Midterm II Flashcards

0
Q

Conclusion Indicators

A

Therefore, hence, so, thus, consequently, it follows that, as a result

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1
Q

What are some premise indicators?

A

Because since if as shown by given that, shown by, the reasons are

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2
Q

Qualifiers do what?

A

Set limits

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3
Q

Counter arguments do what?

A

Build credibility, you demonstrate fairness and evenhandedness

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4
Q

5) Things to keep an eye on when analyzing an argument are?

A

Assumptions, qualifiers, counterarguments, and credibility

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5
Q

Langer et al did a classic study involving what?

A

Standing at a copier; “Can I make copies?” Request alone- 60%, Request with a valid reason 94%, Request with an implied reason- 93%; found that we tend to focus our attention on the premise indicator “because”

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6
Q

How strong is your argument? 3 criteria used to tell if you have a strong arguent

A
  1. Acceptable and consistent Premises
  2. Premises that Support the Conclusion
  3. Missing Components
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7
Q

What is an Expert?

A
  1. Recognized authority
  2. Are they an independent part?
  3. Someone with credentials
  4. Someone with first hand knowledge?
  5. Method used
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8
Q

Name the persuasion techniques

A

Foot in the Door, Door in the Face, Double Door, Low Ball, That’s not all

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9
Q

10) What is the foot in the door? And why is it effective?

A

It is a small request followed by a larger one. It is effective because people are then committed and want to b seen as being consistent (self image)

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10
Q

What is the Door in the face and why is it effective?

A

It is the large request followed by a smaller one. (the union demands 14% raise (that’s way too much) well then a 2% raise isn’t asking for alot…)
It is effective because reciprocity is powerful. Since someone lowered their demands they feel obligated to do something of the same.

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11
Q

What is the Double Door in the face? Why effective?

A

It is a huge request followed by large request which is then followed by a smaller one
It is effective because reciprocity along with a sense of obligation is powerful

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12
Q

What is the Lowball? Why effective?

A

Lowball is changing the deal midstream.
It is effective because of commitment and consistency. Once you cross the line you are reluctant to change. Written is more powerful than verbal.

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13
Q

What is the “That’s not all”? Why is it effective?

A

It is when someone sweetens the deal midstream. Why is it effective? Reciprocity along with a sense of obligation is powerful.

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14
Q

15) What are the classic findings in Persuasion or winning the argument?

A
  1. experts are moe persuasive
  2. Attractive sources are more persuasive than unattractive
  3. Soft cell is better than hard- let them think it is their idea
  4. provide a counter argument- you will appear fair and evenhanded
  5. Distract them
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15
Q

16) What are the 10 items Diane provides for persuasion/winning arguments?

A
  1. Provide a credible source 2. Anticipate counter arguments, give the opponent fewer points 3. Don’t be one sided- audience may be predisoposed to otherside 4. Be direct 5. Encourage discussion and public commitment, the simple act of committing makes a difference 6. Repeat the conclusion and the reasons that support the conclusion several times 7. Provide as many reasons to support the conclusion as is feasible 8. The message should be easy to comprehend 9. You could use any of the 21 common fallacies 10. Use vivid images
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16
Q

17) Guilt by Association

A

When something negative is attached to something- making it seem bad even though the two are unrelated. The reverse is true in virtue by association

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17
Q

Appeals to Pity

A

Appeals to pity have nothing to do with the main question

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18
Q

19) Testimonials

A

When respected people endorse a product then it is good, it is believed people will want to be similar to the people they respect

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19
Q

20) Slippery Slope or the fallacy of continuum

A

“If we do ____ then all of this crazy stuff will happen! We don’t want that to happen!” when really there is no evidence to say that all of the crazy stuff would happen

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20
Q

21)Straw Person

A

Weak and easy to knock down.

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21
Q

22) What is appeals to authority?

A

Much of what we know and believe comes from what authorities have told us. Appeals to authority occurs when the authority we use to support the premises in an argument is the wrong authority. Example- Bart Simpson says that the Ipad has the highest picture quality for viewing his face. Bart Simpson is not an expert on picture quality. A better source would be an Ipad technician. (p277)

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22
Q

23) What is the fallacy of tradition?

A

“That’s the way we’ve always done it.” “If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” These examples of the fallacy of tradition. Appeals to tradition is the unstated assumption that what exists is best. Appeals to tradition deny the possibility that a different way must be an improvement.

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23
Q

24) What is the Elaboration Likelihood Model (ELM) and its relation to winning the argument?

A

(AMBER WILL SHOW YOU THE DIAGRAM ON MONDAY, but it is in our notes on a slide titled Elaboration Likelihood Model if you want it sooner) The elaboration likelihood model says hat there are two ways to win an argument- the “Central Route” and the “Indirect Route” (or peripheral route). Strong arguments use the central route which included critical thinking skills. The indirect route uses distraction to win the argument. The indirect route uses the idea that if you can distract them then you are more likely to persuade them. It falls back on the study with the photocopier where we only pay attention to the premise indictor.

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24
Q

25)Langer et al. (1978) did a study that said…?

A

Langer et al did the photocopier study. His study is related to the Elaboration Likelihood Model (ELM) because in his study he had groups use the “central route” (using an actual reason) or “indirect route” (no real reason) or just make the request alone (just ask without attempting to have a reason or persuade the person) to persuade someone to allow them to make a photocopy. People were just as equally persuaded by the indirect route as they were with the central route, showing that you don’t necessarily need a reason to persuade someone, it just needs to sound like you have a reason.

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25
Q

How to persuade someone:

A

(Diane pg. 285)

  1. Provide a credible source
  2. Anticipate counter arguments and raise them
  3. Do not appear one-sided
  4. Be direct
  5. Encourage discussion and public commitment (it is a kind of promise to believe or act in a certain way)
  6. Repeat the conclusion and reasons for supporting the conclusion several times
  7. Provide as many reasons to support the conclusion as is feasible
  8. The message should be easy to understand
  9. You could use any of the 21 common fallacies she provides (but this is not recommended)
  10. Use vivid images that will be difficult to forget and be sure that they make your point.
    * keep in mind the anatomy of an argument (premie, conclusion, assumptions, qualifiers, counter-arguments)
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26
Q

What is confirmation bias?

A

An expeirment was done whee people were told limited information about a picture and then asked to provide what they believe about what is happening in the picture. What was found is that we have a tendency to extract the information that confirms or supports our views.

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27
Q

28) In the 4 card selection task, sealed envelope task, and the drinking beer task how did our class do? Which was easy to solve and why?

A

Envelope task- 50% Higher because we caught on to a pattern
Card task- 7.7% Unfamiliar to us, hard to solve
Beer- 76% This was easier to solve because we were familiar with the context
*I didn’t think he explained this one very well, did I get all that he told us?

28
Q

30) Why do images have such a large impact?

A

Diane says that visual images are very powerful because we have a very good memory for images (p284)

29
Q

31) “Regarding the Pain of Others by Susan Sontag (2003)- what are the two commonly used arguments in favor of suppressing the publication of images of the dead?

A

Two commonly shared views:

1) the images bring viewers too close to the face of death in a way that is unnecessary and indecent, vivid pictures of war appeal only to the morbid side of the human race
2) “the rights of the relatives”- the pictures have a terrible impact on the families.

30
Q

What is Susan Sontag’s criticisms of these arguments?

A

She says,
1) not viewing the pictures makes it easy for people to be “spared”- indifferent to the pain others are experiencing
2) without the photos, it is easy to perceive the enemy as a savage who kills and holds up the prey for all to see.
3) showing the photos communicates that suffering is unjust and outrageous and that these injustices are actually taking place
Basically, gruesome photos of war help to shatter ignorant perceptions and drive the point home- war needs to come to an end.

31
Q

33) What should you understand about fringe groups?

A

Note if they do any of these:

1) concentrate on any weaknesses in the opponent’s argument instead of providing a strong evidence themselves
2) exploit errors in opposing arguments
3) take quotes out of context
4) recast honest debates between scholars and twist it so that the scholars disagree about the fundamental issues when in fact they may disagree only about fine details.
5) focus on what is not known rather than what is known

32
Q

to protect yourself from the claims made by fringe groups you should…?

A

1) Evaluate the strength of an argument- are the premisies acceptable and consistent?
2) Are the sources credible?
3) Do all of the premises support the argument?
4) Note any missing components in their argument

33
Q

26) What is the template for writing a sound argument?

A

1) state your conclusion
2) Give at least 3 reasons that support your conclusion
3) rate each reason as weak, moderate, strong, or very strong
4) Give three counter arguments that weaken your conclusion, rate the counterarguments as weak, moderate, strong, or very strong
5) List any qualifiers (limitations on the reasons for or against)
6) List any assumptions
7) Are your reasons and counter arguments directly related to your conclusion?
8) What is the overall strength of your argument: weak, moderate…etc

34
Q

1) True Experiment vs Ex Post Facto

A

A true experiment reveals causation between the relationships by manipulation by random assignment to condition. Ex post fact (quasi experimental) have no cause and effect relationship because there is no true random assignment, no true independent variable manimpulation

35
Q

What are Demand characteristics?

A
  • The Hawthorne effect-watching someone changes their behavior
  • “Good” Participant, Mary Orne (simple math, participant never stopped)
  • Placebo Effect
36
Q

When, in the scientific method steps, does confirmation bias kick in?

A

It kicks in in the part where we design the study. We must avoid having it like we avoid Ebloa.

37
Q

What were Henry Gee’s views about science?

A

Henry Gee’s “Science is the religion that must not be questioned”- science only brings about more questions. Gee depicts science (in general) gets the wrong answers, results are tentative, people will advance methods, or make alterations or even find out that it was wrong. Science is more abut doubt than it is knowledge, experiments are only “estimates of probability” (P-value) and cannot determine the truth. We often bow down to scientists (priests)too quick before we know the probability of a scientific result, a result that could go wrong. Basically, science wasn’t about imperishable discoveries written in crystal, but about argument, debate trial, and- very often -error.

38
Q

What are Stuart Firestein’s beliefs about science?

A

believes knowledge creates ignorance, science creates more questions than it answers. knowledge—> more questions

39
Q

What is Proof of contradiction?

A

Proof of contradiction is when you assume that the exact opposite of the hypothesis is true. The exact opposite of the hypothesis is called the Null Hypothesis.

40
Q

How did Proof of contradiction work into the Scott Peterson trial?

A

As the district attorney you want to proveScott peterson is guilty. This is your “A”.
1. Assume the exact opposite of “A” is true- that Scott is innocent. (you start here) Jury concluded that Scott is guilty

41
Q

How does our Greek Yogurt challenge work with the concept of proof by contradiction?

A

The average rating were not statistically different. We did not find an impossible event. Therefore we failed to reject the null hypothesis (establish proof by contradiction). There is no difference between Fage and Dannon.

42
Q

What is a Type I error?

A

Type on error is when you reject the Null Hypothesis when it is actually true and should not be rejected. These errors cannot be avoided entirely, but the researcher can reduce the likelihood by increasing sample size. Dr. Cupp says that this is the worst type of error because it can harm people.

43
Q

What is a Type II error?

A

It is a decision error where the researcher fails to reject the Null Hypothesis when it is false and should be rejected. (ex- A drug has no impact, but in TRUTH it does cure AIDS.)

44
Q

Describe and explain correlation

A

Correlation asks the question: what is the relationship between the 2 dependent variables?
Positive correlation: (0- +1.0 in r value)
Negative correlation: (-1.0 - 0 in r values)
Zero correlation: r= 0 aka, no correlation/relationship between the variables (in this example, the slop of the line is either impossible to calculate or has no slope- the line is horizontal)
*Note: correlation does not necessarily imply causation

45
Q

Is it possible to avoid a Type I error?

A

Not exactly, no. You can decrease the likelihood of making a Type I error by increasing your population size, but even then you might not avoid the error. (Increasing the population size lessens the likelihood that your conclusion will differ substantially from the population)

46
Q

What is a strong vs. weak correlation?

A

Strong correlations are when the dots you graph on the chart are closer together in a slope. A weak correlation is when the dots are further apart

47
Q

What is illusory correlation and how is it related to eating bananas?

A

Illusory correlation refers to the erroneous belief that two variables are related when, in fact, they are not. Farmer ate a banana, and as he took his first bite the train he was on went into a tunnel. He shouted, “Don’t eat any of these! They cause you to go bind!”

48
Q

When assessing the claim of others there are several questions to consider, what are they?

A
  • what is the nature of the sample?
  • Were the variables operationally defined?
    Were the measurements sensitive, valid, and reliable? Were the appropriate comparisons made to support the claims?
  • Were extra variables controlled? What are the other possible explanations for the results?
  • Does the conlsuion follow up with observations?
    -Are correlations being used to support causative arguments?
  • Is disconfirming evidence being considered?
  • How could the experimenter be biasing the results?
49
Q

What is self-fulfilling prophecies and the double-blind procedure?

A

The self-fulfilling prophecies says that what ever you believe you will make it so (unconsciously usually). The double-blind procedure fights this.

50
Q

Robert Rosethal did what study?

A

The “Smart rat- dumb rat” experiment. This study illustrated expectancy bias. Independent variable: intelligence of rat. Dependent variable: student’s attentiveness. Students tend to be more attentive when they had a smart rat compared to the student who had a dumb rat. You are the problem (self-fulfilling prophecy)

51
Q

Marty Orne did an experiment that found what?

A

The “Good Participant”- participants gave authority to researchers and wanted them to have all the results they needed.

52
Q

What was the TED Talk “The Pursuit of Ignorance” about?

A

The pursuit of ignorance, knowledge only brings about more questions. Science creates more questions than it answers.

53
Q

What are the Criminal justice standards of proof?

A

Legal standard- Beyond a reasonable doubt

Legal Action- Criminal conviction

54
Q

What is the gambler’s fallacy?

A

It is the belief that random events are self-correcting. (ie- law of small numbers)

55
Q

What is the law of small numbers?

A

The previous outcomes do not affect the next

56
Q

Law of large numbers

A

In the long run random events will take on predictable forms. It requires a sample of infinity.

57
Q

What is the overconfidence and how does it relate to the planning fallacy?

A

Overconfidence is the tendency for pople to be more confident in their judgements of probability; it is a problem for everyone including experts. They underestimate the likelihood that their predictions will be wrong. Or, they might PLAN for something to happen a certain way, or PLAN to end on a certain deadline, but most often we underestimate how long something will take us or underestimate things that could go wrong.

58
Q

What is the difference between the addition rule and the multiplication rule?

A

Addition Rule: Add the separate p( ) of several MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS in order to find the p( ) of anyone of these outcomes will occur (this “OR” this)
Multiplication Rule: compute their separate probability AND THEN multiply them together- used when two events happen together (this “AND” this)

59
Q

Random events and Figure 7.2

A

Figure 7.2 shows that every combination of cards is equally likely when the cards are dealt at random

60
Q

Why do we have problems (compared to experts) with the task of assessing risks?

A

People judge events that are dramatic and more publicized to be more likely than events that are less dramatic. In general, people overestimate infrequent events and underestimate the frequent ones.

61
Q

How is negative value related to buying insurance?

A

In buying insurance you are more likely to have a negative value (lose money) because the best thing you can hope for with appliance insurance is a “replacement”. With larger insurance purchase you can get more out of it.

62
Q

What is the accordian gambit?

A

When you take the “none” results and add them to the point you’re trying to prove. In a scientific test 2 out of 3 people found Brand B AS GOOD AS OR BETTER THAN Brand A.

63
Q

What are the measures of central tendency?

A

Mean, Median, Mode

64
Q

How do you calculate the mean? What is the mean?

A
  1. Sum up all the data
  2. divide the sum by the number of scores
    and wa-la!
    The mean is the point that balances a distribution of scores. Use when no outliers are present; it uses all the data, takes all aspects into account
65
Q

What are the “Positive, Negative, and Normal” Distributions?

A

Positive: skewed to the right; the mean is greater than the median
Negative: skewed to the left; the mean is less than the median
Normal: the mean, median, and mode are equal

66
Q

How do you find the median? What is it?

A

Is the point that divides a distribution of scores into two parts (same number of scores) that are equal in size.
You find it by dividing the score in half

67
Q

Regression to the mean- when do we seek help?

A

We seek help when we hit rock bottom or precipitating.