Objectives and investment appraisal Flashcards

1
Q

Problems with CAPM

A
  • Rm estimated on future rather than historic returns
  • Rf - gilts are not risk free
  • beta calculation too simplistic
  • assumes fully diversified shareholders
  • shareholders are not only stakeholders
  • assumes objectives of company are to maximise shareholder wealth
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2
Q

Value drivers to increase shareholder wealth

A

1 Increase the rate of growth of sales
2 Increase the operating profit margin (increase selling price/decrease variable costs)
3 Reduce the investment in non-current assets (acquire for less than £1.5m)
4 Reduce the investment in working capital (less than 10%)
5 Reduce the firm’s cost of capital (change capital structure)
6 Extend the life of the project

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3
Q

Areas where directors and shareholders interests conflict

A

Takeovers

  • directors defend against takeover for their jobs
  • shareholders make huge returns off takeovers

Time horizon

  • directors judged on short term achievements, short term interests
  • shareholder wealth is long term, long term interests

Risk

  • directors dependant on success of the firm they work at
  • shareholders hold diversified portfolio and are therefore open to risk
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4
Q

Advantages of a business combination

A

(a) Synergistic savings – administration, economies of scale, use of common investment, leaner management structures, access to under-utilised assets
(b) Risk reduction – more stable cash flows, so less risk, so lower WACC
(c) Reduced competition in the market
(d) Fast way of expanding, compared to organic growth
(e) Vertical integration

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5
Q

Advantages and disadvantages of cash offer

A

+ certain cash flow
+ attractive to seller

  • could create liquidity problems - more borrowings
  • tax implications
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6
Q

Advantages and disadvantages of share for share transfer?

A

+ preserves liquidity
+ no tax implications

  • extra shares increase dilution of ownership
  • uncertain valuation
  • dealing costs (when selling)
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7
Q

What is a finance lease?

A
  • transfers substantially all risks and rewards of ownership to the lessee
  • one lease for the life of the asset
  • ownership usually passes to the lessee at end of term at bargain price or peppercorn rent
  • cannot usually be cancelled unless penalty of remaining liability
  • substance is purchase of asset financed by loan from lessor
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8
Q

What is an operating lease?

A
  • lease period less than useful life of the asset
  • lessor relies on income and eventual sale of the asset
  • lessor responsible for repairs and maintenance
  • can sometimes be cancelled at short notice
  • substance of transaction is short term rental
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9
Q

Attractions of lease finance over outright purchase

A
  • tax effect
  • capital rationing - small firms especially able to use asset as security
  • less of a cash outlay, predictable cash flows
  • cost of borrowing the lease can be less than borrowing the cash to buy the asset
  • flexibility
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10
Q

What is uncertainty?

A

Possible outcomes known but probability attaching to each are unknown

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11
Q

What is the risk of a decision outcome?

A

Outcomes as well as the respective probabilities attaching to each of these possible outcome are known.

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12
Q

What is meant by the term ‘real options’?

A

Relates to the strategic implications attaching to undertaking a particular project - the value of such ‘real options’ would not ordinarily be included in a traditional NPV calculation.

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13
Q

What is cost of capital?

A
  • cost of funds that a company raises and uses, and the return that investors expect to be paid
  • minimum return that a company must make on its own investments, to earn the cash flows out of which investors can be paid their return.
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14
Q

What are the implications of an inaccurate cost of capital figure?

A

Too high - likely to reject investment opportunities it should be taking on (it lowers NPV)

Too low - likely to take on unprofitable investment opportunities

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15
Q

What is systematic risk + examples?

A

It is that element of risk that cannot be eliminated by diversification
It affects all companies, investors should be compensated
Examples: war, interest rates, recession

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16
Q

What is non-systematic risk?

A

It is that element of risk that can be eliminated by diversification
Specific to a company and therefore do not need to compensate investors as they can diversify
Examples: employee strikes, chairman leaving, regulatory changes

17
Q

On a sensitivity question, if they ask on sales price how should it be laid out?

A

Sales price x volume

Less: Tax

18
Q

On a sensitivity question, if they ask on sales revenue how should it be laid out?

A

Sales contribution x volume

Less: tax

19
Q

Advantage and disadvantage of NPV

A

+ values the future cash flow of the project taking into account risk and time value of money

  • inputs into the model are critical in arriving at a reliable estimate for value
20
Q

Difference between an offer for sale and an offer for subscription?

A

For sale
- shares sold to issuing house

Subscription
- shares sold direct to public

21
Q

What are the 4 ‘real options’?

A
  • follow-on option - expand into other areas
  • abandonment option - sell off early
  • timing option - option to delay project and monitor competitors
  • growth option - expand operations when competitor leaves market
22
Q

What is the efficient market hypothesis (EMH)?

A
  • stock markets considered efficient (all prices fair)
  • returns expected based on the risk taken
  • info rapidly and accurately incorporated into share value
  • when all share prices reflect all available information, the market they are in is said to be efficient
  • cannot mate consistently above average returns other than by chance
23
Q

What are the three levels of market efficiency?

A
  • weak form
  • semi-strong form
  • strong form
24
Q

Describe weak form (market efficiency)

A
  • prices only change when info available
  • no anticipation
  • info arrives at random
  • technical analysis does not hold up
  • past prices cannot be used to earn consistently abnormal profits
25
Q

Describe semi-strong form (market efficiency)

A
  • prices reflect all information about past price movements and all knowledge that is publicly available/anticipated.
  • can anticipate price changes before new information is formally announced.
  • market is efficient in the semi-strong form if publicly available information CANNOT be used to earn consistently abnormal profits
26
Q

Describe strong form (market efficiency)

A
  • share prices reflect all information about past price movements, all knowledge publicly available/anticipated and insider knowledge.
  • market is efficient in the strong form if all information (private and public) CANNOT be used to earn consistently abnormal profits.
27
Q

What are the behavioural effects which question the validity of the EMH?

A
  • overconfidence of investors in own ability
  • investors ignore bigger picture and focus on smaller areas (narrow framing)
  • extrapolative expectations - investors expect rising prices to keep on rising
28
Q

Reactions to a company diversifying

A

Stock market: might not be welcome as diversified companies trade at a conglomerate discount. May assume the company does not have expertise

Shareholders: Already fully diversified so would not welcome

29
Q

For cash flows that are already in money terms, how would a change in inflation affect the NPV

A

It would change the NPV favourably or adversely depending on the movement

30
Q

For cash flows not in money terms, how would a change in inflation affect the NPV

A

Will not affect NPV as it will further inflate money cost of capital and discount rates

31
Q

Advantages of sensitivity analysis

A
  • facilitates subjective judgment (by management for example)
  • Identifies areas that are critical to the success of a project, e.g. sales volume, materials price
  • Straightforward
32
Q

Disadvantages of sensitivity analysis

A
  • assumes that changes to variables can be made independently
  • ignores probability
  • does not point to a correct decision
33
Q

Advantages of simulation

A

More than one variable at a time can be changed

It takes probabilities into account

34
Q

Disadvantages of simulation

A
  • It is not a technique for making a decision
  • time consuming and expensive
  • assumptions that need to be made could be unreliable
35
Q

What is a suitable dividend payout ratio for a listed company?

A

Constant with some growth