Natural Rate Hypothesis Flashcards
Two parts of the Natural Rate Hypothesis
(1) There is a natural rate of unemployment (output)
(2) Monetary Policy cannot sustain unemployment (output) below the natural rate without leading to higher and higher inflation (accelerating inflation)
Major goals of economic policy
- high employment
- stable prices
- rapid growth
What monetary policy cannot do?
- Peg (fix) nominal interest rates
- Target level of employment ( or unemployment)
What can monetary policy do?
- Facilitate economic growth
- Contribute to offsetting major economic disturbances
- prevent money itself from being a major source of economic disturbances
What can monetary policy control?
- Exchange Rate
- Price level
- quantity of money
Potential Output
The level of output is the level of production firms would produce if all prices were flexible.
the level of output the economy could produce if all inputs were being used to maximum intensity without generating broad inflationary pressures.
Output gap
The difference between GDP (in logs) and potential output (in logs)
u-u^n>0 y-ybar>0 spare capacity
u-u^n<0 y-ybar<0 excess capacity
Summary of Natural Rate Hypothesis
- there is always a temporary tradeoff between inflation and unemployment; there is no permanent tradeoff
supply Function
y=m-p
y= ybar+b(p-E[p])
E[p]=mbar-ybar
Supply Function
m=mbar +e