduced his authority. Gordon Brown then had to take responsibility for being chancellor during the Blair years when the global financial crash of 2008 contributed to exposing some of the failures of New Labour's economic policy in the UK. Similarly, John Major, Theresa May and Rishi Sunak were all tarnished with the reputations of their party when they took over and also by the role they had played in previous administrations
36
How does having ‘PM coattails’ add to the strength of a PM?
A prime minister who is largely popular may well convince voters to elect MPs from a party they might not ordinarily support; this is often referred to as having 'prime ministerial coattails'. The idea of a prime minister being so personally popular that a lot of MPs win their seats on the back of the prime minister's popularity, so they are dragged into Parliament by metaphorically 'holding on to the coattails' of the prime minister. This means a lot of MPs owe their seats to the prime minister and so are more likely to be loyal and vocal supporters. MPs also have one eye on future general elections and support a prime minister who is likely to help secure their seats, but turn against one they see as an electoral liability. In the 1983, 1997 and 2019 elections, Thatcher, Blair and Johnson won a lot of seats in areas not traditionally seen as being supporters of their parties. While they remained popular for a time, when their reputations became more of a hindrance, likely to cost them feats, splits started to emerge and there was a decline in support for them, leading to their eventual removal from power. Prime ministerial coattails can also reflect successful policies that gain widespread popular support and lead to significant sections of the population favoring the prime minister. This can be seen with Thatcher's success in the Falklands War of 1982 and Thatcher's successful and popular privatization of the 1980s and the economic stability of the 'nice' decade, as defined by Mervyn King (former governor of the Bank of England) under Blair.
37
How does having lots of new MPs add to the strength of a PM?
Having a lot of new MPs helps a prime minister maintain authority as new MPs are more dependent on guidance and support for how to work as an effective MP. This means they depend on the support and influence of the whips' office and are far more likely to be compliant, as was the case for Tony Blair in 1997 and Boris Johnson in 2019. As MPs gain more experience, they are likely to become more independent and less willing to 'do as they are told', making it much harder for a prime minister to control them, as both John Major and Theresa May found to their cost. Although this is not always the case, a number of the new intake of MPs from 2019 proved difficult for Boris Johnson to manage, particularly those from the 'red wall', who voiced objections in 2020 about restrictive measures in their constituencies.
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How does having a low salience of issues add to the strength of a PM?
If a prime minister is lucky, they will be in a position where the issues they face are not controversial and do not evoke strong passions. This means there will be far less opposition to their policies and decisions, both inside Parliament and across the media, which should allow them to achieve a great deal. With the economy going well and most of New Labour's 1997 manifesto being fairly low salience, Tony Blair was able to achieve a lot and appear to be very powerful. However, highly salient issues, which do evoke strong passions, can undermine a prime minister's authority, as they face far more passionate and vocal opposition. Such issues make it far harder to persuade people to their point of view. The poll tax in 1990, the decision to invade Iraq in 2003, and the most salient of issues, Brexit, have all reduced the power and authority of their respective prime ministers.
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How does a fear of the alternatives add to the strength of a PM?
Finally, a prime minister may appear to be more secure and powerful if there is a fear of the alternatives. A prime minister can assert their authority over their MPs by threatening to resign, or actually resigning, as John Major did in 1995, or by threatening to call a general election. If MPs fear losing their seats or who might become leader, they are more likely to give the prime minister the support they need. If the alternatives become more appealing, then a prime minister's power is greatly reduced, as Tony Blair found when by 2007 most Labour MPs and party members appeared to prefer Gordon Brown to him. The strength of the opposition is also important here a strong opposition leader who might have a chance of winning makes the threat of an early election a genuine one to bring MPs into line. If the opposition is seen as being quite weak, it makes the threat less effective and so reduces the power of the prime minister. John Major used this to his advantage when trying to control his party in the 1990s, while the threat of Jeremy Corbyn's opposition never worked to bestow power on Theresa May.
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How do external factors add to the strength of the PM?
In addition to the internal political considerations described above, there are a number of external factors that determine how much power the prime minister can exercise. These include the following: • Devolution, as it develops further, gradually erodes the power of both the prime minister and the UK government as a whole. As Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland develop legislative powers, there will be large parts of the country outside central control. • While the UK was a member of the EU, the powers of UK government were, in theory at least, restricted as large areas of policy were in the hands of the EU's Council of Ministers. Following the UK's departure from the EU, however, these powers have been repatriated, offering a considerable boost to the prime minister's and Cabinet's ability to shape policy and determine the course of events. • Similarly, the UK's membership of NATO, and especially the country's close relationship with the USA, limits the UK's foreign policy options. The prime minister and Cabinet must take into account the country's main allies when conducting foreign policy. The UK's involvement in Middle East affairs is an especially important example. • Finally, as we have seen, events significantly affect the power of the Cabinet and the prime minister. This is mainly true of economic policy. In the early 1980s, early 1990s and after 2008, for example, economic policy-making was dominated by the problems of economic recession.