Odomirok 15 Flashcards

1
Q

List some uses of Schedule P (in addition to being used by outside parties to assess the reserve adequacy)

A
  • Supports and provides disclosure for the SAO
  • Shows how reserves have developed over time, and indicates where the development is coming from
  • Provides the source of payment patterns to be used in the tax discounting calculations
  • Shows the split between case reserves and IBNR
  • Provides historical claim count data to help review trends in frequency & severity, and chances in the claims handling and reserving
  • Provides the data to calculate the RBC loss sensitive discount
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2
Q

List the parts of Schedule P

A

Part 1. Loss & LAE experience as of 12/31 of the current year.
Part 2. Historical net loss & DCC estimates
Part 3. Historical net paid loss & DCC
Part 4. Historical net IBNR for loss & DCC (before tabular discount)
Part 5. Historical claim counts (closed with payment, open and reported)
Part 6. Historical earned premium
Part 7. Loss and premium data on loss sensitive contracts

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3
Q

How are losses in Part 1 grouped

A
  • Occurrence policies: AY
  • Claims made policies: RY
  • Tail policies: PY
  • Fidelity & surety policies: Discovery year
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4
Q

2 components of LAE

A
  1. Defense & cost containment (DCC)

2. Adjusting and other (A&O)

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5
Q

List some examples of DCC

A
  • Surveillance expenses
  • Fixed amounts for medical cost containment
  • Litigation management expenses (eg audit of bills)
  • LAE for pools, if reported by AY
  • Fees & salaries for appraisers, private investigators, hearing representatives, reinspectors, fraud inspectors; if working in defense of a claim
  • Fees & salaries for rehabilitation nurses (if not included in losses)
  • Attorney fees incurred due to duty to defend
  • Cost of engaging experts (if not included in losses)
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6
Q

List some examples of A&O

A
  • Fees of adjusters & settling agents
  • LAE for pools, if reported by CY
  • Fees & salaries for appraisers, private investigators, hearing representatives, reinspectors, fraud inspectors; if working in the capacity of an adjuster
  • Attorney fees incurred in determination of coverage
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7
Q

How was LAE historically segmented

A
  • Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses (ALAE): expenses that can be allocated to a specific claim
  • Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses (ULAE): Expenses that can not be allocated to individual claims
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8
Q

How are S&S expenses recorded

A
  • Paid losses are recorded net of S&S received

- Unpaid losses are recorded net of anticipated S&S (in the bulk & IBNR)

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9
Q

How are tabular & non tabular discounts treated in part 1

A
  • Net of tabular discount

- Gross of non tabular discounts (until columns 32 & 33) and net (in columns 35 & 36)

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10
Q

List 2 things that the claim count data from schedule P can be used to identify/analyze

A
  1. Changes in losses

2. Changes in claims settlement or reserving philosophy

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11
Q

What types of changes should actuaries look out for, when analyzing trends

A
  • Mix of business (type of exposure, geography)
  • Policy limits
  • Reinsurance attachment points & limits
  • The way that the company counts its claims
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12
Q

How is discounting reflected in parts 2-4?

A

Data is gross of all discounting

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13
Q

Issues with using the information in parts 2 to 4 to develop losses

A
  • Various allocations in the creation of Schedule P are based on the interpretation of the person completing it
  • Internal pooling or reinsurance arrangements that may have an impact on the data set may not be very obvious by looking exclusively at schedule P
  • Schedule P includes business from participation in voluntary and involuntary pools and/or associations: many of these pools record IBNR as case reserves/the level of participation in the pool may have changed over time
  • Schedule P only contains 10 AYs of data, but long tail lines may experience development later than 10 years
  • Commutations will distort the reserves
  • The data combines losses and DCC, potentially hiding trends in either component
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14
Q

What changes should be considered when using information in parts 2 to 4 to develop losses

A
  • Retentions
  • Claims settlement and reserving
  • Business mix
  • Underlying exposures
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15
Q

Formula to populate the right most column of the prior years row of part 3

A

From part 1:

D&A loss - ceded loss + D&A DCC - ceded DCC = Col 4 - 5 + 6 - 7

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16
Q

3 sections of part 5

A
  1. Cumulative number of claims closed with loss payment
  2. Number of claims outstanding
  3. Cumulative number of claims reported
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17
Q

What inconsistency should users be aware of when comparing part 5 data of different companies

A

Some companies record counts on a per claim basis, whereas others record them on a per claimant basis

18
Q

List some metrics that can be derived from the claim count data (in addition to other data from the Annual Statement)

A
  • Claim closure rates
  • CWP ratios
  • Claim frequency
  • Avg claim severity
19
Q

Formula for closure rate

A

Closed claims/total reported claims

20
Q

2 advantages of closing claims early

A
  1. Minimize chance that the claim will develop adversely

2. Allow insured to receive medical treatment/repair property damage/recover from loss

21
Q

3 reasons that settlement rates may reduce

A
  1. Reduction in staff
  2. Growth in the book without a corresponding increase in staff
  3. Surge in claims from a catastrophe
22
Q

Expected impact to ultimate loss projection if a slow down in settlement rates is not reflected

A

This will result in an understated projection

23
Q

CWP ratio equation

A

CWP claims/total closed claims

24
Q

Claims frequency equation

A

Claim counts (from part 5) divided by EPs (from part 1)

25
Q

Average claim severity formula

A

Net paid loss & DCC (from part 3)/ direct and assumed claims closed with payment (from part 5, section 1)

26
Q

Average case outstanding severity formula

A

Net case outstanding loss and DCC (part 2 - 3 -4)/direct and assumed open counts (part 5, section 2)

27
Q

Average reported claim severity formula

A

Net reported loss & DCC (from part 2-4)/direct and assumed reported counts (part 5, section 3)

28
Q

Factors that may cause loss trends

A
  • Inflation
  • Law changes
  • One time catastrophic claims
  • Changes in deductible/retentions
  • Internal factors
29
Q

List some metrics that can be calculated from the part 5 data to perform reasonableness checks to the unpaid claim estimates (by comparing actual to expected)

A
  • Average claim frequency = Ultimate claim count by AY/corresponding EP
  • Average ultimate severity = Ultimate loss and DCC by AY/Ultimate claim counts
  • Average unpaid claim severity = Unpaid loss and DCC by AY/Unpaid claims
30
Q

List some reasons that premiums in part 6 may change over time

A
  • Premium audits
  • Retrospective rated policies
  • Lags in reporting/accounting for premiums
31
Q

When would an insurer populate part 7

A

Only if it using the loss sensitive adjustment to RBC

32
Q

List the 2 parts of part 7

A

Part A: Primary contracts (direct business)

Part B: Reinsurance contracts (assumed business)

33
Q

List the five sections of each part of part 7

A

Section 1: Net loss & LAE unpaid and NWP on loss sensitive contracts, relative to all contracts, for each sched P line
Section 2: Incurred loss & DCC on loss sensitive contracts, in the same format as part 2
Section 3: Loss & DCC IBNR on loss sensitive contracts, in the same format as part 4
Section 4: Net earned premiums on loss sensitive contracts, in the same format as part 6
Section 5: Triangle of net reserves for premium adjustments & accrued retrospective premiums for each of the last ten years that the policies were issued

34
Q

Briefly describe the schedule P interrogatories

A

Series of seven questions that the insurer needs to answer, that add insight to the other information reported in sched P

35
Q

What topics does Interrogatory 1 cover?

A

Extended reporting endorsements (EREs) arising from death, disability or retirement (DDR). There are six parts:

  • The first asks whether the insurer offered the endorsement for free (or at a reduced rate)
  • The remaining parts are about how the company reports the DDR
36
Q

Main purpose of interrogatory 1

A

Ensure that the ERE coverage has been reserved for

37
Q

What topics does interrogatory 2 cover?

A

Asks if the LAE is being defined as DCC and A&O

38
Q

What topics does interrogatory 4 cover?

A

Asks for disclosure about whether the reserves are net of non-tabular discounts

39
Q

What topics does interrogatory 6 cover?

A

Whether the insurer reports claim counts per claim or per claimant

40
Q

What topics does interrogatory 7 cover?

A

Asks if there are any changes or anything special that the user needs to be aware of if she relies on the schedule P data to assess the adequacy of recorded loss & LAE reserves