Monetary Policy Flashcards
What does tightening the monetary policy do?
The upward pressure of interest rates, will cause a reduction in consumer spending, as mortgages and consumer loans increase, leading to a slow down in economic activity
What does loosening the monetary achieve?
By reducing interest rates, both consumer spending and business investment will increase, boosting AD and the level of economic activity
What are the objectives of the Monetary Policy?
- Sustained level of economic growth
- Maintaining a low and stable inflation
- price stability - preserves the value or purchasing power of money over time
- contributes to sustainable economic growth - Reduce the level of unemployment
What is the target level of inflation and what can affect the level of inflation?
- RBA has a flexible target kept between 2%-3%.
Inflation on average is kept in target - If wage growth is higher than labour productivity & strong growth in economic activity and reduction in U/E will be a threat to inflation if the economy reaches its supply capacity.
What are the main economic indicators taken into account by the RBA?
- The inflation rate
- Wage growth
- Rate of U/E
- Rate of EG
- Interest Rates
In what ways can the RBA implement the monetary policy?
- Monetary Targeting: controlling the growth in the money supply, abandoned in the mid-1980s
- Influencing the level of of interest rates in the economy by setting the short run cash rate, through Domestic Market Operations, as changes in the cash rate will have an influence on the general level of market interest rates in the financial sector
What is the process when conducting a tightening of the monetary policy? - DMO
- RBA will announce interest in selling Commonwealth Government Securities (CGS)
- Banks will withdraw money from their Exchange Settlement Accounts (ESA), lowering the money supply, aka shortage in borrowable funds in the overnight money market
- Then Cash Rate &; Interest rates will rise
What is the process when conducting a loosening of the monetary policy? - DMO
- RBA will announce interest in buying CGS
- RBA will deposit money into ESA, increasing the money supply, aka an excess of borrowable funds in the overnight money market
- Cash Rate and Interest Rates will fall
What does higher interest rates do?
Make borrowing more expensive which is likely to deter borrowing, while lower interest rates will encourage it
What is the Transmission Mechanism
Explains how changes in the stance of monetary policy pass through the economy to influence economic objectives such as inflation and EG
1) saving and investment channel
2) cash-flow channel
3) asset prices and wealth channel
4) exchange rate channel
Explain the Transmission Mechanism during a loosening of the monetary policy
- Downward pressure on interest rates through DMO makes borrowing cheaper for both consumers and business, encouraging them to borrow, leading to an increase in spending and raising levels of economic activity
- Reduced interest cheapen the cost of serving loans and could lead to additional pending
- A fall in IR levels will discourage financial inflow, depreciating the currency, increasing IC
- Increase AD, will either lead to higher output and employment or will spill over into higher prices and wages if the economy is close to full employment
- Rise in aggregate spending will lead to an increase in the demand for money
Explain the Transmission Mechanism during a tightening of the monetary policy
DMO putting upwards pressure on IR, dampening consumer and investment spending, resulting in a lower level of economic activity, with lower inflation and higher U/E
What is the time lag for the monetary policy?
Is implemented immediately, but will take from 6-18 months before full impacts of IR changes are felt in the economy
What are the 5 main factors that help explain the stance of monetary policy?
- Low inflation objective
- Inflationary expectations
- Labour costs
- EG and lower U/E
- External factors
When and how has the monetary policy been implemented in the past?
1980s - Contractionary
1990s - Expansioanry
2000s - Tightening
Mid 2000s - Expansionary
GFC - Loosening, cash rates to 50yr lows to 3%
2009-2011 - Neutral position
2011-18 - Expansionary, cash rate was 1.5% in 2016, now 1.25%