Normal Approximation Flashcards
If a list of numbers has a “bell-shaped” histogram, we can approximate areas in histogram rectangles using the…
Normal curve.
* We can thus also approximate chances
Central limit theorem
The “appropriate” normal curve is getting closer and closer to the histogram as n increases.
Central limit theorem: mathematical formulation
At each fixed value z on the number line, the height of this histogram converges to ϕ(z) (red curve), the height of the standard normal density at z, as n→∞
How big a sample size do we need before we can assume the Central Limit Theorem has “kicked in”?
- if the original box is “nice”, i.e. symmetric, takes lots of different values, then n=6 may be large enough;
- if the original box is “not nice”, highly skewed and/or only takes a few different values then we may need n>1000 before the box of sums is bell-shaped.
standardised sums and standardised averages are exactly the same:
True
When sampling withour replacement…
- the EV(sum) is the same when sampling with
- the SE(sum) is smaller than for sample with
Any estimate of a parameter involves some kind of
error
Estimating a population mean
- A “representative sample” is taken, and the parameter is estimated based on the sample.
- A very common approach is to use the sample mean as the estimate of the population mean.
The (estimated) SE may be interpreted as the
“likely size of the error in estimation”
A zero-one box
Contains N objects/tickets, each bearing either 0 or 1.
* The parameter of interest is p, the proportion of 1s.
* Mean of the box μ = p
* The mean square is also p
* SD is sqrt( p(1 - p) )