omgggggggggg

Question 1

agree ao1

Answer 1

Class & region are
major determinants of
voting behaviour
* Opinion polls are
accurate predictors of
voting behaviour
* Voting behaviour
indicates party
alignment

Question 2

disagree ao1

Answer 2

People’s votes are now
influenced by party
policies and issues
* Opinion polls are no
longer a reliable
indicator of how people
vote.

Question 3

agree ao2

Answer 3

It has been the pattern since the post war
period that there are an enormous
number of ‘safe seats’
* This means that a person’s class and
region are crucial in how they vote
* Opinion polls shows stability in voting
patterns
* This means that not only does a person
identify with a class this alignment is
further enforced when a person identifies
themselves with a particular party
working in their interests

Question 4

disagree ao2

Answer 4

This means that there is increased voter
volatility and greater ‘swings’ or changes
in voter preferences
* This means that voting is ‘instrumental’
implying that voters are all independent
agents who make up their mind on what
is to their rational benefit
* This has been evident in recent elections
showing voter volatility
* Age and education have become better
indicators of how people will vote,
overtaking class and party loyalty

Question 5

ao3

Answer 5

Therefore, we can conclude that general
elections are won and lost in the few marginal
seats
* One can conclude that class & regional voting
leads to predictability and stability in in general
election outcomes
* We can conclude that the historic accuracy of
opinion polls shows stability and predictability
in General elections.
* We can conclude that elections are predictable
as political parties can rely on vast swathes of
the electorate to vote for them

Question 6

disagree ao3

Answer 6

We can conclude that far from being
predictable and stable it is no longer possible
to predict vast swathes of ‘safe seats’ thus
general elections outcomes are volatile
* Thus, we can conclude that party and class
alignment are not reliable as people now vote
more out of self-interest
* We can conclude that inaccuracies in opinion
poll predictions shows that elections are not
predictable or stable.
* We can reach the verdict that, the basis of
predicting voting behaviour has many changing