MIDTERM Flashcards
Prevalence formula
Number of cases of a disease present in the population at a specified time / # of persons in the population at that specified time
Case fatality formula
Number of individuals dying from a specific disease during a specified period of time after disease onset or diagnosis / # of individuals with the specified disease
Proportionate mortality formula
Deaths caused by a specific disease / total number of deaths
Cumulative incidence (risk) formula
Number of new cases of a disease occurring in a population during a specified period of time / # of persons who are at risk of developing the disease during that period of time
Incidence density (rate) formula
Number of new cases of a disease occurring in a population during a specified period of time / Total person-time at risk
Mortality rate formula
Total # of deaths from all causes in one year / # of persons in the population at midyear
Cause-specific mortality rate formula
Number of deaths from a specific cause in one year / # of persons in the population at midyear
Incidence studies: risk difference
(A/A+B) - (C/C+D)
Incidence studies: Risk ratio
(A/A+B) / (C/C+D)
Incidence studies: Rate difference
(A/person-time exposed) - (C/person-time unexposed)
Incidence studies: Rate ratio
(A/person-time exposed) / (C/person-time unexposed)
Incidence studies: Risk odds ratio
(A/B) / (C/D) = AD / BC
Prevalence studies: Prevalence difference
(A/A+B) - (C/C+D)
Prevalence studies: Prevalence ratio
(A/A+B) / (C/C+D)
Prevalence studies: Odds ratio
(A/B) / (C/D) = AD / BC
Type of prevalence study
cross-sectional
Types of incidence studies
- RCTs
- prospective & retrospective cohorts
- Hypothesized the existence of the fecal-oral disease transmission route
- Identified that cholera causes were originating from the Broad Street pump in London
- Went from house to house counting all deaths from cholera in each house, and determined which company supplied water to each home. He determined that houses that drank water form on company had higher mortality rates that those who used the other
contributions of John Snow
Levels of prevention:
To prevent disease, before it develops so as to maintain health
Primary prevention
Levels of prevention:
Smoking prevention, condom use, wearing a seatbelt
Primary prevention
Levels of prevention:
To diagnosis and treat disease in its early stages so as to restore or improve health
- often a subclinical diagnosis
Secondary prevention
Levels of prevention:
Pap test or colon cancer screening, routine mammograms for breast cancer
Secondary prevention
Levels of prevention:
To reduce complications of disease and improve functioning and quality of life where possible
- often already have clinical symptoms
Tertiary prevention
Levels of prevention:
Hospice programs for AIDs patients, physical therapy that is designed to relieve complication from advanced arthritis
Tertiary prevention
- Observed elevated incidence of childbed fever between two maternity clinics
- Proposed a hand washing solution of chlorinated lime to be implemented in first clinic
Ignaz Semmelewis
The study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states or events in specified populations and the application of this study for the control of health problems
Epidemiology
As countries become industrialized they increasingly manifest the mortality patterns correctly seen in developed countries, with mortality from chronic diseases becoming the major challenge
Epidemiologic transitions
A smaller and more manageable representation of a larger group
Sample
The pool of individuals from which a statistical sample is drawn for a study
Population
The act of generalizing from a sample to a population with calculated degree of certainty
Statistical inference
we are curious about parameter in the _
population
we calculate statistics in the _
sample
An attribute of a population
- population parameters are unknowable (usually)
- we believe there is a true value for the parameter
Parameter
An attribute of a parameter
- a _ provides an estimate of a parameter
statistic
For an attribute “is what it is”
Distribution
- there are no _ involved in creating the distributions
- we are simply collecting (and then plotting) the data
- we can summarize a distribution in several ways:
- mean ( a measure of central tendency)
- median (an alternative of central tendency)
- standard deviation (a measure of the spread)
- range and interquartile range (other measures of spread)
statistics
A very important point is that sample sizes increases, the precision increases, and the _ _ decreases
- thus, the _ _ will get narrower as the sample sizes increases
- standard error
- confidence interval
The mean and the _ _ (ex: heights) do not change as a function of sample size
standard deviation
The probability, given that the null hypothesis is true, of obtaining a statistic as extreme or more extreme than the statistic actually observed
P-value
- Calculating a p-value requires you to specify an _ _
- Think p-value as a measure of your data’s _ with the null hypothesis
- A _ p-value indicates data is not very compatible with the null hypothesis
- expected value
- compatibility
- low
The role of statistics: why do we do statistical tests?
There will always be some _ from random processes
- Statistics are exceptionally good at characterizing random variability (“chance”)
variability
The role of statistics: why do we do statistical tests?
Using statistics we can characterize the _ in the data that would be present if the null hypothesis were true
- Based on this distribution we can calculate a p-value and use it to make a decision about the null hypothesis
variability
Confidence intervals (CI):
The narrower the CI, the more precise the interval
- How narrow the CI can be determined by subtracting the lower CI from the upper CI
Precision
Confidence intervals (CI):
Ratios (Ex: risk ratio, odds ratio) with CI that include _ are NOT statistically significant
1
Confidence intervals (CI):
- Absolute differences such as risk difference, prevalence difference, etc. with CI that include _ are NOT statistically significant
0
Confidence intervals (CI):
_ _ _ have the property that if you repeated the study many times (always with the same sample size), _ of the intervals would contain the true value of the parameter
- 95% confidence intervals
- 95%
A quantity calculated to indicate the extent of deviation for a group as a whole (of some attribute of a population)
Standard deviation
A measure of the statistical accuracy of an estimate, equal to standard deviation of the theoretical distribution of a large population of such estimates (an attribute of a statistic)
Standard error