Mountain Lecture 2- Earthquake! How seismicity builds mountain ranges Flashcards
What gives rise to stick-slip behaviour and why?
The frictional properties of the Earth’s brittle upper crust (< 15km or so).
This is due to the sides of the fault being loaded by relative plate motion.
What are three faults with the earthquake cycle?
- Local rock strength is neither constant in time nor uniform in space along a fault.
- The rate at which stress accumulates in the crust is not constant.
- Each earthquake affects the stress on other faults nearby.
What are the four alternative models?
Periodic/characteristic model
Time-predictable model
Slip-predictable model
Clustered model
What is the periodic model?
Same size earthquake occurs after the same amount of stress has accumulated. Earthquakes at a constant interval.
With a known interval, we can predict the timing and magnitude of future events.
What is the time-predictable model?
Strain required for earthquake is constant, but the size of the earthquake can vary.
After a large earthquake, it takes longer to reach the threshold strain energy again.
The time to next earthquake can be estimate but not its magnitude.
What is the slip-predictable model?
Strain to cause earthquake varies, but the earthquake always releases enough energy to return to same state.
The longer since the last earthquake, the larger the earthquake.
The magnitude of next earthquake can be estimated (based on how long since the last) , but not its timing.
What is the clustered model?
In areas of insufficient data, earthquakes seem to occur in clusters of lots of events, separated by times of relative quiet (10-10000 years long).
Clusters can follow one of the previous models or be apparently random.
Neither the magnitude nor the timing of the next earthquake can be predicted.
What model do most faults follow?
Clustered model
What do alternative models seek to do?
Relate short-term coseismic activity to long term slip between the plates.
What are moving towards instead of models to predict earthquakes?
Designing early warning systems and protocols based on the worst-case scenario.
What is the best way to assess the magnitude of an earthquake?
The amount of energy it releases
What is the amount of energy an earthquake proportional to?
Seismic moment
What is the seismic moment equation?
Seismic moment = constant (around 3 x 10¹⁰ N/m²) x average slip of the earthquake x area of the fault that has ruptured
What is the seismic moment equation in symbols?
Mₒ = ∝UA
What is the equation for the area of the fault that has ruptured (A)?
A = length of rupture x depth of rupture (no more than around 10-20km for continental earthquakes)
What is the unit for seismic moment?
Nm (force x length) - the units of energy.
Can seismic moment be converted into a moment magnitude?
Yes
Moment magnitude
Mᵥᵥ
What does increasing the magnitude by +1 mean?
Around 30x the energy release
What are the three biggest earthquakes?
1960 Chile
2004 Sumatra
1964 Alaska
What is magnitude of 1960 Chile earthquake?
Mᵥᵥ 9.5
What is magnitude of 2004 Sumatra earthquake?
Mᵥᵥ 9.3
What is magnitude of 1964 Alaska earthquake?
Mᵥᵥ 9.2
What is exhumation?
Movement of rock to the Earth’s surface