Output Gaps Flashcards
Output Gaps
When there is a difference between actual GDP and portential GDP
Positive Output Gap
When actual GDP is above potential GDP
Negative Output Gap
When actual GDP is below potential GDP
Positive Impacts of positive output gaps
- Confidence increases
- Economic growth increases
- Encourage policy makers to pursue in contractionary fiscal and monetary policy
Negative Impacts of positive output gaps
- Unsustainable as workers get tired and machinery depreciates
- Price levels increase, inflation increases
- Workers bargain higher wages costs of production increase so cost-push inflation increases
- Wage price spiral
Positive Impact of negative output gaps
Encourages policy makers to pursue in expansionary fiscal and monetary policy
Negative Impacts of negative output gaps
- Confidence decreases
- Economic growth decreases
- Recessions
- Cyclical unemployment
- deflationary spiral
Evaluating the significance of output gaps
1. Depends on the school of thought
- the neoclassical approach say that the negative output gap is nothing to worry about as it is self correcting
- believe that everyone has perfect info and are rational so lower wage expectation
- however, keynes believe that the way to correct negative output gaps is gov intervention
- fiscal policy
2. Depends on the cause of the output gap
- if the negative output gap is due to debt fuelled consumption itmay actually lead to bigger debt
- in the long term, people may not be able to pay back these debts leading to reposession of homes
3. Duration of change