Operations Management Flashcards
What is MAPE?
Mean Absolute Percentage Error
What is MSE?
Mean Squared Error (Error Squared)
How do you calculate Forecast?
Trend Value multiplied by seasonal index’s
What is a seasonal index?
A measure of how a particular season through some cycle compares with the average season of that cycle.
What is a coefficient?
An integer that is written along with a variable, it is a constant in the formula.
What is the trend line formula?
Y = A + Bx
What is MAD?
Mean absolute deviation.
What is Bias in forecasting?
The average error.
What are the 4 time series components of forecasting?
Trend
Cyclical
Seasonal
Random
What is the exponential smoothing formula?
F+1 = F-1+a*(A-1-F-1)
How do you calculate MAPE?
Absolute error divided by absolute demand.
What is the formula for a regression line?
Y = A + Bx
Forecast is the same as?
Predicted Demand
What is MA3?
Monthly average of the last 3 months is the current forecast.
What is a in exponential smoothing?
Alpha - or the smoothing element.