module 1 Flashcards
numerator and denominator
numerator = cases of disease
denominator = population
numerator over denominator = freq. of dis-ease
always start with population (D)
what do epidemiologists do and why
measure freq. of health and dis-ease to identify causes of poor health, how to prevent, how to improve, find out whether a drug worked or not.
dis-ease occurrence
transition between non dis-ease and dis-ease
- event = when transition is observable
- state = not easily observable
gate frame components
PECOT:
p = participant popl/study popl, split into sub-denominators
e, c = exposure & comparison groups EG & CG, can be divided into 2< categories (usually only 1 CG)
o = outcomes; numerators. split into a (EG dis-ease), b (CG dis-ease), c (EG not dis-ease), d (CG not dis-ease)
t = time. same point in time arrow horizontal; over period of time arrow vertical (down)
EGO & CGO (numerical and categorical data)
EGO (exposure group occurrence) = a/EG
CGO (comparison group occurrence) = b/CG
numerical data:
some = categorically classified but outcomes still numerical - avg. for each group
calc. mean outcome - EGO = Σa/EG; CGO = Σb/CG
incidence
counting number of onsets of disease (events) during a period of time - can be easily observed, represented as proportion D (%)
I = no. of persons in group who have dis-ease outcomes (N) / total no. of persons in group (D) during study time T
incidence in EG = [a/EG] OR [a/a+c] during time T
incidence in CG = [b/CG] OR [a/b+d] during time T
prevalence
measure of disease occurrence at one point in time - when transition from non dis-ease to dis-ease if not easily observable
static measure of dis-ease - when counting prevalence “pool” need to take into acc “water lost” (death) and “evaporated water” (cured) –> not useful for causes of disease
useful to state when p was measures - p doesn’t have unit of time
P in EG = EGO vice versa
cross sectional vs cohort study
cross sectional = the exposure and outcome is measured at the SAME point in time (horizontal arrow) –> not possible to measure incidence in c-s study
cohort = EG & CG followed for a period of time, count dis-ease events over a period of time (downwards arrow). P can be measured in cohort studies - at a point in time during the study
incidence and prevalence strengths and weaknesses
INCIDENCE
determined only by dis-ease risk in a population (“clean” measure of dis-ease occurrence) ✅
includes events (N), population (D) and time (T) ✅
difficult to measure as have to observe over time ❌
PREVALENCE
(relatively) easy to “stop time” (snapshot) and count dis-ease occurrence ✅
only include N and D –> less info than incidence ❌
determined by incidence, cure rate, death rate (“dirty” measure of dis-ease occurrence) ❌
2 ways to compare disease occurrences
ratio of occurrences (risk ratio/relative ratio RR) EGO/CGO but can be CGO/EGO so clarify risk in one group more than other for eg.
difference in occurrences (risk difference RD)
EGO-CGO vice versa
same units used in calc of EGO & CGO eg. events per 10,000 ppl
relative risk reduction RRR, relative risk increase RRI
RR = any value more than 0; no difference in effect of E or C in study outcome - “no effect value”
if RR >1 –> RRR = (1 - RR) x 100 (%)
if RR 1< –> RRI = (RR - 1) x 100 (%)
randomised control trials
ppts randomly allocated to EG/CG; only advantage is that all ppts more likely to be similar at the beginning of a study (therefore differences due to the factor that experiment is controlling - LESS CONFOUNDING)
randomisation only possible when ethical - exposure is safe as comparison
sometimes impractical - lack of long-term maintenance
risk difference vs risk ratio
decisions should be made based off of rD NOT rR
rD more important - more info w units (eg. per 1000 ppl)
most ppl “understand” rR - but its RELATIVE so can be deceptive and provide less info
two types of error in epidemiological studies
RANDOM errors - by chance
NON-RANDOM errors - faulty study design/conduction
sources of non random error in epidemiological studies (names not details)
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