Measuring and managing exchange rate exposure L10 Flashcards
Hedging techniques
- Forward or futures hedge
- Money market hedge
- Currency option hedge
Money market hedge
- taking a money market position to cover a future payment/receipt.
- e.g., to hedge against a future foreign payment a firm can borrow funds in the home currency and Invest in the foreign currency earning interest until the payment matures
Currency option hedge
- provides the right to buy/sell a specified amount of a particular currency at a specified strike price within a given period of time
Forward or futures hedge
- using a forward contract to lock in the value of a future payment/receipt
Arguments against hedging
- Hedging-as-Irrelevant (Modigliani and Miller)
- Hedging is costly
Arguments for hedging
- Lowers exchange rate risk
- Improves investment decisions
- Can reduce firm’s expected taxes
Hedging-as-Irrelevant - Modigliani and Miller
- It only changes non-systematic risk, no effect on firm’s value
- Investors can hedge on their own – equity positions
- Relies on “Perfect Markets” story
Hedging is costly
- Bid-ask spread: larger in forward market
- Salaries and monitoring costs to evaluate hedging alternatives
The real exchange rate risk of a net exporter
A competitive dilemma:
- Raise prices: lose market share
- Lower prices: lose profits
Major factor that determines a firm’s response to exchange rate changes
- Price elasticity of demand for its product
(Pro-hedging) Improves investment decisions
- Provides definite stream of income to finance investment
- Otherwise + NPV projects may be missed
Can reduce firm’s expected taxes
- stable income =>
- predictable tax environment
- maximise tax benefits through strategic income management
- reduced risk of high taxes/penalties from income volatility
Alternative Hedging techniques
- Leading and Lagging
- Cross-Hedging
- Currency Diversification
Leading and Lagging
- Adjusting the timing of a payment or disbursement to reflect expectations about future currency movements
Cross-Hedging
Hedging by using a proxy currency for the currency in which the MNC is exposed
Currency Diversification
Reducing exposure by diversifying business across numerous countries
Evidence on Firm’s Hedging Behaviour
- Large R&D firms hedge
- Highly levered firms hedge
- Firms with higher dividend yields hedge
- Hedging more common in large firms
-Firms with greater growth opportunities more likely to use derivatives - Some evidence to suggest hedging increases firm value