Module 11 Flashcards
Short-run Philips Curve
Ceteris paribus, in the SHORT-RUN, the Philips curve shows the negative relationship between inflation rate and unemployment rate.
Long-run Philips curve
Ceteris paribus, in the LONG-RUN, the Philips curve shows no relationship between inflation rate and unemployment rate (a vertical line)
Natural rate of unemployment
The natural rate of unemployment occurs are potential GDP (derived from LRAS)
Natural rate of unemployment = frictional + structural.
What causes a movement along the short-run Philips curve?
A change in policies (i.e expansionary and contractionary)
Expansionary policies (monetary and fiscal)
lead to a lower unemployment rate but higher inflation rate (leftward)
Contractionary policies (monetary and fiscal)
lead to lower inflation, but higher unemployment (rightward)
What causes a shift in the short-run Philips curve?
A change in expectations
Expectations of higher inflation
shift the short run Philips curve rightwards.
Expectations of lower inflation
shift the short run Philips curve leftwards.
What happens at the natural rate of unemployment?
The inflation rate is nonaccelerating (NAIRU).
If unemployment rate is less than the natural rate..
inflation rate increases
If the unemployment rate is greater than the natural rate…
inflation rate decreases
What can the Fed. affect in the long run?
The Fed can affect the inflation rate, not the unemployment rate.
Chairman Volcker
Built a reputation of an inflation fighter by reducing the annual growth of money supply and shifting the short run Philips curve left.