MAT prob&stat1 discrete probability distributions Flashcards

1
Q

What is the binomial distribution used to model?

A

Situations with multiple trials, each having two possible outcomes: success or failure. It uses the binomial coefficient to calculate probabilities.

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2
Q

What are the conditions for using the binomial distribution?

A
  • n independent trials
  • Two possible outcomes (success and failure)
  • Fixed probabilities for success (p) and failure (1-p)
  • The random variable X represents the number of successes.
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3
Q

How is the probability of r successes in n trials calculated?

A

Using the formula:
P(X = r) = ⁿCᵣ * p^r * (1-p)^(n-r)

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4
Q

What is the notation for a random variable following a binomial distribution?

A

X ~ B(n, p), where n is the number of trials and p is the probability of success.

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5
Q

What is the expectation and variance of a binomial random variable X ~ B(n, p)?

A

Expectation: E(X) = np
Variance: Var(X) = np(1-p)

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6
Q

When tossing a coin 20 times, what is the binomial distribution of the number of heads?

A

X ~ B(20, 0.5), where n = 20 and p = 0.5.

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7
Q

How do you find the probability P(X ≥ r) using binomial tables?

A

Use the complement:
P(X ≥ r) = 1 - P(X ≤ r-1)

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8
Q

What is the probability of getting at least one success in a binomial distribution?

A

P(X ≥ 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)

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9
Q

In a class of 30 students, if the pass rate for a test is 60%, what is the distribution of the number of failures?

A

X ~ B(30, 0.4), where p = 0.4 (probability of failure)

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10
Q

How do you determine the number of trials required for a specific probability threshold?

A

Use the complement rule and trial and improvement or logarithms to solve inequalities involving binomial probabilities.

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11
Q

If a flight has a 90% on-time rate, what is the probability all 4 flights are on time?

A

P(X = 4) = (0.9)^4 = 0.656

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12
Q

What is the most likely outcome in a binomial distribution?

A

The value of X closest to the mean np, which also has the highest probability.

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13
Q

What is the geometric distribution used to model?

A

Situations where trials are repeated until the first success occurs, with the number of trials required being the random variable X.

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14
Q

What is the probability formula for success on the n-th trial in a geometric distribution?

A

P(X = n) = (1 - p)^(n-1) * p
where p is the probability of success and (1 - p) is the probability of failure.

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15
Q

What is the notation for a random variable following a geometric distribution?

A

X ~ Geo(p), where p is the probability of success.

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16
Q

What are the conditions for using the geometric distribution?

A
  • Trials are independent.
  • Each trial has two outcomes (success or failure).
  • Probability of success (p) is constant for all trials.
  • Trials continue until the first success occurs.
17
Q

How does the geometric distribution differ from the binomial distribution?

A

The geometric distribution has an unknown number of trials and stops at the first success, while the binomial distribution has a fixed number of trials.

18
Q

What are the mean and variance of a geometric distribution?

A

Mean: μ = 1 / p
Variance: σ^2 = (1 - p) / p^2

19
Q

If X ~ Geo(0.3), what is P(X = 5)?

A

P(X = 5) = (1 - 0.3)^4 * 0.3 = 0.072

20
Q

If X ~ Geo(0.3), what is P(X > 8)?

A

P(X > 8) = (1 - 0.3)^8 = 0.0576

21
Q

If X ~ Geo(0.3), what is P(X < 4)?

A

P(X < 4) = 1 - P(X > 3) = 1 - (1 - 0.3)^3 = 0.657

22
Q

Hassan spins a spinner with p = 1/6 until he gets a six. What are the mean and variance of his spins?

A

Mean: μ = 1 / p = 6
Variance: σ^2 = (1 - p) / p^2 = 30