MODULE 1.1: Interest Rates and Return Measurement Flashcards
What are Interest rates and required return
time value of money and change based on the risk of the asset - we can then have a required return to calculate what the required return for a certain asset is based on a specific risk.
risk-free rate
- no inflation expection and no probability of default. This represents the time preference of things.
- T bills are essentially risk free but have AN INFLATION PREMIUM
nominally risk free and formula
refers to investments that have virtually no risk of default or loss of principal, but are still subject to inflation risk. Treasury bills (T-bills) are a prime example - while they guarantee return of principal and interest, their purchasing power can be eroded by inflation over time.
1+ nominal risk free rate = (1 + real risk free rate) (1 + expected inflation rate)
Real rate
rate of return adjusted for inflation, showing true purchasing power increase
risk free rate
rate with no default risk (gov securities), but includes inflation
real risk free rates
pure time value of money - no inflation and no default risk (very theoretical )
Time preference
refers to how people value immediate consumption over future consumption.This preference helps explain why interest rates exist - people need to be compensated with additional future value to delay consumption.
premium
kind of like an added fee to a return (adding inflation premium to a risk free rate to calculate the nominal risk free rate like for a T bill)(inflation - like when we calculate the rate on a t-bill, we need to add inflation to adjust for it
default risk premium
if the borrower of the money cannnot make their payments, then they have to default on thier loan which is risky
liquidity risk premium
if you need the money asap so you need to sell the security to get it and you don’t reap the long term reward of keeping it
maturity premium for long term bonds
- long term bonds can be a bit risky for example so we need to add a premium to help mitigate this risk and increase the time value of money
HPR (holding period return) formula
HPR = (end of period value / beginning of period value ) - 1
Arithmatic mean formula
sum / n
usually the largest of the means if there is variation in the dataset. This is very much effected by extreme values in the data
geometric mean
nth root of the returns multiplied - 1
nthROOT((1+R1)(1+R2)(1+R3)) - 1
Annual return formula
- similar to geometric mean in formula where you take the nth root of the returns -1, but n= the number of annnual periods (could be semi annual etc )(like 4 semi annual means 2 years)