Module 3 Samplingdistribution Flashcards
Standard error of the mean SEM
calculated by dividing the standard deviation of a population by the square root of the number of samples taken from the population
With more samples, the number of the equation becomes larger causing Sem to decrease. A larger SEM indicated the data has a lot of variability. ( curve it wide)
point estimation
a single value that estimates a population parameter eg using a sample mean to estimate a true population mean. can vary due to random chance and does not tell you about sampling variability
interval estimation
a range of values that are likely to contain a population parameter commonly effected to as confidence intervals (cis) which consist of the point estimate and a range of values that estimate the variability around the point estimate to some degree of confidence.
what level of confidence is used
95% level of confidence meaning that you are 95% confident that the true population mean falls within a certain range of values. are conservative and less likely to be wrong than a single point estimate
hypothesis testing
a way to estimate population parameter
fail to reject null hypothesis
you did not find enough evidence to suggest there is a detectable difference beyond that of random choice
null hypothesis
suggests that the true population mean is equal to the hypothesized population mean.
there are no differences or relationship between the variables.
alternative hypothesis
the population parameter is not equal to the hypothesized value. the alternative hypothesis can be written in three ways
three ways to write alternative hypothesis
one tailed alternative hypothesis
two tailed alternative hypothesis
one tailed alternative hypothesis
What are the th ree types of probability distributions
Binomial, poissom, gaussian
This distribution is of random continuous variables with infinite number of possible outcomes and is normal
Gaussian
type 1 error
when you reject the null when it is true
type 2 error
when you fail to reject the null when it’s false
what is beta
beta is 0.2 meaning there is a 20 percent chance that you say there are no differences when there actually are
which error is worse type one or two
type 1 error (rejecting null when it’s true) is worse than type 2. it’s worse to convince an innocent person than not convince someone who is guilty.
type one error is dependent on what
alpha ( or the significance level which is 0.05) saying there’s a 5%chance of saying there is a difference when there isn’t