Macroeconomy: how economists keep track of everything. Flashcards

1
Q

Name the accounting apparatus used by economists to measure economic activity and its functions.

A

The national account (internationally known as the National Income and Product Accounts or NIPA).

This allows economists to study the processes of production, distribution and consumption with in-depth understanding - allowing them to keep track of how much is being produced, as well as where it all ends up.

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2
Q

What is GDP?

A

Gross domestic product is a statistic that calculates the value of all goods and services produced in a given country in a given time period.

In the UK, it is calculated by the Office of National Statistics (revised on a regular basis), giving us an idea of how much economic activity took place in the previous quarter or year.

Because people like to consume goods and services, measuring GDP allows economists to quantify, in some sense, how well a country is doing at maximising its citizens’ happiness given the country’s limited resources.

A rising GDP indicates that a country is working out ways to provide more goods and services that make people happy.

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3
Q

What things does GDP not take into account?

A

The GDP statistic only takes into account the transactions that involve money, so if you look after your elderly parents or if a mother stays at home to take care of an infant that economic activity - although very productive and socially beneficial - doesn’t get counted in GDP.

Also in rural farming societies, most production is for consumption within the household, meaning that the output never makes it to the official GDP statistic. So as these societies change from rural economies to market economies, the GDP appears to rise because a lot of output is being counted for the first time which can be misleading when comparing GDP’S with other countries.

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4
Q

Describe the circular flow of income model.

A

Economists simplify life by saying that all the resources or factors of production (land, labour and capital) are owned by households - which can be made up of individuals or families.

Firms buy or rent the factors of production from the households and use them to produce goods and services, which are then sold back to the household thus setting up a circular flow for resources moving from households to firms, and goods and services moving back the other way.

Moving in the opposite direction are the payments in pounds. When the firms buy factors of production from households, they have to pay money to the households. That money is income to the households. And when households buy goods and services from the firms they pay for those with money.

A key point to understand is that firms are owned by households, either directly in the case of smaller businesses or via investment funding from banks or pension funds. In turn, any money that a firm makes when it sells goods and services flows on as income to some individual or group of individuals. Because of this flow, income must equal expenditures.

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5
Q

What are the four categories that income in the economy flows into?

A

1) Labour receives wages.
Workers charge wages for the labour services that they provide.

2) Land receives rent.
Owners of buildings and land chargen rents to tenants for the services that real estate and physical structures provide.

3) Capital receives interest.
i. e. the cost of obtaining the services of a £1000 piece of capital equipment is the interest payments that a firm must make on a £1000 loan to buy that piece of equipment.

4)Entrepreneurship receives profits.
The firm’s profits must flow to the entrepreneurs and owners of the firm, who take on the risk that the firm may do badly or even go bankrupt.

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6
Q

What is an asset?

A

An asset is something durable that isn’t directly consumed but that gives off a flow of services that you do consume.

An asset is considered a stock, while the services it provides are considered a flow.

i.e. a house is an asset because it provides shelter services. You don’t consume the house, you consume the services it provides. Similarly, a car is an asset because, although you don’t consume the car itself, it provides transportation services.

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7
Q

What are the three markets of the more DETAILED circular flow diagram?

A

1) Markets for factors of production: are where money is exchanged to purchase or rent the land, labor, capital and entrepreneurship used in production.
2) Financial Markets: are where people who want to lend money (savers) interact with those who want to borrow money (borrowers). In this market the supply and demand for loans determine the interest rate, which is the price you have to pay to get someone to lend you their money for a while. Because most governments run deficits and have to borrow a lot of money, they’re major players in the financial markets.
3) Markets for goods and services: are where people and the government buy the stuff that firms make.

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8
Q

When is newly produced output counted as part of GDP?

A

Newly produced output is counted as part of GDP as soon as it is produced, even before the output is sold.

i.e. as soon as construction on a new house is completed, its market value of £300,000 is estimated and counted as part of GDP right then. Suppose construction finished in 2009 adding £300,000 to 2009’s GDP. If the house isn’t sold until 2010, it doesn’t count in 2010’s GDP because double counting isn’t allowed.

The fact that output is counted when produced rather than when sold, is a red flag when intrepreting GDP stats to gauge the health of the economy.

Which is why Economists who try to forecast where the economy is going pay much more attention to inventory levels than they do to last quarter’s GDP.

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9
Q

name some further downfalls of GDP.

A

All things increase GDP.

Higher GDP is usually better than low GDP = higher living standards. But GDP doesn’t guarantee that happiness is increasing because GDP often goes up when bad things happen.

Ex. A major flood destroys a city = GDP goes up as reconstruction kicks into gear producing much more output (but everyone would have preferred it if there were no flood)

Ex. GDP doesn’t count the value of leisure. Many of your favourite times have probably come about when you weren’t producing or consuming anything that would count in GDP. Moreover, an increase in GDP often comes at the price of sacrificing these leisure activities.

So, although the policies that raise GDP are generally beneficial for society, the costs involved in creating the rising output must always be examined.

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10
Q

When was the Keynesian Model first developed?

A

In 1936, by Cambridge University economist John Maynard Keynes in his first book The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money.

It led to Macroeconomics becoming a seperate field of study for economists.

It was in response to the Great Depression of the 1930’s.

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11
Q

What is the equation for totalling up GDP?

A

Y = C + I + G + NX

It adds up the four traditional expenditure categories - Consumption, Investment, Government and Net Exports to equal the value in £’s of all goods and services produced domestically in that period, or the GDP (Y).

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12
Q

What does C stand for?

A

Consumption expenditure made by households on goods and services, whether domestically produced or produced abroad.

Consumption spending accounts for 67% of GDP - far more than the other three combined.

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13
Q

How do macroeconomists model consumption?

A

Macroeconomists model consumption very simply, as a function of people’s after-tax, or disposable, incomes.

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14
Q

What is the 3 step process used to derive disposable income algebraically?

A

1) Start with Y, the total income in the economy: in Keynes equation, income equals expenditure. Therefore, an money expended by you is income to someone else.
2) Figure out how much tax people have to pay. Ex. imagine an income tax (t)= 0.25. This means 25% of people’s incomes are taxed. And so, the total tax people pay, T, is given by T = t x Y.
3) Subtract people’s taxes, T, from their incomes, Y, to figure out their after tax income - which Economists call DISPOSABLE INCOME = Yd.

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15
Q

How do you express algabraically taxes subtracted from incomes?

A

Yd = Y -T = Y - t x Y = (1 - t) x Y

After you derive disposable income, you use a very simple model to figure out consumption expenditures made by households.

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16
Q

According to the model, what is Consumption a function of?

A

The model says that consumption, C, is a function of disposable income and a couple of other variables, Co and c.

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17
Q

In the formula C = Co + c x Yd, what does the lowercase c stand for?

A

Lowercase c is called the marginal propensity to consume, or MPC, where c is always a number between 0 and 1 that indicates the rate at which you choose to consume income rather than save it.

Ex. if c = 0.9, you consume 90 pence of every £ of disposable income that you have after paying taxes (you save the other 10p).

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18
Q

What is the actual value of the MPC?

A

The actual value is determined by the individual and varies from person to person depending on how much of their disposable incomes they like to save.

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19
Q

What is Co?

A

Think of it as how much people consume even if they have zero disposable income this year ( if you assume that Yd = 0 in the equation C = Co + c x Yd, that equation reduces to C = Co).

But where does the money come from to pay for Co, if you have zero disposable income? It comes from your personal savings, which you have piled up over the years. Economists call this dis-saving.

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20
Q

What does the overall equation C = Co + c x Yd say about your total consumption expenditure?

A

It says that your total consumption expenditure in an economy is your emergency level (when you have zero income) Co plus a part of your disposable income given by c x Yd.

The equation isn’t perfectly realistic, but it does show that consumption is reduced by higher tax rates and that people makes decisions about how much of their disposable incomes to save or consume.

The equation allows us to analyse the effects of policies that change tax rates and the effects of other policies that encourage people to spend higher or lower fractions of their incomes.

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21
Q

What does I stand for?

A

Investment expenditures made by firms on new capital goods including buildings, factories and equipment. I also contains changes in inventories, because any goods produced but not sold during a period have to go into a firm’s inventories and are counted as inventory investments.

22
Q

Why is investment important?

A

It is vitally important because the economy’s capacity to produce depends on how much capital is available to make output.

23
Q

Define depreciation.

A

When capital wears out as it’s used, by rusting, breaking down or being thrown away when it becomes obsolete, economists refer to these flows that decrease the capital stock as depreciation.

24
Q

What does the flow of investment spending depend on?

A

The flow of investment spending over any period of time depends on the the comparisons that the firm makes between the potential benefits and costs of buying pieces of capital.

The potential benefits are measured in terms of potential profits, and the costs of buying are measured by the interest rate, regardless of whether or not a firm takes out a loan to buy a given piece of capital.

25
Q

Why does the interest rate matter so much?

A

If the firm needs to take out a loan to buy capital, higher interest rates mean that the firm is less likely to borrow money because of the high loan-repayment costs.

However, if if the firm has enough cash to buy a piece of equipment, higher interest rates force the firm to decide between using the cash to buy the equipment and loaning it out to someone else. The higher the interest rate, the more attractive loaning the money becomes.

Consequently, higher interest rates discourage investment regardless of whether firms have to borrow to fund investment.

26
Q

How do economists model the amount of Investment expenditure that firms desire to make?

A

As a function of the interest rate, r, which is given as a percentage.

I = Io - Ir x r

The minus sign indicates that when the interest rate rises, I falls.

27
Q

What does Ir mean?

A

it tells you how much Investment falls in an entire economy for any given increase in interest rates.

Ex. suppose r rises by one percentage point. If Ir is £100 bn, you know that each one percentage point increase in interest rates decreases investments by £1bn.

28
Q

What does the whole equation, I = Io - Ir x r mean?

A

It says that if interest rates were zero, investment expenditures max out at Io. But as interest rates rise above zero and keep on rising, investment falls more and more. (i.e. in the 1990’s the japanese government used zero interest rates as part of its policy to deal with a protracted slump in the japanese economy).

29
Q

How does the Government’s ability to set interest rates affect the economy?

A

This is due to the relationship between rates and investments.

By setting interest rates, the government can determine how much businesses want to spend buying goods.

In particular, if the economy is in a recession, the gov can lower the interest rate in order to raise firms’ expenditures on investment and help improve the economy.

30
Q

What does G stand for?

A

Government purchases of goods and services (they’ve got to buy paperclips).

31
Q

How do Governments make money?

A

A government makes money to buy output from taxation and borrowing.

32
Q

What is a balanced budget?

A

If tax revenues are exactly equal to its expenditures.

33
Q

What is a budget surplus?

A

If tax revenues are greater than expenditures.

34
Q

What is a budget deficit?

A

if expenditures exceed tax revenues, which can happen when a gov borrows the difference on the financial markets, that gov is running a budget deficit.

35
Q

How do Governments borrow money?

A

By selling bonds.

A bond says that in exchange for £10,000 right now, the gov promises to give you back the £10,000 in ten years, and in the meantime, pay you £1000 per year for each of the intervening years.

If you accept the deal and buy the bond, you’re in effect lending the gov £10,000 right now and getting a 10% year return until the gov returns your £10,000 in ten years.

36
Q

Why are government expenditure simply denoted as G = Go?

A

because economists largely ignore the politics that go into determining gov expenditures as the economic effects of G, depend on how big the expenditure turns out to be and not on how it got to be that size.

37
Q

Explain the formula G = Go.

A

G is equal to some number determined by the political process, Go. This number may be high or low, depending on politics, but in the end you care only about how big or small it is and can ignore where it came from.

38
Q

What does G not include?

A

It does not include gov expenditures that merely transfer money from one person to another.

Ex. when the gov taxes you and gives the money to a poor(er) person, that transaction has nothing to do with currently produced goods and services and consequently doesn’t count as part of G.

39
Q

What does NX stand for?

A

Net exports.

Which is defined as all a country’s exports minus all its imports. Exports is the value in £’s of our output that foreigners are buying.

Imports is the value in £’s of their output that we;re buying.

40
Q

What is a trade balance?

A

When EX - IM is positive, you’re exporting more than you’re importing; when its negative, you’re importing more than you’re exporting.

41
Q

What is the keys concept behind international trade regarding trade surpluses and deficits?

A

As long as the international trade is voluntary, all trades enhance happiness (that is, create gains, although those gains may not be equally divided).

To concentrate on whether a trade deficit or surplus occurred is to completely miss the point that international trade is simply the rearrangement of assets between countries that makes everyone happier. Even the country running the trade deficit.

42
Q

Regarding trade, what happened in the 1980’s between Japan and the US?

A

During the 1980’s, the US ran a huge trade deficit with Japan. The result was that Japanese corporations and individuals ended up owning many famous US buildings and companies. This situation really spooked many jingoistic US politicians who missed the point that all trading in life - be it with foreigners or fellow citizens - results in increased welfare.

43
Q

Give two arguments for international trade.

A

1) Even countries running trade deficits are better off because they get to consume a mix of goods and services they wouldn’t get otherwise - this argument rests solely on the benefit of trading things that have already been produced.
2) International trade actually increases the total amount of output produced in the world, meaning that more output per person results, and overall living standards rise. This argument is known as COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE.

44
Q

Who developed the comparative advantage argument and why?

A

It was developed by an English economist David Ricardo in 1817 as a forceful rebuttal against import tariffs known as the corn laws, which heavily taxed imports of foreign-grown grain at the time.

45
Q

What was the issue with the corn laws?

A

These laws kept the price of grain high, and so the nobility that owned the vast majority of the farmland favored retaining them. Naturally, the poor were opposed because the laws drove up the price of their basic food supply: bread.

46
Q

What was Ricardo’s key concept behind abolishing restrictions on international trade?

A

Ricardo pointed out that abolishing restrictions on international trade would, in addition to helping England’s poor, actually make England and all the countries it traded with richer by encouraging them to specialise in the production of goods and services that each of them was able to produce at the lowest possible cost.

He demonstrated that this process of specialisation would increase total worldwide output and thereby raise living standards.

47
Q

Give an example of the comparative advantage argument using people instead of countries.

A
Heather = a patent lawyer
Adam = bike mechanic

Heather is very good at filing patents and repairing bikes. In fact, she’s actually fast at repairing bikes than Adam.

On the other hand, Adam can file patents, just not as quickly as Heather.

In one day, Heather produces 6 patents and fixes 12 bikes…..
Adam produces 2 patents and fixes 10 bikes.

Heather is more efficient at producing both.

48
Q

What do economists say Heather has over Adam?

A

An Absolute Advantage. Meaning she is more efficient at producing both.

Before Ricardo, the only thing people knew to look at was absolute advantage. And when they say situations like Heather and Adam’s, they concluded (incorrectly) that because she was more efficient than him she didn’t need to trade with him.

49
Q

What is the key insight behind comparative advantage?

A

The key insight behind comparative advantage is that the proper measure of cost when considering whether Heather should produce one good or the other isn’t how many hours of labour input it takes her to produce one patent or fix one bike (which is the logic behind absolute advantage).

Instead, the true cost is how much production of one good you have to give up to produce a unit of the other good.

I.e. to produce one patent, Heather must give up the chance to repair two bikes whereas to make one patent, Adam has to give up the chance of repairing five bikes. So, Heather is the lowest-cost producer of patents and therefore, should specialise in filing patents. And Adam should specialise in repairing bikes because he’s the lowest cost producer of bikes.

50
Q

How might living standards raise through specialisation?

A

Countries should specialise in the production of goods and services that they can deliver at lower costs than other countries. If countries are free to do this, everything that’s produced comes from the lowest cost producer.

Because this arrangement leads to the most efficient possible production, total output increases, thereby raising living standards.

Also by letting comparative advantage guide who makes what, free trade increases total world output and thereby raises living standards. Under free trade, each country specialises in its area(s) of comparative advantage and then trades with other countires to obtain the goods and services it desires to consume.