MAT prob&stat1 discrete probability distributions Flashcards
What is the binomial distribution used to model?
Situations with multiple trials, each having two possible outcomes: success or failure. It uses the binomial coefficient to calculate probabilities.
What are the conditions for using the binomial distribution?
- n independent trials
- Two possible outcomes (success and failure)
- Fixed probabilities for success (p) and failure (1-p)
- The random variable X represents the number of successes.
How is the probability of r successes in n trials calculated?
Using the formula:
P(X = r) = ⁿCᵣ * p^r * (1-p)^(n-r)
What is the notation for a random variable following a binomial distribution?
X ~ B(n, p), where n is the number of trials and p is the probability of success.
What is the expectation and variance of a binomial random variable X ~ B(n, p)?
Expectation: E(X) = np
Variance: Var(X) = np(1-p)
When tossing a coin 20 times, what is the binomial distribution of the number of heads?
X ~ B(20, 0.5), where n = 20 and p = 0.5.
How do you find the probability P(X ≥ r) using binomial tables?
Use the complement:
P(X ≥ r) = 1 - P(X ≤ r-1)
What is the probability of getting at least one success in a binomial distribution?
P(X ≥ 1) = 1 - P(X = 0)
In a class of 30 students, if the pass rate for a test is 60%, what is the distribution of the number of failures?
X ~ B(30, 0.4), where p = 0.4 (probability of failure)
How do you determine the number of trials required for a specific probability threshold?
Use the complement rule and trial and improvement or logarithms to solve inequalities involving binomial probabilities.
If a flight has a 90% on-time rate, what is the probability all 4 flights are on time?
P(X = 4) = (0.9)^4 = 0.656
What is the most likely outcome in a binomial distribution?
The value of X closest to the mean np, which also has the highest probability.
What is the geometric distribution used to model?
Situations where trials are repeated until the first success occurs, with the number of trials required being the random variable X.
What is the probability formula for success on the n-th trial in a geometric distribution?
P(X = n) = (1 - p)^(n-1) * p
where p is the probability of success and (1 - p) is the probability of failure.
What is the notation for a random variable following a geometric distribution?
X ~ Geo(p), where p is the probability of success.