Module 4 Bond and Stock Valuation Flashcards
All of the following statements concerning security valuation and analysis are CORRECT except
A)
for successful security analysis, it is necessary to understand the characteristics of and the factors that affect various securities.
B)
value is a function of the expected future returns on a security and the associated risk.
C)
the intrinsic value of a security is the future value of expected future cash flows inflated at an appropriate risk-free rate, without taking the risk of the investment into consideration.
D)
for successful security analysis, a valuation model is applied to securities to estimate their price, or value.
c The intrinsic value of a security is the present value of expected future cash flows discounted at an appropriate discount rate, taking the risk of the investment into consideration.
LO 4.3.1
Which one of these conclusions regarding fundamental analysis will an investor reach if he or she believes in the weak form of the efficient market hypothesis?
A)
Fundamental analysis, applied in a top-down manner, can be used to identify undervalued securities.
B)
Fundamental analysis cannot be used to identify undervalued securities.
C)
Fundamental analysis must be combined with technical analysis to identify undervalued securities.
D)
Fundamental analysis can be used to identify undervalued securities.
d The answer is fundamental analysis can be used to identify undervalued securities. An investor subscribing to the weak form of the EMH believes that fundamental analysis can be used to identify undervalued securities.
LO 4.2.1
Companies A and B have exactly the same dollar amount of assets and net income. Company A has a capitalization structure of 70% equity and 30% debt; Company B has a capitalization structure of 40% equity and 60% debt. Which of the following statements is CORRECT?
A)
Company A has a higher debt-to-equity ratio than Company B.
B)
Company A has a higher earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) than Company B.
C)
Company B has a higher return on equity (ROE) than Company A.
D)
Company B has a higher return on assets (ROA) than Company A.
c All else being equal, a profitable company with a higher debt level will have a higher return on equity. If income is the same for both companies, then the only difference is the percentage of equity. With a lower equity, Company B will have a higher return on equity. EBITDA and ROA would be equal, and Company B has a higher debt-to-equity ratio.
LO 4.2.2
Which of these best describes the concept of convexity?
A)
A precise measure of the change in the price of a bond, given a respective change in GDP
B)
Helps explain the changes in stock prices not accounted for by the constant growth dividend discount model
C)
A measure of the curvature of the relationship between a bond’s YTM and its market price (value)
D)
The average time it takes a bondholder to receive the interest and principal payments from a bond in present value dollars
c answer is a measure of the curvature of the relationship between a bond’s YTM and its market price (value). Specifically, convexity helps explain the change in bond prices not accounted for simply by the bond’s duration; in other words, convexity gives us a more precise measure of the change in the price of a bond, given a respective change in market interest rates.
LO 4.1.2
You are about to analyze a growth company that has chosen to retain all of its earnings for growth and has had a positive cash flow, but a negative earnings per share, for the past several years. Which of the following valuation approaches would you consider when analyzing the company?
A)
Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio
B)
Constant growth dividend discount model
C)
Price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio
D)
Price-to-sales (P/S) ratio
d The P/S ratio is an indication of how much an investor is willing to pay for a specific revenue stream, in this case the company’s annual sales.
LO 4.3.2
Which of these valuation methods is the most appropriate to use when analyzing a stock?
A)
P/E ratio
B)
Dividend discount model
C)
Non-constant dividend growth model
D)
Multiple methods
d The answer is multiple methods. No single equity valuation method should be used alone—an analyst should use various valuation methods and compare the results of each.
LO 4.3.2
Company A and Company B are in the same industry and have approximately the same dollar amount of assets and operating income. Company A has a return on equity (ROE) of 28% and Company B has an ROE of 12%. Which of the following statements best identifies the major difference causing the disparity in ROE between Company A and Company B?
A)
Company B has a higher level of depreciation expense than Company A.
B)
Company A has lower selling, general, and administrative (S, G, & A) expenses.
C)
Company B has an extraordinary loss.
D)
Company A has more debt than Company B.
d Both depreciation expense and S, G & A expenses are used to obtain operating income, which is the same for both companies. Generally, the most significant factor in raising one company’s ROE above another company’s is the greater use of debt. The company having the greater percentage of debt, assuming the cost of the debt is less than the return earned from the debt proceeds, will have the highest ROE.
LO 4.2.2
An investor is considering the following three bonds:
Rating
Coupon
Maturity
Bond 1
AA rated
7%
6 years
Bond 2
AAA rated
8%
5 years
Bond 3
BBB rated
7%
5 years
All of the following statements correctly assess these bonds except
A)
Bond 2 is more susceptible to price fluctuations than Bond 3 because it has a larger coupon.
B)
Bond 1 is more susceptible to price fluctuations than Bond 3 because it has a longer maturity.
C)
Bond 2 is less susceptible to price fluctuations than Bond 1 because it has a shorter maturity.
D)
Bond 2 is least susceptible to price fluctuations because of its coupon rate and maturity.
a A low-coupon bond is more susceptible to price fluctuations than a high-coupon bond, everything else being equal. A long-term bond is more susceptible to price fluctuations than a short-term bond, everything else being equal.
LO 4.1.2
What is the duration of a zero-coupon bond yielding 9%, maturing in 10 years, and selling for $422.41?
A)
7 years
B)
9 years
C)
10 years
D)
8 years
c Because the bond is a zero-coupon bond, the duration must be 10 years.
LO 4.1.2
Which of the following statements regarding fundamental and technical analysis is CORRECT?
A)
Fundamental analysis may result in better returns than the overall market under both the weak and semistrong forms of the efficient market hypothesis.
B)
Investors looking for excellent companies to invest in may use bottom-up analysis, which is a form of technical analysis.
C)
In top-down analysis, an investor would start by researching various industries, and then choose stocks within that industry.
D)
Technical analysis is not considered valid under the efficient market hypothesis, because this type of analysis is attempting to predict future prices based on past price movement.
d This is correct, as any form of EMH does not coexist with technical analysis.
LO 4.2.1
Which of these statements concerning technical analysis is CORRECT?
The focus of technical analysis is market timing with an emphasis on likely price changes.
Technicians tend to concentrate on the past price movements to forecast future price movements.
The focus of technical analysis is the process by which stock prices rapidly adjust to new information.
Technical analysis is based on the underlying fundamentals of a stock’s value.
A)
II and III
B)
III and IV
C)
I and II
D)
I, II, and IV
c The answer is I and II. Statements III and IV are not correct. Technicians tend to concentrate on the short run, looking for short-term price movements. The focus of technical analysis is the gradual process whereby stock prices adjust to new information. Fundamental analysis is based on the underlying fundamentals of a stock’s value. Technical analysis involves analyzing past stock prices to forecast future prices.
LO 4.2.1
You are considering purchase of a stock that is currently selling for $23 and pays a dividend of $1.15 per share. The dividend is expected to grow at a rate of 15% per year for the next three years. After that, the dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 8%. Your required return is 13%. The maximum price you should pay for this stock is
A)
$33.62.
B)
$29.76.
C)
$30.22.
D)
$26.74.
b Explanation
The value is calculated on the HP 10bII+ by solving for the NPV of uneven cash flows as follows:
13
I/YR
0
CF0
1.3225
CF1
1.5209
CF2
1.7490 + 37.7784
CF3
29.7559
SHIFT, NPV
The 37.7784 is calculated from the constant growth DDM, starting at the end of the third year: [1.7490(1.08)] ÷ (0.13 – 0.08) = 37.7784
LO 4.3.1
Which of these choices correctly illustrates the relationship between a bond’s price and various yields?
A)
For a premium bond: current yield > yield to maturity > coupon rate
B)
For a premium bond: coupon rate > yield to maturity > current yield
C)
For a discount bond: coupon rate < current yield < yield to maturity
D)
For a discount bond: yield to maturity > coupon rate > current yield
c The answer is for a discount bond: coupon rate < current yield < yield to maturity. When a bond trades at a discount, its yield to maturity will be greater than its current yield, which will be greater than its coupon rate.
LO 4.1.1
VUL stock has a current market price of $25.65 and sales per share of $1.67. Calculate the price-to-sales ratio for this stock.
A)
22.77
B)
17.20
C)
15.36
D)
34.87
c The answer is 15.36.
The formula for the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio:
P/S = market price per share ÷ sales per share P/S = $25.65 ÷ $1.67 = 15.3592, or 15.36
This ratio would then be compared to its industry peers to determine whether the stock appears to be overvalued or undervalued.
LO 4.3.2
All of these statements correctly describe the price-to-earnings divided by growth (PEG) ratio except
A)
PEG is calculated by dividing a firm’s P/E ratio by the firm’s expected growth rate of earnings.
B)
PEG is used to compare companies with different growth rates.
C)
PEG is an indication of how much an investor is paying for a specific revenue stream.
D)
companies with a lower PEG ratio have higher expected rates of return.
c The answer is PEG is an indication of how much an investor is paying for a specific revenue stream. Companies with a lower PEG ratio have a higher expected rate of return and vice versa. The PEG ratio is a measure of relative valuation that can be used to compare companies with different growth rates. Proponents of the PEG ratio believe that companies with a low PEG ratio will have higher rates of return. The price-to-sales ratio is an indication of how much an investor is paying for a specific revenue stream.
LO 4.3.2
Assume that ABC stock pays a dividend in the current year of $1.56 per share. The company’s dividend is expected to grow by 1.5% per year. Calculate the stock’s price if an investor has a required rate of return of 7%.
A)
$20.54
B)
$14.29
C)
$28.79
D)
$28.36
c The answer is $28.79. The formula for the constant growth dividend discount model:
V = D1 ÷ (r – g)
Therefore, the intrinsic value of ABC stock equals $28.79 [(1.56 × 1.015) ÷ (0.07 – 0.015)].
LO 4.3.1
DMM stock has a P/E ratio of 12 and is expected to have an expected growth rate of earnings of 6%. Based on this information, calculate the PEG ratio of DMM stock.
A)
7.2
B)
2
C)
5
D)
4
b The answer is 2. The PEG ratio is calculated by dividing a company’s P/E ratio by the firm’s expected growth rate of earnings: PEG = P/E ÷ g. Therefore, the PEG of DMM stock is 2 (12 ÷ 6). DMM’s ratio would then be compared to its peers to determine whether the stock is a good buy.
LO 4.3.2
Assume a $1,000 par value bond with three years until maturity is currently trading for $1,027.23. The bond has a coupon rate of 6% (annual coupon payments) and a current YTM of 5%. The bond has a duration of 2.51 years. Calculate what the new market price for the bond would be if the YTM changed from 5% to 4.5%.
A)
$1,053.01
B)
$1,016.75
C)
$1,041.66
D)
$1,032.36
c The new price of the bond should be $1,041.23. Using a financial calculator, use the following inputs for semiannual payments:
FV = $1,000
PMT = $1,000 x 6% = $60/2 = $30
I/YR = 4.5%
N = 6 (3 x 2 periods per year)
Solve for PV = –1,041.6586, or $1,041.66
LO 4.1.1
Lynn and Stuart Wagman are a middle-aged couple who would like to add an equity investment to their portfolio. They require a 12% rate of return and are considering the purchase of one of these common stocks:
Stock 1: Dividends currently are $1.50 annually and are expected to increase 8% annually; market price = $35.
Stock 2: Dividends currently are $2.25 annually and are expected to increase 7% annually; market price = $50.
Using the dividend growth model, determine which stock would be more appropriate for the Wagmans to purchase at this time.
A)
Stock 1, because the expected return on investment is greater than the Wagmans’ required return
B)
Stock 1, because its dividend growth rate is greater than Stock 2’s growth rate
C)
Stock 2, because the return on investment is greater than the Wagmans’ required return
D)
Stock 2, because the stock is undervalued
a The answer is Stock 1, because the expected return on investment is great than the Wagmans’ required return. Compute the intrinsic value and expected return first, then determine which stock should be purchased. The intrinsic value of Stock 1 is $40.50; of Stock 2, $48.15. The expected return on investment of Stock 1 is 12.6%; of Stock 2, 11.8%.
Stock 1 has a D0 of $1.50, thus D1 is ($1.50 x 1.08) or $1.62. Current market price is stated as $35 and the stated growth rate is 8%. ($1.62/$35) + .08 = 12.63% expected return for Stock 1.
Stock 2 has a D0 of $2.25, thus D1 is ($2.25 x 1.07) or $2.4075. Current market price is stated as $50 and the stated growth is 7%. ($2.4075/$50) + .07 =11.8% expected return for Stock 2.
LO 4.3.1
Kinzie owns a stock that consistently pays a $.50 dividend. Assuming Kinzie’s required rate of return is 9.5%, calculate the intrinsic value of the stock.
A)
$10.00
B)
$5.76
C)
$4.75
D)
$5.26
d The answer is $5.26. Using the no-growth (perpetuity) dividend discount model:
V = D1 ÷ r = 0.50 ÷ 0.095 = 5.2632, or $5.26
LO 4.3.1
Calculate the estimated change in the price of a bond with a present value of $987.56 and Macaulay duration of 4.8 years when its YTM changes from 7% to 6%.
A)
+4.53%
B)
–4.53%
C)
+4.49%
D)
–4.49
c The answer is +4.49%. Given the inverse relationship between bond prices and market interest rates, the price of the bond must increase by 4.49%, calculated as follows: ΔP/P = –4.8 × [(0.06 – 0.07) ÷ (1 + 0.07)] = 0.0449, or 4.49%.
LO 4.1.2
ABC Technologies, Inc., a publicly-traded company, uses both equity and debt to finance its operations. The company’s stock is currently trading for $52.50 per share and has earnings of $1.50 per share. Calculate ABC’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio.
A)
25
B)
52
C)
35
D)
5
c The answer is 35. ABC Technologies, Inc. has a P/E ratio of 35 ($52.50 ÷ $1.50).
LO 4.3.2
PQR stock has a current dividend of $1.75 that has been growing at a constant rate of 8% per year. If the stock is currently selling for $100 and your required rate of return is 10%, would you buy the stock at today’s price?
A)
Yes, because the stock is undervalued on the basis of the constant growth dividend discount model.
B)
Yes, because the stock is a good buy on the basis of its risk-return relationship.
C)
No, because the stock is not a good investment on the basis of its risk-return relationship.
D)
No, because the stock is overvalued on the basis of the constant growth dividend discount model.
d e answer is no, because the stock is overvalued on the basis of the constant growth dividend discount model. On the basis of the constant growth dividend discount model, the intrinsic value of XYZ stock is $94.50, calculated as follows: D0(1 + g) ÷ (r – g) = $1.75(1.08) ÷ (0.10 – 0.08) = $94.50. Because XYZ stock is currently selling for $100 per share, it is overvalued in the market and the investor should not buy the stock.
LO 4.3.2
Which one of the following statements CORRECTLY matches a technical indicator to the information it provides in signaling a change from a bear to a bull market?
A)
Odd lot sales exceed purchases.
B)
A moving average chart indicates that actual prices have dropped through the average.
C)
Barron’s Confidence Index indicates that the yield differential between low-quality bonds and high-quality bonds is decreasing.
D)
Most financial advisers become bullish.
c In a bull market, there is less fear so there is a lower spread between high-quality and lower-quality bonds.
LO 4.2.1