p3 Flashcards
what is probability?
probability deals with predicting the likelihood of future events
what is statistics?
statistics involves the analysis of the frequency of past events
what is an experiment?
any procedure that can be repeated any number of times and has a
well-defined set of potential Outcomes
what is an outcome?
π, is a potential eventuality of an Experiment.
what is the sample space
or βuniverseβ: Ξ©, the set of all possible outcomes (π) of the
experiment.
o An outcome is a member of the sample space, so we can write π β Ξ©.
what is an event
π΄, is some subset of Ξ©, π΄ β Ξ©. Can be a single outcome.
what are the events for a dice
The sample space for a dice roll contains six outcome
what is the sample space for a dice
Ξ©dice = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}.
what are the outcomes for a dice?
Outcomes, π = {1}, or π = {5}, or any other integer number between 1 and 6
We can describe three Events π΄, π΅ and πΆ as follows:
o Event π΄ - the rolled number is equal to 6;
o Event π΅ - the rolled number is odd;
o Event πΆ - the rolled number is greater than 3;
what are the outcomes?
Each of these events would then correspond to one or more outcomes in Ξ©dice, namely:
o π΄ = {6} π΅ = {1, 3, 5} πΆ = {4, 5, 6}
what is the union of A and B
The union of π΄ and π΅, denoted π΄ βͺ π΅, is the set of those outcomes which belong to
π΄ or π΅ (or both).
o π΄ βͺ π΅ occurs if π΄ occurs or π΅ occurs (or they both occur)
what is the intersection of A and B
The intersection of π΄ and π΅, denoted π΄ β© π΅, is the set of those outcomes which
belong to both π΄ and π΅.
o π΄ β© π΅ occurs if π΄ occurs and π΅ occurs.
what is the complement of A
The complement of π΄, denoted π΄, is the set of those outcomes which do not belong
to π΄.
o π΄ occurs if π΄ does not occur
what is the difference between set theory and probability theory when it comes to intersection notation
the intersection of
two sets. (π΄ β© π΅) is used by the set theory community. However, in the context of
probability theory, this is more commonly represented as (π΄, π΅).
what is the 1st axiom of probability
π π΄ β β
0 β€ π π΄ β€ 1
The probability of an event A is a real number
between 0 and 1.
what is the 2nd axiom of probability
π Ξ© = 1 The certain event has
probability 1
what is the 3rd axiom of probability
If A β© π΅ = β
Then π π΄ βͺ π΅ = π π΄ + π(π΅)
and
1π=Ϊ οΏ½οΏ½
π π΄π = Οπ=1
π π(π΄π)
The probability of the union of disjoint events is
equal to the sum of their probabilities.
what is the The Inclusion-Exclusion Formula
π π΄ βͺ π΅ = π(π΄) + π(π΅) β π(π΄, π΅)
what is conditional probability
Let π΄ and π΅ be events with π(π΅) > 0. The conditional probability π(π΄|π΅)
(probability of π΄ given π΅) is defined as:
π(π΄|π΅) =π(π΄,π΅)/ π(π΅)
* This represents the probability that π΄ will occur given that π΅ has occurred