Market analysis exam Flashcards
Explain European settlement trends
- Began in 1788 when British established a penal colony in NSW
- The arrival of the first fleet marked the beginning of the European presence
- The colony relied heavily on convict labour (develpoment/farming)
- Free settlers were encouraged to migrate, leading to expansion across Australia
- Establishment of new colonies and the discovery of gold fuelled further growth and attracted diverse populations
- Disrupted Indigenous ways of life
- Today Australia is a multicultural society
What is the historical rates of Australian Cash Rate
Australian interest rate averaged 3.84%
What is the target RBA inflation range?
2-3%
What would good economic market conditions look like in Australia? (the health of economic indicators)
Good economic market would conditions would illustrate a relatively low inflation rate at approximately 2-3%, with rising GDP, a max 5% NAIRU unemployment rate, low CPI but a high WPI
What are the underly drivers of major Australian cities?
Population growth – overseas migration, Infrastructure development
What is expected to fuel economic growth in Queensland?
One of the largest factors expected to fuel economic growth within QLD is the 2028 Olympic games being held in Brisbane. From this planned future event, infrastructure development has been boosted with anticipated of future population increases and tourism growth
How does the economic cycle work?
The economic cycle, also known as the business cycle, refers to the natural fluctuation of economic activity in an economy over time. It involves alternating periods of expansion and contraction in aggregate economic output, which are measured by indicators such as GDP, employment rates, and investment levels.
The four phases of the economic cycle
Expansion – economic growth occurs (illustrated by the rise in GDP, consumer spending and employment
Peak – peak of economic growth occurs (maximum growth occurred – the economy can only go down)
Contraction – the decline in economic activity (resulting in a decrease in GSP, employment and consumer spending)
Trough – the lowest point of the economic cycle (from here the economy can only go up)
Do cycles for different sectors and investment types align?
The residential sector has its own influential factors such as population growth, housing demand, affordability, mortgage rates and government policies
What is cumulative causation?
Cities become more attractive to immigrants, which creates demand for services and consumables, attracting jobs, then attracting more immigrants. Advantages or disadvantages have an effect on the growth of and economy.
What is gentrification?
A poor area is changed by wealthier people moving in, improving the location and attracting new businesses.
What is metropolitan primacy?
Cities that have a large presence in terms of the economy, political presence – exerting a disproportionate influence and concentration of power
What is urbanisation?
The main land-use change associated with the shift from primary production (agricultural and mining) to tertiary production (manufacturing) to quaternity production (services and information) (Rural to urban)
Intensity of Land Use?
Refers to the level of utilisation of land for a specific purpose. It measure the effectiveness and efficiency
When should you redevelop?
You should redevelop when the value of the land in existing use in under the value of the cleared site
How do planning controls impact the property market?
Planning controls such as zoning regulations and neighbourhood planning imacts the types of properties allowed to be developed in certain areas, the restrictions on density allowances and demographic types (e.g. higher value areas – inner city = higher property values – gentrification)
Why is the Property Market not as efficient as other markets?
Due to the fact prices are set on the buyer and sellers opinions and circumstances, not just the market at large. Properties are an illiquid asset.
What is monetary and fiscal policy? How do they interact?
Monetary policy addresses interest rates and the supply of money in circulation – Bank.
Fiscal policy addresses taxation and government spending – Government.
What defines a recession?
A significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in production, employment, real income, and other indicators.
What is a cash rate?
The cash rate is the interest rate that banks pay to borrow funds from other banks in the money market overnight