Module 2 - Shares & Risk Flashcards
The return on a share in any given period has what two components?
- Capital gains over the holding period (Pt - P(t-1));
- Dividend payments over the holding period, Dt.
How do you calculate return?
Gain in wealth / Initial wealth
How do you calculate return on a share?
(Pt - Pt-1 + Dt) / (Pt-1)
(Numerator captures your gain in wealth & denominator captures your initial wealth).
How do you calculate the wealth relative?
End of period wealth / Beginning of period wealth
OR
1 / R(t)
1 / return on a share
How do you calculate the holding period wealth relative?
WR1 x WR2 x … x WRn
Describe a describe probability distribution.
Has a finite number of outcomes, where the probability of each outcome is known. The sum of these probabilities equals one; there is a 100% probability of one of the outcomes coming true, e.g. coin toss.
Describe continuous probability distributions.
Has an infinite number of outcomes, where the probability of a specific number of outcomes is indistinguishable from zero. We can only express the probability over a range of values, which is equal to the area under the curve between the two cut-off points.
What two things do you need to describe a distribution?
A measure of central tenancy - the mean, aka the expected value;
A measure of dispersion - the standard deviation, or the variance.
How do you calculate the mean?
E(R) = Σ𝑝𝑖𝑅𝑖
How do you calculate the variance?
𝜎^2 = Σ𝑝𝑖(𝑅𝑖 − E(R) )^2