Merger Model Flashcards
EPS Accretion
Buyer’s EPS increases after acquisition
EPS Dilution
Buyer’s EPS decreases after acquisition
What are some reasons a company would do an acquisition?
1) Gain market share
2) Grow more quickly
3) Believes seller is undervalued
4) Acquire the seller’s customers
5) Acquire IP
6) Eliminate a threat
8) Intangible benefits over the long term
**Growth is a key factor here
A buyer will ONLY acquire a seller if…
It believes it will gain something from the deal
What is the difference between a merger and an acquisition?
Fundamentally the same thing –>
Merger is two companies of similar size
Acquisition is 2 companies of different sizes
Walk me through a merger model.
1) Determine the purchase price and purchase method (debt/cash/equity)
2) Project the buyer and seller’s financial statements
3) Combine buyer and seller’s Income Statements
4) Calculate Goodwill and combine Balance Sheets (adjust for acquisition affects)
5) Adjust the combined Income Statement for acquisition affects
6) Calculate accretion/dilution and create sensitivity tables
When would a deal be dilutive? (definition of dilutive)
When the amount of extra net income the seller contributes is not enough to offset the foregone interest on cash, interest paid on debt, and the effects of issuing shares
When would a buyer prefer to issue shares in an acquisition?
If the stock is trading at high P/E multiple
Note: Cost of equity is reciprocal of P/E multiple so a high price relative to NI means that the cost of equity will be very low
What is the first rule of thumb for 100% stock deals and P/E multiples?
Buyer P/E > Seller P/E –> Accretive
Buyer P/E < Seller P/E –> Dilutive
*P/E = Equity Value/Net Income
How would you interpret a P/E of 10x?
If you bought it, you’d be getting $0.10 in earnings for each dollar you pay for the company
What is the second rule of thumb (in determining accretion/dilution for all deals)?
Weighted Cost for Buyer < Yield of Seller –> Accretive
Weighted Cost for Buyer > Yield of Seller –> Dilutive
Yield of Seller Formula
Reciprocal of seller P/E ratio
Cost of Cash Formula
Foregone Interest on Cash * (1 - Buyer’s Tax Rate)
Cost of Debt Formula
Interest Rate on Debt * (1 - Buyer’s Tax Rate)
Cost of Stock Formula
Reciprocal of buyer P/E ratio
What is the problem with our 2 Rules of Thumb?
They don’t account for
1) Acquisition affects (synergies, new D&A, etc)
2) Premium paid
What are 5 Main Acquisition Affects?
1) Foregone Interest on Cash
2) Additional Interest on Debt
3) Additional Shares Outstanding
4) Combined Financial Statements
5) Creation of Goodwill and Other Intangibles
What are some examples of some more advanced acquisition effects?
1) PPE and Fixed Asset Write Ups - may write up if market value exceeds book value
2) Transaction and Financing Fees - Deduct from Cash and RE at time of transaction
3) Deferred Tax Asset - Write off Completely
4) Deferred Tax Asset - Write off and then create new ones based on buyer’s tax rate*newly created intangibles and fixed asset write ups
Revenue Synergies
Examples include price increase or additional volumes sold
*Rarely taken seriously because impossible to predict
Expense Synergies
Examples include Reduction in Force and Building Consolidation
- Much more grounded in reality and are easier to estimate
What are some reasons most integrations fail?
1) Synergy Failures
2) Cultural Differences
3) Integration Difficulties
4) Poor Rationale
What happens when a buyer overpays for a company?
Goodwill Impairment and Write Downs
How do PPE write up acquisition affects impact deferred tax liabilities?
During an acquisition, you’d acquire the PPE of the seller and may need to write up the values if the market value exceeds the book value. In addition you would write off the sellers existing DTLs and create new ones based on:
Buyers Tax Rate*(PPE and Fixed Asset Write Up and Newly Created Intangibles)
How do you determine the purchase price in a transaction?
Precedent Transactions, Comparable Companies, DCF
All else being equal, which method would a company prefer to use when acquiring another company?
Cash because it is typically cheaper and less risky than debt and equity