Managing financial risk: Overseas trade Flashcards
What 10 risks should be considered if companies wish to trade abroad?
- Physical risk
- Import restrictions
- Government stability
- Liquidity risk
- Economic stability
- special Taxes
- Currency risk
- Credit risk
- Regulations for foreign companies
- Remittance restrictions
Method for calculating sterling receipt when using a forward contract
- Higher spot rate plus higher forward rate discount.
- Value in foreign currency divided by answer from Step 1.
- Less cost of forward contract.
Method for calculating sterling receipt when using a money market hedge
- Receive value in foreign currency.
- Accrue interest - Prorate foreign currency borrowing interest rate.
- Take out a loan - Value in foreign currency divided by 1 + accrued interest.
- Convert at spot rate - Divide by higher spot rate.
- Earn interest - Prorate sterling lending interest rate.
- Lend in sterling - Multiply answers from Step 4 and Step 5.
Method for exchanging traded currency options
- Choose a strike price with a better rate than the current spot rate.
- Calculate the number of contracts.
- Decide whether the company needs to buy or sell currency.
- Calculate the premium for the strike price.
- Calculate the value of currency the company will be buying or selling.
- Decide if the futures position should be exercised.
- Add total profit if exercising.
- Less premium.
- Total cost.
Advantage of hedging forex risk with forwards
Tailored.
Disadvantage of hedging forex risk with forwards
No secondary market.
2 disadvantages of hedging forex risk with money market hedges
- More difficult to arrange than a forward contract.
- Might use up the firm’s credit lines.
Disadvantage of hedging forex risk with OTC currency options
No secondary market.
What should always be mentioned in hedging decision questions?
Attitude to risk.
2 key problems for using cryptocurrencies for international transactions
- Exchangeability: Cryptocurrency exchanges are only likely to exchange Bitcoins for a narrow range of major currencies. This appears to be less of a problem for companies trading in countries using these currencies.
- Price volatility: Cryptocurrency exchange rates are extremely volatile with prices moving significantly each day. However, companies can choose to hedge this risk using OTC agreements such as forward contracts (if these are available) and also using derivative agreements such as futures. However, in both cases there is the possibility that the rate quoted by the markets is unattractive.
Advise a company on whether to accept payments from customers in Bitcoin.
Unless the company can hedge the risk of the Bitcoin price moving against it, it is not recommended that the company accepts payment in Bitcoins. Attitude to
risk can also be mentioned.
Define interest rate parity
Theory that claims the difference between the spot and the future exchange rates is equal to the differential between interest rates available in the two currencies.
How does interest rate parity theory relate to forwards?
Used by banks to calculate the forward rate quoted on a currency.
Formula for interest rate parity
current spot rate x (1 + If) / (1 + Iuk) = forward rate
If = foreign currency interest rate for the period Iuk = UK interest rate for the period
How to calculate interest premium / discount using interest rate parity theory
average forward rate less average spot rate = discount / premium