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Long Term Strategy > Net Assessment > Flashcards

Net Assessment Flashcards

1
Q

What are the six perspectives of NA? Bracken, NA: A Practical Guide

A
  1. Strategic Interactions
  2. Longer Time Spans
  3. Getting Things Right with a Little Thought
  4. The Importance of Socio-Bureaucratic Behavior
  5. Strategic Asymmetries
  6. The Multifaceted Nature of Strategy
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2
Q

Name the Five Sequential Steps of Net Assessment.

Page 98, Karber, NA for SecDef

A
  1. Measurements – collecting empirical data in a comparable format;
  2. Estimates – discovering, describing and distinguishing those elements that are unmeasurable but important;
  3. Analysis – evaluating competitive strengths, weaknesses, vulnerabilities and opportunities;
  4. Balancing – anticipating opportunities for the application of strength to vulnerability in juxtaposed postures;
  5. Triumph – identifying and projecting into the future opportunities for the conversion of favorable balances (i.e. imbalances) into political outcomes.
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3
Q

Describe what the first step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Measurements, as it relates to NA.

Page 98, Karber, NA for SecDef

A

Measurements – collecting empirical data in a comparable format.

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4
Q

Describe what the second step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Estimates, as it relates to NA.

Page 98, Karber, NA for SecDef

A

Estimates – discovering, describing and distinguishing those elements that are important but unmeasurable and not overly depending upon quantitative data that are incomplete or unknowable when significant qualitative factors need to be considered.

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5
Q

Describe what the third step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Analysis, as it relates to NA.

Page 98, Karber, NA for SecDef

A

Analysis – evaluating competitive strengths, weaknesses, vulnerabilities and opportunities and their change over time.

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6
Q

Describe what the fourth step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Balancing, as it relates to NA.

Page 98, Karber, NA for SecDef

A

Balancing – anticipating opportunities for the application of strength to vulnerability in juxtaposed postures over time.

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7
Q

Describe what the fifth step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Triumph, as it relates to NA.

Page 98, Karber, NA for SecDef

A

Triumph – identifying and projecting into the future opportunities for the conversion of favorable balances (i.e. imbalances) into political outcomes.

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8
Q

NA heavily relies on the analysis of _____-_____ ________ in order to explore possible alternative security futures.

A

Long-Term Trends

JMSS, Vol 12, Issue 2 Winter 2010

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9
Q

Name other disciplines whose insights are incorporated into net assessments.

A

Economics, Military History, Political Science, Organizational Behavior, Psychology, Cultural Anthropology, Demography, Strategic Culture and Life Sciences.

Pg 3, JMSS, Vol 12, Issue 2 Winter 2010

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10
Q

Net Assessments fall into which two categories?

A

Geographical and Functional

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11
Q

__________Net Assessments examine the military balance of a particular region, such as the middle east or northeast Asia.

Pg 4, JMSS, Vol 12, Issue 2 Winter 2010

A

Geographic

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12
Q

___________ Net Assessments examine the military balance in specific military domains such as air, land, maritime, space or nuclear.

Pg 4, JMSS, Vol 12, Issue 2 Winter 2010

A

Functional

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13
Q

Name some common military balance material and non-material factors.

A

Force Structure and Posture, training, officer education, leadership, personnel and manpower, facilities, logistics, national defense policy, and defense spending.

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14
Q

According to Cohen’s “Net Assessment: An American Approach”, there are four pillars of a NA. Name them.

A
  1. Trends (long-term)
  2. Doctrine (or concepts of operation)
  3. Asymmetries (areas of comparative advantage)
  4. Scenarios (war games as an example)
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15
Q

What would an example NA outline consist of?

A
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16
Q

Geographical and Functional

A

Net Assessments fall into which two categories?

17
Q
  1. Strategic Interactions
  2. Longer Time Spans
  3. Getting Things Right with a Little Thought
  4. The Importance of Socio-Bureaucratic Behavior
  5. Strategic Asymmetries
  6. The Multifaceted Nature of Strategy
A

What are the six perspectives of NA?

Bracken, NA: A Practical Guide

18
Q
  1. Measurements – collecting empirical data in a comparable format;
  2. Estimates – discovering, describing and distinguishing those elements that are unmeasurable but important;
  3. Analysis – evaluating competitive strengths, weaknesses, vulnerabilities and opportunities;
  4. Balancing – anticipating opportunities for the application of strength to vulnerability in juxtaposed postures;
  5. Triumph – identifying and projecting into the future opportunities for the conversion of favorable balances (i.e. imbalances) into political outcomes.
A

Name the Five Sequential Steps of Net Assessment.

Page 98, Karber, NA for SecDef

19
Q

Measurements – collecting empirical data in a comparable format.

A

Describe what the first step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Measurements, as it relates to NA.

20
Q

Estimates – discovering, describing and distinguishing those elements that are important but unmeasurable and not overly depending upon quantitative data that are incomplete or unknowable when significant qualitative factors need to be considered.

A

Describe what the second step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Estimates, as it relates to NA.

21
Q

Analysis – evaluating competitive strengths, weaknesses, vulnerabilities and opportunities and their change over time.

A

Describe what the third step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Analysis, as it relates to NA.

22
Q

Balancing – anticipating opportunities for the application of strength to vulnerability in juxtaposed postures over time.

A

Describe what the fourth step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Balancing, as it relates to NA.

23
Q

Triumph – identifying and projecting into the future opportunities for the conversion of favorable balances (i.e. imbalances) into political outcomes.

A

Describe what the fifth step in a NA process consists of. That is, describe Triumph, as it relates to NA.

24
Q

Long-Term Trends

JMSS, Vol 12, Issue 2 Winter 2010

A

NA heavily relies on the analysis of _____-_____ ________ in order to explore possible alternative security futures.

25
Q

Economics, Military History, Political Science, Organizational Behavior, Psychology, Cultural Anthropology, Demography, Strategic Culture and Life Sciences.

Pg 3, JMSS, Vol 12, Issue 2 Winter 2010

A

Name other disciplines whose insights are incorporated into net assessments.

26
Q

What are some elements of a good net assessment?

Some Considerations about NA Methodoligies, Sorin Lungu, 2008.

A
  • Basic assessment of the current and likely future US position
  • How to think about the problem/balance/competition
  • Sensible metrics that focus on what is important
  • Trends and asymmetries in the competition (based on data and research)
  • An appreciation of competitor/adversary assessments
  • Identification of emerging problems/opportunities about which decisions could still be made
27
Q

How does Sorin sum up a Net Assessment?

Some Considerations about NA Methodoligies, Sorin Lungu, 2008.

A
  • Comparitive, not just focused on the US
  • Diagnostic, not prescriptive
  • Both sides strengths and weaknesses (not simply US shortcomings or strategy/policy/acquisition errors)
  • Tries to identify emerging problems and opportunities, not prdict likely war outcomes or the future
  • Emphasis on longer-term strategic issues, not today’s tactical or immediate problems
28
Q

Name the six categories of Net Assessments.

Some Considerations about NA Methodoligies, Sorin Lungu, 2008.

A
  1. Balance Assessments (How do we stand up WRT the competition? Functional or Geographic)
  2. Policy Assessments (assist in idetifying comp advantage and developing cost imposing strategies)
  3. Net Technical Assessments (examine tech/industrial base to prevent surprise)
  4. Comparative System evaluations
  5. Operational Net Assessments (SWV to aid in developing tactics or doctrine)
  6. Weapons Comparisons
29
Q

Name the four phases of any net assessment.

Page 4, Some Considerations about NA Methodoligies, Sorin Lungu, 2008.

A
  1. Compile
  2. Certify
  3. Combine
  4. Compare (multi-step and complex)
30
Q

Phase Four, Compare, of a net assessment is the most important and complex. What are six aspects of this step?

Page 4, Some Considerations about NA Methodoligies, Sorin Lungu, 2008.

A
  1. Combining static and dynamic indicators
  2. Using historical data
  3. Using multiple Indicators
  4. Understanding the opponent’s assessment
  5. Contingency Analysis (scenarios, wargames)
  6. Consideration of Allies

Long Term Strategy (4 decks)

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