Modern Port Theory Flashcards
Modern Port Theory
Acceptance by investor of given level risk while maximizing expected return
Efficient Frontier
Curve that shows best possible returns from all possible portfolios
Above is unattainable
Want to be on the curve (most efficient)
Below is inefficient
Indifference curves
Built using selections based on highest level of return given acceptable level of risk
Steep means very risk averse (needs much more return for tiny more risk)
Flat or shallow means not as risk averse
CAPM Formula
Return = Rf + (Rm - Rf) B
When graphed out, gives us Security Market Line SML
Security Market Line SML
Above line = Undervalued, Buy
Below Line = Overvalued, Sell Short
Relationship between risk and return defined by CAPM and put on a graph
What’s the intersection of the Y axis of the CML/SML?
Risk-free rate
Covariance Formula for portfolio
Standard deviation of 1 times std dev of 2 times correlation
Information Ratio
A relative risk-adj performance measure
Shows excess return and consistency by fund manager relative to benchmark
Higher is better
IR= (Rp - Rb) / Tracking error or std dev
Rp is return of portfolio, Rb is benchmark
Treynor Ratio
Relative Risk-adj measure
Measures reward achieved relative to systematic risk (beta)
Doesn’t say if manager has outperformed benchmark
Sharpe Ratio
Relative Risk-adj measure of risk premiums of portfolio relative to total amount of risk in portfolio
Used Std. Dev.
Higher the better, shows most return for each unit of risk
Doesn’t show manager’s performance against the market
Jensen’s Alpha
Measures absolute performance on risk-adjusted basis
Actual return minus expected return
Positive alpha is above the SML, negative alpha is below SML (indicative of manager’s performance)
Efficient Market Hypothesis
Random Walk Theory:
Stock prices are unpredictable but not arbitrary
At any moment, prices on stocks are the best incorporation of all available info and a true reflection of value of that stock
Prices are in equilibrium
Weak Form
Doesn’t use Technical Analysis (historical info)
Believes Fundamental analysis
(Public info, 10-K filings) and Private Info (insider) can get you above average returns
Semi-Strong Form
Doesn’t believe Technical analysis (historical info) and Fundamental (Public info) can help
Does believe that Private (insider) info can help get above average returns
Strong Form
Doesn’t believe that Technical, Fundamental, or Private Info can help get above average returns
So, diversify stocks randomly or go with an Index