McKinsey report on China Flashcards

1
Q

What is the expected growth rate for online B2C sales in China from 2010 to 2015?

A

Business-to-consumer online sales in China are expected to grow by 45 percent a year from 2010 to 2015. For product makers, this means smaller and smaller lot sizes and deliveries to households farther and farther “out there.

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2
Q

How much more does the Chinese private sector earns ROA compared to SOES?

A

Three times. 12%VS4%

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3
Q

How many percent of labour productivity of OECD countries does China do in average?

A

Labor productivity is 15 to 30 percent of the average in countries that are part of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD).

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4
Q

How many affluent households with annual income at least 21000 USD are there in China now?

A

There are now 116 million middle-class and affluent households (with annual disposable income of at least $21,000 per year)

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5
Q

What is the estimated nonperforming loan ratio in 2015? What are the official numbers?

A

We estimate that the nonperforming-loan ratio in 2015 was already at about 7 percent, well above the reported 1.7 percent.

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6
Q

What may the estimated nonperforming loan ratio may get to if Chinese firms will not improve productivity?

A

the nonperforming-loan ratio could rise to 15 percent.

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7
Q

What is the percent of employees employed by SOES today? What was it in 1990s?

A

State owned enterprises employed 60 percent of Chinese workers in the 1990s, but that has dropped to 15 percent in 2015.

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8
Q

What are the five major opportunities to raise productivity in the period to 2030?

A

(1) unleashing more than $6 trillion (39 trillion renminbi) in consumption
(2) enabling new business processes through digitization;
(3) moving up the value chain through innovation,
(4) improving business operations through lean techniques and higher energy efficiency,

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9
Q

How much did China service sector grew in 2015?

A

In 2015, the services sector grew by 8.3 percent, 2.3 percentage points faster than manufacturing

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10
Q

How much did retail and online sales sector grew in 2015?

A

Retail sales are growing by about 10 percent per year, and online sales are growing by 30 to 40 percent

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11
Q

What is China share in global footwear export?

A

China’s share of global exports of footwear has fallen from 52 percent to 46 percent since 2010

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12
Q

What is the share of income going to the top fifth of the population?

A

The share of income going to the top fifth of the population rose from 33 percent in 1995 to 43 percent in 2012

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13
Q

How did the average return on invested capital change from 2004 to 2014?

A

Average returns on invested capital for a sample of more than 3,000 companies fell from 10.3 percent to 2004 to 7.4 percent in 2014

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14
Q

What is the ROI in steel and cement sectors?

A

In the steel and cement sectors, more than half of publicly listed companies are estimated to generate returns below their cost of capital

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15
Q

What is ROI of Chinese R&D-intensive companies compared to that of similar US firms?

A

Returns on invested capital in R&D-intensive manufacturing such as autos, semiconductors, and pharmaceuticals are 8.5 percent in China compared with 16.5 percent in the United States.

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16
Q

How much economic profit in China is generated by financial sector?

A

more than 80 percent of the economic profit generated in China—a measure that takes into account the cost of capital—comes from the financial sector

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17
Q

What is the size of shadow-banking in China? What is its share of total lending?

A

Shadow-banking assets have grown to about 45 trillion renminbi ($6.6 trillion) and now represent about 20 percent of total lending.

18
Q

What is China government debt compared to the size of its GDP?

A

It is 50%
US - 80%-90%
Japan-240%

19
Q

What is agriculture’s share of GDP in China? How will it change by 2030?

A

Agriculture, whose share of GDP has fallen by 50 % since 2000, could decline to 4 percent by 2030, closer to the 1 to 2 percent of GDP typical in advanced economies.

20
Q

How much did Chinese travelers spent in 2015 abroad?

A

Chinese travelers spent $102 billion (660 billion renminbi) in 2015 on the purchase of goods

21
Q

How did sales of new categories of consumer electronic goods change compare to the sector in general?

A

at annual rates of more than 50 percent over the past five years compared with growth in the sector overall of a more modest 14 percent

22
Q

How many Chinese workers changed their jobs in past 6 month? How does it compare to US and Germany?

A

28 percent of Chinese workers said that they had changed jobs in the past six months, compared with 18 percent in the United States, 10 percent in Germany

23
Q

What is the market share of Chinese companies in global branded drug market?

A

Chinese companies have less than 3 percent of the global branded drug market

24
Q

How many robots per 10 000 manufacturing robots does China have? How does it compare to South Korea?

A

While China is the largest purchaser of robots in the world, there are still only 36 robots per 10,000 manufacturing workers, about half the global figure, and less than one-tenth the level in South Korea, for instance.

25
Q

How much is the average overseas revenue for Chinese companies compare to non-Chinese multinationals?

A

The overseas revenue of the top five Chinese companies
is less than 10 percent of total sales, compared with 30 to 70 percent in the case of non-Chinese
multinationals.

26
Q

How to increase consumption in China?

A
  1. Sell up (premiumization)

2. Improve social insurance

27
Q

How to digitalize China?

A

Develop electric vehicles with integrated media
Create supply chain schedule platforms
Use digital tech to improve quality of talent

28
Q

How to move up the value chain in China?

A

Spend more on R&D as % of sales
Increase amount of research
Do M&A

29
Q

What was the % of North American deals in Chinese outbound investment transactions in 2011-2015? Did it change?

A

North American deals accounted for 17 percent of transactions in 2006–2010 and rose to 25 percent in 2011–2015.

30
Q

What competences will Chinese companies have to develop about their M&A management capabilities?

A

Chinese companies will need to build M&A management capabilities such as due diligence and post-merger integration while developing a system to manage global organization, marketing, and production.

31
Q

What is the average GDP Per Capita in cities like Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Suzhou?

A

Over 30 000 USD p.a.

32
Q

How many university graduates did China produce in 2015? How did it change compare to 2000?

A

In 2015 the number of university graduates in China was 7 million. In 2000 it was less than one million

33
Q

How many electric vehicles did China sell in 2015? How did it change from 2014?

A

247 000 vehicles. 4 times more than in 2014.

34
Q

How many people leave in rural areas of China?

A

690 million

35
Q

What is the Ginny index in modern China? What was it in 1980?

A

Today it is 0.46. In 1980 it was about 0.3 (similar to modern Denmark)

36
Q

How much China’s wealth is controlled by 1% of the rechiest families?

A

About 30%

37
Q

How much money did Chinese inverstors lose due to financial fraud in 2015?

A

20 billion USD

38
Q

What was the property price growth in Shanghai in 2015?

A

20%

39
Q

What is the aggregate debt of local governments in China?

A

25 trillion RMB (about the size of Germany GDP)

40
Q

How did per capita income in China grow from 1987?

A

It grew by 13 times, (the average world grew less than three times)

41
Q

How many people left the povertry because of the China economic growth?

A

more than 700 million