MODULE 2 - Epidemiology of Infectious Diseases and Principles of Antimicrobial Therapy Flashcards
what is epidemiology?
the study of distribution and determinants of health-related states or events (including disease) in specified populations and the application of this study to the control of disease and other health problems
what does epidemiology involve?
counting cases or health events and describes them in terms of time, place and person
dividing the number of cases by appropriate denominator to calc rates
comparing these rates over time or for different groups of people
what are the 5 W’s of epidemiology?
what - health issue of concern (case definition)
who - person (age, gender, ethnicity etc.)
where - place
when - time
why/how - causes, risk factors, modes of transmission
first 4 are descriptive epidemiology, 5th is analytical epidemiology
what is cholera?
acute diarrhoea illness which can lead to dehydration, coma and death
intestinal infection with vibrio cholera and transmission by contaminated food or water
how is frequency (how many) important to epidemiology?
relationship of no. of health events to population size allows comparison of disease occurrence across different populations
measures are prevalence and incidence
how is pattern important to epidemiology?
occurrence of health events by time (when), place (where), and person (who)
what is prevalence?
the proportion of a population that have the disease at a given point in time (i.e. existing cases)
how do you calculate prevalence?
prevalence = number w disease/total number in population
what is incidence proportion?
proportion of people who develop a disease during a specified time period (i.e. new cases)
how do you calculate incidence proportion?
incidence proportion = number who develop disease during a time period/total number at risk at the start of time period
what is the incidence rate?
how quickly people are developing the disease (i.e. new cases)
how do you calculate the incidence rate?
incidence rate = number of people who develop disease during time period/number of person-years at risk
what are determinants?
the causes and other factors that influence the occurrence of disease and other health-related events
i.e. identify the risk factor which leads to the disease via a causal pathway
what measures are associated with determinants?
relative risk
risk difference/attributable risk
odds ratio
what is relative risk (risk ratio) and how do you calculate it?
relative risk = incidence in exposed group/incidence in non-exposed group
how do you calculate the risk difference?
incidence of exposed group MINUS incidence of comparison group
when would you use an odds ratio?
when you don’t know the number of people exposed and is risk cannot be calculated
how do you calculate an odds ratio?
odds of exposure = number of exposures/number of non-exposures
odds ratio = odds of exposure in cases/odds of exposure in controls
what are the two main types of studies in epidemiology?
observational (cross-sectional, cohort, case-control)
experimental (randomised controlled trials)
what is a cross-sectional study?
observational
randomly select sample of source population
at same point in time measure exposures of interest and outcome of interest
calculate prevalence of exposures and outcomes
descriptive only
what is a cohort study?
observational
randomly select a sample of source population
measure exposure state of participants at beginning of study
group participants by exposed or not
follow-up for period of time
count who develops the outcome during follow-up
calculate incidence, relative risk and risk difference
what is a case control study?
observational
select cases with outcome of interest
select controls (without the outcome of interest) from the same source population
measure exposure status of both cases and controls
calculate odds ratio
what is a randomised controlled trial?
experimental
randomly select a sample of the source population
randomise sample participants into groups (intervention or control)
follow-up participants for period of time
measure outcome
calculate incidence, relative risk, and risk difference
what is a confounding factor?
a third variable distorting results
independently associated with exposure or outcome
does not sit on causal pathway
what is bias?
systematic error e.g. selection bias (differences between the groups or how they behave during study)
what does precision involve in epidemiological studies?
95% confidence intervals
P-values (probability that observed result would occur when null hypothesis is true)
sample size
how do you calculate infection rate?
cases per year/total population
how do you calculate mortality rate?
fatal cases per year/total population size
how do you calculate case fatality rate
fatal cases/cases of disease
how do you calculate infection fatality rate
fatal cases/cases of infection (including asymptomatic cases)
how do you calculate the secondary attack rate?
person exposed who then became infected/total persons exposed
what is R?
average number of people each person with a disease goes on to infect
what is R0?
assumes everyone in population is susceptible to infection and no control measures (however during epidemic people become infected or immune and are no longer susceptible)
what is Rt
effective reproduction number
potential for epidemic spread at a specific time (t) the under control measures in place
what happens if Rt > 1
virus will spread out and disease will become epidemic
what happens if Rt = 1
virus will spread locally and disease is endemic
what happens if Rt < 1
virus will stop spreading and disease will disappear eventually
what are the tasks of epidemiology in public health?
- public health surveillance
- field investigation
- analytic studies
- evaluation
- policy development
(1 and 2 are outbreak identification, 2 and 3 are outbreak investigation)
what does sporadic mean?
occasional cases of infection (no common source)
what does endemic mean?
infection is always present in the community
what does epidemic mean?
sudden increase in incidence of an infection locally
what does re-emerging mean?
previously a major threat, decreased dramatically, and now increasing again
what does pandemic mean?
a global epidemic
what does zoonotic mean?
disease transmitted from animals to humans
what does enzoonotic mean?
endemic transmission in animals (endemic in animals)
what does epizootic mean?
epidemic in animals
what is measles?
a respiratory disease caused by measles morbillivirus (fever, cough, conjunctivitis followed by head to toe rash)
can have serious complications
highly contagious and been circulating for thousands of years
vaccine available
most deaths are children <5
sporadic in NZ
because of the high R0 of measles, what do you need to do to prevent sporadic outbreaks becoming epidemics?
high vaccination levels
what is rhinovirus?
endemic (always present in community)
respiratory virus responsible for most common colds
> 100 different types meaning reinfection v common
detected all year round and can cause complications e.g. pneumonia
what is the definition of outbreak?
same as epidemic (sudden increase in incidence of an infection locally) but used for more limited geographic area
when do epidemics occur?
when a pathogen and susceptible hosts are present in adequate numbers, and the pathogen can be transmitted from a source to the susceptible hosts
what might an epidemic result from?
recent increase in amount or virulence of pathogen
recent introduction of the pathogen into a setting where it has not been before
enhanced mode of transmission so that more susceptible persons are exposed
change in the susceptibility of the host to the pathogen e.g dropping immunisation rates
factors that increase host exposure or involve introduction through new portals of entry
what is monkeypox?
a zoonotic orthodox DNA virus
human-to-human transmission through large respiratory droplets, close/direct contact with skin lesions, fomites
only recently efficient human-to-human transmission
2022 outbreak sexual contact main means of transmission
what is syphilis?
re-emerging
STI with severe long-term consequences if untreated
Treponema pallidum subsp pallidum
spirochete
primary infection - painless ulcer
secondary - disseminates through body causing rash/swollen lymph nodes
(those are two most infectious stages)
latent/asymptomatic phase
tertiary syphilism - gummas, neuro/cardio issues
congenital syphilis (mother to baby) can occur
what are the three types of plague which occur from yersinia pestis?
bubonic - buboes, fever, headache, chills, 30-60% fatality, can lead to next two
septicaemic - fever, weakness, shock, chills, abdominal pain
pneumonic - fever, headache, weakness, rapid developing pneumonia, 100% fatality, airborne
what is plague (Black Death)?
caused by yersinia pestis
enzoonotic between fleas and rodents
humans and domestic animals can become infected from flea bites - highest risk during epizootic cause fleas jump from dead hosts
little genetic change since Black Death
what is Spanish flu (influenza)?
has segmented genome where each segment encodes a different gene and it can reassert the segments between different viruses if you get co-infection (antigenic shift)
can change and evade immune response by:
- accumulation of mutations (antigenic drift)
- genetic reassortment of genetic segments (antigenic shift)
what are the two major surface proteins of spanish flu/influenza and what does reassortment of these result in?
haemagglutinin (HA)
neuraminidase (NA)
reassortment of HA and NA results in major changes in antigenicity giving it pandemic potential
what are the usual reservoirs for influenza?
wild birds and infection usually asymptomatic
also can infect a wide range of host e.g. swine, humans but causes disease in these
potential for zoonotic infection and pandemics
what are the possible outcomes of a pathogen entering a person?
it could be immediately eliminated
it could replicate which could then lead to elimination also, transmission, colonisation of normal microflora, asymptomatic or symptomatic infection
what does a bacteria need to do to be successful?
colonise a host, reproduce a lot and transmit to a new host
from a pathogens perspective, causing disease can be…
helpful (e.g. helps it transmit), neutral or unhelpful (clears it out of host)
would the coughing and sneezing disease symptoms caused by rhinovirus help it reproduce?
yes cause it leads to more transmission